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Samsunspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 87-86
13-21 34-25 19-25 21-15
Position#16
Record2-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#11
Record7-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game86.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 16· Mustafa Dagestani Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samsunspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamsunsporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamsunspor
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
58avg 68
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 68
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 68
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
no box
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
67-71
67
71
-4
61avg 68
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
83-71
83
71
+12
85avg 68
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
79avg 68
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
69-98
69
98
-29
57avg 68
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
68avg 68
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
61avg 68
H06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
8-20
16-23
22-27
19-19
16-29
16-17
18-24
17-22
19-33
30-20
24-23
17-9
12-17
20-20
18-21
14-21
20-15
11-23
22-12
25-25
19-15
14-18
25-13
12-22
18-18
14-13
36-29
19-29
19-11
21-18
10-40
14-16
16-17
20-22
20-17
23-23
17-18
17-13
13-22
157.3Avg total
74.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.184.7158.8-10.713%
Season at home (8)76.582.2158.8-5.812%
Season away (7)71.387.6158.9-16.314%
Last 10 (10)74.582.8157.3-8.310%
Last 5 (5)74.479.8154.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.184.7158.8-10.713%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)83.768.8152.5+14.993%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 81
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 81
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
99-65
99
65
+34
107avg 81
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 81
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 81
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 81
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 81
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
95-63
95
63
+32
98avg 81
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 81
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 81
H09/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-17
29-17
15-27
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
18-11
28-19
27-17
26-18
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
24-26
24-20
19-17
21-23
27-12
26-14
24-16
18-21
21-24
14-32
22-18
19-21
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
170.2Avg total
86.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.386.5170.7-2.247%
Season at home (7)89.684.3173.9+5.371%
Season away (8)79.688.4168.0-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.683.6170.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)83.486.0169.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.789.6165.2-13.911%
vs Similar (14)86.886.1172.9+0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)98.082.3180.3+15.786%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
SamsunsporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
75.3Avg total
35.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.576.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.738.576.2-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.477.0+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.275.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.840.175.9-4.327%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)40.436.977.3+3.560%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
84.0Avg total
42.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.483.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.584.9+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.482.1-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.284.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.644.782.2-7.111%-
vs Similar (14)44.941.786.6+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.136.778.9+5.471%-
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
53.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.5
28.8%
36.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
74.7%10.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.0
49.5%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.3
38.1%
36.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.918.1
79.0%
74.7%18.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samsunspor
LLLLWLLLLL
Tofas
LLWWLLWWLW
#16
League position
#11
-15.1
Net rating
+4.8
99.8
Offensive rating
114.4
114.8
Defensive rating
109.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.8%
3-point %
38.1%
67.5%
Assist %
67.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 114.4Defence114.8 · 109.6Shooting50.7% · 52.4%3-point %28.8% · 38.1%Ball care19.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Samsunspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samsunspor wins
1
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Tofas v Samsunspor104-91
Samsunsporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HBesiktas70-76
29/12/23HGalatasaray70-72
23/12/23ABahcesehir Kol.69-98
16/12/23HKarsiyaka80-82
08/12/23AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor83-71
02/12/23HBuyukcekmece67-71
26/11/23ABursaspor74-78 OT
18/11/23HDarussafaka90-98
11/11/23ATurk Telekom69-89
05/11/23HAnadolu Efes73-93
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT
06/01/24AGalatasaray76-95
02/01/24APAOK95-63
29/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.88-86
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82
12/12/23HIgokea99-65
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84
03/12/23HBursaspor91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samsunspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%12%14%
Points / game74.176.571.3
Allowed / game84.782.287.6
Point differential-10.7-5.8-16.3
Avg total158.8158.8158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game84.389.679.6
Allowed / game86.584.388.4
Point differential-2.2+5.3-8.8
Avg total170.7173.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes1513287%86.378.7+7.5
2 Fenerbahce1512380%88.972.2+16.7
3 Besiktas1612475%78.873.2+5.6
4 Karsiyaka1510567%89.383.4+5.9
5 Petkim Spor158753%84.980.7+4.1
6 Manisa158753%82.583.7-1.1
7 Galatasaray157847%80.178.9+1.1
8 Bahcesehir Kol.157847%89.988.9+1.0
9 Bursaspor157847%82.182.4-0.3
10 Tofas157847%84.386.5-2.2
11 Darussafaka167944%78.084.1-6.1
12 Turk Telekom156940%78.580.8-2.3
13 Buyukcekmece156940%78.782.2-3.5
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1551033%76.182.7-6.7
15 Merkezefendi1541127%78.287.4-9.2
16 Samsunspor1521313%74.184.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samsunspor1334192187
Tofas2125251586
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