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Illiabum vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-75
21-11 27-16 16-19 23-29
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game85.9
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illiabum v Sampaense
13 Feb 2027
ILLI v SAMP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
ILLI83
SAMP69
04 Jan 2025
ILLI87
SAMP75
06 Jan 2024
ILLI88
SAMP57
26 Nov 2022
ILLI78
SAMP60
15 Nov 2020
ILLI89
SAMP78
10 Feb 2017
ILLI80
SAMP63
14 Mar 2015
ILLI91
SAMP84
22 Jan 2011
ILLI83
SAMP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
56avg 71
H19/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-60
73
60
+13
63avg 71
A26/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 71
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
94-56
94
56
+38
94avg 71
A09/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
61avg 71
H16/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
87-56
87
56
+31
93avg 71
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 71
A07/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 71
A13/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
90-70
90
70
+20
96avg 71
H21/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
92-84
92
84
+8
96avg 71
A28/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
14-22
17-15
16-14
23-22
17-9
13-21
20-8
24-23
20-12
10-21
23-22
12-9
25-18
38-21
19-8
13-21
14-16
13-23
27-19
25-16
26-16
20-10
16-14
18-18
16-19
26-15
12-21
13-11
22-17
11-22
25-17
23-18
25-18
16-19
26-15
22-30
26-16
21-21
23-17
148.2Avg total
79.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.767.1145.8+11.675%
Season at home (6)77.366.7144.0+10.767%
Season away (6)80.067.5147.5+12.583%
Last 10 (10)79.269.0148.2+10.270%
Last 5 (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.778.3152.0-4.733%
vs Similar (13)75.174.3149.4+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.165.3146.4+15.873%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 63
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
68avg 63
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 63
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 63
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 63
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
44avg 63
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 63
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
89avg 63
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 63
A28/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
19-19
18-27
20-20
16-31
16-22
24-19
29-19
28-18
14-19
13-15
20-17
9-12
18-25
21-38
8-19
15-23
16-14
15-28
29-18
16-24
18-23
13-23
12-26
21-22
25-22
25-19
30-27
15-25
20-19
21-22
20-17
18-22
29-22
27-26
18-22
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
166.0Avg total
78.8Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.185.9163.0-8.833%
Season at home (6)78.786.2164.8-7.550%
Season away (6)75.585.7161.2-10.217%
Last 10 (10)78.887.2166.0-8.440%
Last 5 (5)83.491.4174.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.582.9152.4-13.410%
vs Similar (8)83.880.6164.4+3.150%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
IlliabumSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A26/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H16/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
Proliga
74.7Avg total
40.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.735.474.1+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.777.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.534.270.7+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.774.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.236.873.0-0.750%-
vs Similar (13)36.036.672.6-0.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.233.376.5+9.991%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
79.0Avg total
37.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.176.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.978.1+0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.741.375.0-7.77%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.679.0-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.284.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.740.075.7-4.330%-
vs Similar (8)37.540.578.0-3.038%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.9
49.9%
49.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
30.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
68.4%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
49.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
30.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
68.4%14.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWWLWLWLWW
Sampaense
WLLWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#11
+13.5
Net rating
-14.3
104.0
Offensive rating
99.8
90.5
Defensive rating
114.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
29.4%
64.2%
Assist %
52.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 99.8Defence90.5 · 114.1Shooting50.2% · 49.4%3-point %33.8% · 29.4%Ball care21.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Illiabum   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Illiabum wins
0
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Sampaense v Illiabum56-94
06/01/24Illiabum v Sampaense88-57
28/10/23Sampaense v Illiabum63-84
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
15/11/20Illiabum v Sampaense89-78
10/02/17Illiabum v Sampaense80-63
02/11/16Sampaense v Illiabum73-87
14/03/15Illiabum v Sampaense91-84
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AGinasio92-84
21/12/24HGalitos Aveiro90-70
13/12/24ABraga71-67
07/12/24ASangalhos72-73
30/11/24HMaia87-56
16/11/24HVasco Da Gama67-79
09/11/24ASampaense94-56
01/11/24HGinasio77-78
26/10/24AGalitos Aveiro73-60
19/10/24HBraga69-67
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83
21/12/24HSangalhos95-105 OT
14/12/24AVasco Da Gama76-83
07/12/24HGinasio101-90
30/11/24ABraga59-96
16/11/24AMaia75-83
09/11/24HIlliabum56-94
01/11/24HGalitos Aveiro75-69
26/10/24ASangalhos85-91
19/10/24HVasco Da Gama80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game78.777.380.0
Allowed / game67.166.767.5
Point differential+11.6+10.7+12.5
Avg total145.8144.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game77.178.775.5
Allowed / game85.986.285.7
Point differential-8.8-7.5-10.2
Avg total163.0164.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vasco Da Gama1310377%84.778.1+6.6
2 Braga129375%84.270.3+13.9
3 Illiabum129375%78.767.1+11.6
4 CB Queluz128467%73.369.8+3.5
5 Imortal B117464%66.966.6+0.3
6 CAB Madeira138562%74.564.6+9.8
7 Portimonense138562%74.573.2+1.2
8 Sangalhos126650%77.877.6+0.2
9 Santo Andre125742%67.870.4-2.7
10 Maia125742%76.384.6-8.2
11 Ginasio135838%81.585.7-4.2
12 Lusitania114736%71.073.5-2.5
13 Barreirense124833%68.372.3-4.0
14 Benfica Lisboa B124833%65.672.4-6.8
15 Sampaense124833%77.185.9-8.8
16 Galitos Aveiro121118%67.478.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2127162387
Sampaense1116192975
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