PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samobor vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 19· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb
05 Feb 2027
SAMO v DINA
upcoming
09 May 2026
SAMO110
DINA91
15 Feb 2026
SAMO101
DINA87
02 Oct 2021
SAMO76
DINA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 75
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 75
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 75
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 75
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 75
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 75
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 75
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 75
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 75
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 75
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
86avg 75
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
55-100
55
100
-45
33avg 75
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 75
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
55avg 75
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 75
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
17-26
15-21
17-19
12-21
26-17
20-16
19-20
20-22
16-19
18-24
21-28
20-17
26-21
28-13
17-18
12-23
160.9Avg total
81.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.281.2158.5-4.062%
Season at home (5)85.475.0160.4+10.4100%
Season away (3)63.791.7155.3-28.00%
Last 10 (10)81.679.3160.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.797.0174.7-19.310%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.387.4171.7-3.146%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
SamoborDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H14/11
Premijer liga
83.2Avg total
42.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.784.2-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.083.0-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)37.947.485.3-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.249.586.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.843.384.1-2.531%-
vs Weaker (7)40.340.480.7-0.157%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
71.7%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWLWLWWWW
#12
League position
#4
-12.7
Net rating
-1.0
86.4
Offensive rating
96.0
99.1
Defensive rating
97.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
34.5%
61.7%
Assist %
63.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 96.0Defence99.1 · 97.1Shooting47.8% · 54.5%3-point %31.0% · 34.5%Ball care18.8% · 16.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samobor wins
3
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor83-75
09/05/26Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb110-91
15/02/26Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb101-87
07/12/25Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor106-110 OT
27/01/22Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor72-62
02/10/21Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb76-101
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSamobor83-75
06/11/26ACibona75-88
30/10/26HAlkar85-75
23/10/26AZadar61-87
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game77.285.463.7
Allowed / game81.275.091.7
Point differential-4.0+10.4-28.0
Avg total158.5160.4155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner84450%87.583.5+4.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar83538%80.882.1-1.4
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.