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Illiabum vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-57
24-12 19-17 14-20 31-8
Position#9
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#16
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.8
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illiabum v Sampaense
13 Feb 2027
ILLI v SAMP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
ILLI83
SAMP69
04 Jan 2025
ILLI87
SAMP75
06 Jan 2024
ILLI88
SAMP57
26 Nov 2022
ILLI78
SAMP60
15 Nov 2020
ILLI89
SAMP78
10 Feb 2017
ILLI80
SAMP63
14 Mar 2015
ILLI91
SAMP84
22 Jan 2011
ILLI83
SAMP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
99-103
99
103
-4
no box
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 66
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 66
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
55avg 66
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
49avg 66
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
69avg 66
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 66
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
85avg 66
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
no box
A17/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
27-27
26-16
22-26
25-23
17-23
23-17
20-25
17-13
15-9
13-18
26-23
21-22
20-7
27-24
16-10
18-15
25-10
16-30
15-19
11-22
20-15
15-21
17-23
18-13
19-14
23-17
26-11
20-15
16-21
20-19
18-8
26-18
18-15
26-12
9-15
25-20
17-12
21-25
19-25
156.7Avg total
82.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.371.3151.7+9.078%
Season at home (4)71.866.8138.5+5.075%
Season away (5)87.275.0162.2+12.280%
Last 10 (10)82.274.5156.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)79.269.4148.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.373.0142.3-3.733%
vs Similar (12)82.278.5160.8+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.571.4153.9+11.171%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
69avg 67
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
84-100
84
100
-16
79avg 67
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 67
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 67
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
63-88
63
88
-25
53avg 67
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
68avg 67
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 67
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
87-61
87
61
+26
86avg 67
A16/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
27-21
27-13
23-15
20-29
23-12
23-39
24-27
20-26
30-30
15-27
19-17
22-21
7-20
24-27
10-16
26-25
25-20
19-28
16-22
20-28
19-19
13-20
11-21
25-18
14-21
20-21
11-20
22-19
23-15
17-28
15-27
23-17
19-22
16-23
25-21
20-14
17-15
26-15
24-17
168.8Avg total
80.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.988.8167.7-9.911%
Season at home (5)75.491.2166.6-15.80%
Season away (4)83.285.8169.0-2.525%
Last 10 (10)80.987.9168.8-7.020%
Last 5 (5)77.482.6160.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.788.4162.1-14.86%
vs Similar (12)87.484.5171.9+2.958%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
IlliabumSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/12
Proliga
74.7Avg total
39.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.537.678.1+2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.735.374.0+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.874.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.071.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.536.977.4+3.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.534.875.3+5.771%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/12
Proliga
84.7Avg total
42.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.382.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.543.283.8-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.181.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.384.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.340.578.8-2.244%-
vs Similar (12)44.044.988.9-0.942%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.0
54.3%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.9
28.1%
31.2%20.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
69.3%16.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
50.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.8%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.0%
69.3%11.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWWWLWWWLL
Sampaense
WLLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#16
+12.8
Net rating
-13.4
98.8
Offensive rating
101.4
86.0
Defensive rating
114.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.1%
3-point %
31.8%
48.9%
Assist %
50.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 101.4Defence86.0 · 114.7Shooting49.4% · 51.5%3-point %28.1% · 31.8%Ball care22.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Illiabum   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Illiabum wins
2
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Sampaense v Illiabum63-84
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
15/11/20Illiabum v Sampaense89-78
10/02/17Illiabum v Sampaense80-63
02/11/16Sampaense v Illiabum73-87
14/03/15Illiabum v Sampaense91-84
13/12/14Sampaense v Illiabum95-68
22/01/11Illiabum v Sampaense83-93
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AVasco Da Gama94-88 OT
09/12/23HGalitos Aveiro79-60
03/12/23HBraga74-63
25/11/23AAcademica86-55
18/11/23HMaia63-81
05/11/23ASangalhos87-81 OT
28/10/23ASampaense84-63
21/10/23HVasco Da Gama71-63
14/10/23AGalitos Aveiro85-88
08/04/23HGalitos Barreiro99-103
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AAcademica87-61
08/12/23HVasco Da Gama90-95 OT
02/12/23HMaia77-89
25/11/23AGalitos Aveiro70-80
18/11/23HSangalhos63-88
04/11/23ABraga86-95
28/10/23HIlliabum63-84
21/10/23HAcademica84-100
14/10/23AVasco Da Gama90-107
08/04/23AGinasio Olhanense99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game80.371.887.2
Allowed / game71.366.875.0
Point differential+9.0+5.0+12.2
Avg total151.7138.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %22%0%40%
Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game78.975.483.2
Allowed / game88.891.285.8
Point differential-9.9-15.8-2.5
Avg total167.7166.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz990100%87.375.3+12.0
2 Maia98189%79.474.6+4.9
3 Illiabum97278%80.371.3+9.0
4 Galitos Barreiro107370%79.476.9+2.5
5 Braga96367%81.375.9+5.4
6 Vasco Da Gama96367%86.082.1+3.9
7 Barreirense96367%78.176.2+1.9
8 CAB Madeira95456%83.278.6+4.7
9 Sangalhos94544%74.071.2+2.8
10 Santo Andre104640%82.984.3-1.4
11 Galitos Aveiro93633%74.777.9-3.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%72.479.2-6.8
13 Ginasio Olhanense92722%76.981.8-4.9
14 Imortal B102820%70.777.3-6.6
15 Sampaense91811%78.988.8-9.9
16 Academica91811%66.179.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2419143188
Sampaense121720857
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