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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-85
23-24 24-17 29-17 15-27
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.2
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 10· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 77
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 77
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 77
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 77
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 77
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
89-115
89
115
-26
79avg 77
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 77
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
82avg 77
A29/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
20-22
22-18
14-26
21-23
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
16-21
31-22
13-25
20-20
19-30
23-23
28-21
16-21
21-21
18-26
19-26
17-12
21-31
23-23
22-31
23-30
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
25-23
19-18
17-21
20-19
176.7Avg total
85.7Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.885.2169.0-1.444%
Season at home (4)86.584.2170.8+2.250%
Season away (5)81.686.0167.6-4.440%
Last 10 (10)85.791.0176.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)82.085.8167.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.089.0169.0-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.187.4173.5-1.243%
vs Weaker (7)90.985.9176.7+5.086%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Breogan
#29
L
48-68
48
68
-20
33avg 71
A18/10
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
64avg 71
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
65avg 71
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
85avg 71
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 71
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
98avg 71
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 71
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 71
A21/11
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
no box
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 71
H29/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
5-12
15-10
11-23
23-21
14-22
16-13
17-19
14-24
20-25
12-19
27-23
20-20
20-19
11-12
32-18
18-31
19-22
23-22
15-20
27-24
26-24
28-22
23-21
11-11
19-24
26-17
26-28
19-24
25-18
29-26
19-14
9-17
17-12
20-20
21-18
24-21
21-21
17-22
12-29
159.7Avg total
77.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.977.3156.2+1.667%
Season at home (5)83.074.8157.8+8.2100%
Season away (4)73.880.5154.2-6.825%
Last 10 (10)77.981.8159.7-3.950%
Last 5 (5)86.084.0170.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.082.6156.6-8.625%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.686.1168.7-3.435%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.6157.4+8.2100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/11
Champions League
84.4Avg total
43.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.483.3+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.785.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.181.5-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.384.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.344.183.4-4.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.541.386.8+4.257%-
vs Weaker (7)38.038.176.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#29
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/10
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/11
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/11
Champions League
78.3Avg total
36.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.879.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.280.2-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.479.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.578.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.442.680.0-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.841.981.7-2.147%-
vs Weaker (5)37.634.271.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.1
54.2%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
36.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
74.7%17.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.3
34.6%
36.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.2
77.2%
74.7%14.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWLLLLLLW
Bursaspor
LWWWWLWLLL
#11
League position
#8
-6.6
Net rating
-5.1
111.3
Offensive rating
105.6
117.9
Defensive rating
110.7
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
34.6%
64.5%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 105.6Defence117.9 · 110.7Shooting52.1% · 52.5%3-point %32.8% · 34.6%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.9% · 22.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tofas wins
5
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ATortona85-91 OT
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62
14/11/23AMurcia89-115
11/11/23AAnadolu Efes75-85
05/11/23HFenerbahce86-95
31/10/23HTortona80-88
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
22/10/23HManisa77-89
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HHapoel Holon74-93
26/11/23HSamsunspor78-74 OT
21/11/23ABonn92-82
17/11/23AGalatasaray82-80
12/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.104-91
05/11/23AKarsiyaka75-95
29/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor83-69
25/10/23HBonn73-91
22/10/23ABuyukcekmece70-75
18/10/23ABreogan48-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game83.886.581.6
Allowed / game85.284.286.0
Point differential-1.4+2.2-4.4
Avg total169.0170.8167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game78.983.073.8
Allowed / game77.374.880.5
Point differential+1.6+8.2-6.8
Avg total156.2157.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes109190%89.779.6+10.1
2 Fenerbahce108280%87.172.7+14.4
3 Karsiyaka107370%88.182.6+5.5
4 Besiktas107370%75.670.3+5.3
5 Bursaspor96367%78.977.3+1.6
6 Darussafaka106460%79.178.9+0.2
7 Petkim Spor105550%81.980.1+1.8
8 Manisa105550%81.980.4+1.5
9 Turk Telekom105550%80.680.0+0.6
10 Galatasaray94544%78.475.3+3.1
11 Tofas94544%83.885.2-1.4
12 Bahcesehir Kol.104640%89.291.6-2.4
13 Buyukcekmece103730%76.382.3-6.0
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor92722%74.783.3-8.7
15 Merkezefendi102820%75.288.0-12.8
16 Samsunspor101910%73.987.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2324291591
Bursaspor2417172785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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