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Samobor vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 110-91
26-25 25-21 31-23 28-22
Position#4
Record17-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.9
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record10-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game88.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 33· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb
05 Feb 2027
SAMO v DINA
upcoming
09 May 2026
SAMO110
DINA91
15 Feb 2026
SAMO101
DINA87
02 Oct 2021
SAMO76
DINA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
49avg 80
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
107-76
107
76
+31
113avg 80
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
96avg 80
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
75avg 80
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 80
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 80
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 80
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 80
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 80
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
11-16
24-16
19-14
34-21
29-22
20-18
24-15
19-21
28-16
29-18
26-21
13-25
24-20
27-27
25-10
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
23-21
15-17
21-13
17-15
166.3Avg total
85.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.084.9170.9+1.153%
Season at home (16)90.686.4177.0+4.262%
Season away (16)81.483.5164.9-2.144%
Last 10 (10)85.480.9166.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)81.683.4165.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.495.4176.8-14.00%
vs Similar (8)87.676.9164.5+10.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.183.9172.0+4.171%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 78
A25/03
ENBL
Zadar
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 78
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
87avg 78
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 78
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
67-96
67
96
-29
55avg 78
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 78
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 78
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 78
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
77avg 78
H03/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-31
27-12
17-23
16-18
21-29
19-29
23-23
34-18
14-29
24-24
22-26
17-16
11-21
25-22
27-26
22-20
13-29
21-20
11-27
22-12
15-23
15-31
20-21
20-19
10-22
21-21
23-22
17-15
7-24
26-22
22-16
25-20
14-30
27-20
23-26
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
169.7Avg total
79.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.988.0170.9-5.131%
Season at home (16)85.287.9173.2-2.738%
Season away (16)80.688.1168.7-7.425%
Last 10 (10)79.390.4169.7-11.10%
Last 5 (5)77.888.2166.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)87.599.0186.5-11.518%
vs Similar (14)85.687.6173.1-2.036%
vs Weaker (5)80.679.4160.0+1.240%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -11.4-11.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -11.4-11.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
SamoborDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/05
Premijer liga
83.3Avg total
40.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.685.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.188.5+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.182.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.583.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.589.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (8)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.941.385.1+2.650%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/03
ENBL
Zadar
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
79.4Avg total
35.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.586.4-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.245.186.3-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.086.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.643.879.4-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.850.193.9-6.327%-
vs Similar (14)39.443.682.9-4.236%-
vs Weaker (5)38.441.079.4-2.620%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.1
54.2%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
74.3%14.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.6
49.7%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
74.3%15.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLWLLLWWWL
Dinamo Zagreb
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#10
+6.0
Net rating
-12.5
96.5
Offensive rating
90.1
90.5
Defensive rating
102.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.4%
3-point %
34.5%
60.3%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 90.1Defence90.5 · 102.6Shooting53.8% · 50.5%3-point %35.4% · 34.5%Ball care16.1% · 16.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Samobor   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
2
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb101-87
07/12/25Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor106-110 OT
27/01/22Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor72-62
02/10/21Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb76-101
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ADubrava76-66
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89
29/03/26AZabok89-82
23/03/26HGKK Sibenka102-76
18/03/26HDubrovnik107-76
14/03/26AAlkar65-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97
29/04/26HSplit89-96
25/04/26AAlkar72-77
18/04/26AGKK Sibenka74-84
15/04/26HDubrava72-87
11/04/26AKvarner67-96
04/04/26HCedevita Junior80-85
01/04/26HManchester Basketball94-97
29/03/26AZadar79-99
25/03/26AManchester Basketball84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game86.090.681.4
Allowed / game84.986.483.5
Point differential+1.1+4.2-2.1
Avg total170.9177.0164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game82.985.280.6
Allowed / game88.087.988.1
Point differential-5.1-2.7-7.4
Avg total170.9173.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3228488%86.271.1+15.1
2 Split3224875%90.880.7+10.1
3 Cibona3224875%83.275.0+8.2
4 Samobor32171553%86.084.9+1.1
5 Dubrovnik32161650%78.981.7-2.7
6 Zabok33151845%79.480.3-0.9
7 Dubrava33151845%81.883.5-1.7
8 Cedevita Junior32122038%79.882.5-2.7
9 Kvarner32122038%78.982.5-3.7
10 Alkar32122038%70.978.6-7.6
11 Dinamo Zagreb32102231%82.988.0-5.1
12 GKK Sibenka3282425%76.886.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor26253128110
Dinamo Zagreb2521232291
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