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Tofas vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-90
17-23 28-25 11-26 19-16
Position#34
Record2-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game70.4
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Meetings · Tofas v Murcia
20 Dec 2023
TOF75
MUR90
21 Dec 2022
TOF77
MUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 81
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 81
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
89-115
89
115
-26
79avg 81
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 81
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 81
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
82avg 81
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 81
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 81
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
99-65
99
65
+34
107avg 81
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 81
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
23-23
28-21
16-21
21-21
18-26
19-26
17-12
21-31
23-23
22-31
23-30
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
25-23
19-18
17-21
20-19
23-24
24-17
29-17
15-27
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
18-11
28-19
27-17
26-18
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
171.0Avg total
87.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.492.2183.6-0.840%
Season at home (2)89.576.5166.0+13.050%
Season away (3)92.7102.7195.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)87.084.0171.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)91.881.4173.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.089.0169.0-9.022%
vs Similar (14)86.986.6173.5+0.450%
vs Weaker (7)97.484.3181.7+13.1100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 71
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 71
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
no box
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
76avg 71
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
17-21
33-11
16-17
13-14
17-19
21-15
13-26
25-22
7-23
19-18
20-12
24-17
17-12
23-18
26-27
21-18
31-16
15-18
14-18
23-22
162.1Avg total
86.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.470.4155.8+15.080%
Season at home (3)91.370.3161.7+21.0100%
Season away (2)76.570.5147.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)86.775.4162.1+11.380%
Last 5 (5)80.475.8156.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.599.2182.8-15.825%
vs Similar (12)81.074.2155.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.574.7159.2+9.869%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
TofasMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.1Avg total
42.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.383.9+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.441.485.8+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.281.9-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.285.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.344.183.4-4.822%-
vs Similar (14)45.640.686.2+5.164%-
vs Weaker (7)40.639.179.7+1.457%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
ACB
79.1Avg total
42.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.273.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.572.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.175.0-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.479.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.274.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.243.079.2-6.80%-
vs Similar (12)35.934.570.4+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.835.375.1+4.569%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
51.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
74.5%17.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.9
57.8%
51.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.811.5
77.7%
74.5%11.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWLWLWWLLL
Murcia
WWLLWWWWWW
#34
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+19.7
114.9
Offensive rating
114.2
111.2
Defensive rating
94.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.4%
3-point %
34.2%
67.9%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 114.2Defence111.2 · 94.4Shooting53.5% · 55.5%3-point %36.4% · 34.2%Ball care17.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.9% · 30.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Tofas   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Murcia v Tofas115-89
21/12/22Tofas v Murcia77-87
04/10/22Murcia v Tofas75-72
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82
12/12/23HIgokea99-65
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84
03/12/23HBursaspor91-85
29/11/23ATortona85-91 OT
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62
14/11/23AMurcia89-115
11/11/23AAnadolu Efes75-85
05/11/23HFenerbahce86-95
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ABreogan83-74
13/12/23HTortona87-75
10/12/23HValencia77-85 OT
02/12/23ABasket Zaragoza76-82
28/11/23AIgokea79-63
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game91.489.592.7
Allowed / game92.276.5102.7
Point differential-0.8+13.0-10.0
Avg total183.6166.0195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %40%0%67%
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game85.491.376.5
Allowed / game70.470.370.5
Point differential+15.0+21.0+6.0
Avg total155.8161.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Murcia54180%85.470.4+15.0
4 Hapoel Jerusalem54180%83.274.4+8.8
5 Tortona54180%84.682.0+2.6
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
15 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
16 PAOK53260%75.278.6-3.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
19 Benfica84450%83.476.4+7.0
20 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
21 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
29 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Galatasaray52340%85.682.6+3.0
32 Breogan52340%73.073.4-0.4
33 Tofas52340%91.492.2-0.8
34 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
35 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
36 Bursaspor52340%72.879.8-7.0
37 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea5050%72.289.0-16.8
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1728111975
Murcia2325261690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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