PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samford vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-64
39-32 39-32
Position#149
Record11-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.3
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#302
Record9-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samford v Citadel
09 Jan 2027
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
SAMF78
CITA64
01 Jan 2025
SAMF86
CITA56
02 Mar 2024
SAMF92
CITA80
11 Feb 2023
SAMF76
CITA70
21 Feb 2022
SAMF76
CITA74
23 Jan 2021
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
SAMF69
CITA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
44-22
35-43
47-46
34-38
48-39
28-49
51-39
40-40
33-37
31-38
44-38
41-38
37-50
32-32
43-32
33-35
40-43
41-39
47-35
155.2Avg total
78.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.776.3154.0+1.448%
Season at home (9)81.470.3151.8+11.167%
Season away (14)75.380.1155.4-4.936%
Last 10 (10)78.376.9155.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)77.876.0153.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.081.8144.8-18.80%
vs Similar (15)79.081.5160.5-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.471.2157.6+15.280%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
27-49
28-35
34-25
46-31
32-30
28-30
147.3Avg total
70.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.774.9146.7-3.239%
Season at home (12)77.072.7149.7+4.358%
Season away (11)66.077.4143.4-11.418%
Last 10 (10)70.876.5147.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)73.069.8142.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.579.5145.9-13.018%
vs Similar (11)68.969.5138.5-0.636%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
SamfordCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
34.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.573.9-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.335.874.2+2.525%-
Last 30 away (18)33.440.373.7-6.828%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.873.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.839.867.5-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)34.540.775.1-6.213%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.034.175.1+6.960%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.535.768.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.134.368.4-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)31.037.168.1-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)32.337.369.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.669.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.839.269.0-9.418%-
vs Similar (11)33.531.464.8+2.155%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Samford wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Citadel v Samford58-83
02/01/25Samford v Citadel86-56
02/03/24Samford v Citadel92-80
06/01/24Citadel v Samford64-80
11/02/23Samford v Citadel76-70
31/12/22Citadel v Samford63-75
22/02/22Samford v Citadel76-74
05/02/22Citadel v Samford107-93
15/02/20Citadel v Samford62-74
01/01/20Samford v Citadel69-68
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
29/01/26AFurman73-78
24/01/26HChattanooga Mocs75-64
21/01/26AWofford78-88
17/01/26HEast Tennessee St75-76
15/01/26HFurman73-77
10/01/26AChattanooga Mocs79-88
08/01/26HWestern Carolina82-77
03/01/26ANC Greensboro82-89
01/01/26AVMI78-58
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HNC Greensboro71-66 OT
30/01/26HVMI80-56
24/01/26AEast Tennessee St55-84
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %48%67%36%
Points / game77.781.475.3
Allowed / game76.370.380.1
Point differential+1.4+11.1-4.9
Avg total154.0151.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW39%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%58%18%
Points / game71.777.066.0
Allowed / game74.972.777.4
Point differential-3.2+4.3-11.4
Avg total146.7149.7143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %17%25%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2417771%78.567.8+10.7
2 Furman2416867%77.370.4+6.9
3 Wofford2416867%78.875.7+3.1
4 Mercer2415962%85.475.8+9.7
5 Samford23111248%77.776.3+1.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs24101442%75.373.4+1.9
7 Citadel2391439%71.774.9-3.2
8 NC Greensboro2491538%77.881.0-3.2
9 Western Carolina2281436%78.180.6-2.5
10 VMI2461825%72.678.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford393978
Citadel323264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.