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San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 110-108
Projected total 218.7
Scheduled
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game106.2
San Antonio Spurs
USA
Vs
56%
44%
■ SAS 56%■ DET 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Detroit Pistons
USA
Position#9
Record8-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game110.2
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons
17 Nov 2026
SAS v DET
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
SAS121
DET106
21 Feb 2025
SAS110
DET125
14 Apr 2024
SAS123
DET95
06 Jan 2023
SAS121
DET109
26 Dec 2021
SAS144
DET109
22 Apr 2021
SAS106
DET91
28 Dec 2019
SAS136
DET109
27 Feb 2019
SAS105
DET93
04 Dec 2017
SAS96
DET93
11 Nov 2016
SAS96
DET86
02 Mar 2016
SAS97
DET81
06 Jan 2015
SAS104
DET105
26 Feb 2014
SAS120
DET110
03 Mar 2013
SAS114
DET75
09 Mar 2011
SAS111
DET104
06 Jan 2010
SAS112
DET92
02 Dec 2008
SAS77
DET89
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The San Antonio Spurs will host the Detroit Pistons on 17 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Spurs the model favourite and a 56% chance of winning against the Pistons' 44% probability; the projected score is 110-108 with a total of 218.7 points and a 6% chance of overtime. San Antonio enters the game 10-2 overall, averaging 119.2 points scored and 108.0 allowed per game, and sits third in the league; at home they are 4-2, scoring 116.0 and allowing 108.7. Their last five games are all victories, including wins over Chicago 124-119, Phoenix 122-96, and Portland 125-103. Detroit is 7-3 overall, averaging 112.7 points scored and 104.6 allowed, and is eighth in the standings; on the road they are 4-1, scoring 113.0 and allowing 100.0. Their last five games include three wins and two losses, with recent results of a 122-111 win over Washington, a 116-121 loss to Los Angeles, and a 106-112 loss to Philadelphia. Historically the Spurs have won six of the ten meetings, most recently defeating the Pistons 121-106 on 5 March 2026. The projected 110-108 finish reflects the Spurs' strong offensive output and the Pistons' solid defensive showing, with the Spurs likely to edge the game by a narrow margin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
56.1%fair 1.78
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons win
43.9%fair 2.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 112
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 112
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 112
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-119
124
119
+5
112avg 112
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
123-85
123
85
+38
126avg 112
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
29-41
27-29
34-19
34-30
38-14
25-19
34-27
26-25
226.2Avg total
121.7Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)119.5106.2225.7+13.285%
Season at home (7)117.0105.3222.3+11.771%
Season away (6)122.3107.3229.7+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)121.7104.5226.2+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)123.6102.4226.0+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)109.2107.4216.6+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)120.8105.5226.3+15.482%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
106-93
106
93
+13
99avg 109
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
97-111
97
111
-14
84avg 109
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
90avg 109
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 109
A30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
124-91
124
91
+33
122avg 109
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
99avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
116-121
116
121
-5
105avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
122-111
122
111
+11
118avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
144-140 OT
144
140
+4
135avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
117-137
117
137
-20
no box
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
27-24
38-30
33-21
26-16
21-29
21-27
33-35
31-21
14-38
34-23
33-27
35-33
31-32
37-26
35-29
19-24
33-32
31-29
30-29
27-31
39-37
21-31
26-35
31-34
223.8Avg total
113.9Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.7110.2225.9+5.467%
Season at home (5)112.4109.2221.6+3.260%
Season away (7)118.0111.0229.0+7.071%
Last 10 (10)113.9109.9223.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)121.0124.2245.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)121.0113.0234.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (5)108.6107.4216.0+1.240%
vs Weaker (24)112.0107.2219.2+4.862%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1701%1752%1802%1854%1905%1957%2009%20510%21011%21510%2209%2258%2306%2355%2403%2452%2501%2551%2601%2650%2700%275
1%1752%1855%1959%20511%2159%2256%2353%2451%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 219 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 215-219 (11%).
Over/Under 219
Over 219
48.3%
Under 219
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 224
Over 224
37.6%
Under 224
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 229
Over 229
27.9%
Under 229
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

San Antonio Spurs total 108.5
Over 108.5
56.2%
Under 108.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Antonio Spurs total 112.5
Over 112.5
42.8%
Under 112.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Antonio Spurs total 116.5
Over 116.5
30.2%
Under 116.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 107
Over 107
54.2%
Under 107
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 111
Over 111
40.5%
Under 111
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit Pistons total 115
Over 115
28.0%
Under 115
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-360%-331%-301%-272%-242%-214%-184%-156%-127%-98%-68%-35%+09%+39%+67%+96%+125%+154%+183%+212%+242%+271%+301%+330%+36
0%-331%-272%-214%-157%-98%-39%+37%+95%+153%+212%+271%+33
Margin from San Antonio Spurs's side (positive = San Antonio Spurs win). Pythia's expected margin is +2.0; San Antonio Spurs win by 1+ in 49% of simulations.
Spread San Antonio Spurs -3
SAS -3
49.8%
DET +3
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.
Spread San Antonio Spurs 0
SAS 0
56.1%
DET 0
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.
Spread San Antonio Spurs +3
SAS +3
62.6%
DET -3
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
DET
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
San Antonio SpursDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H14/11
NBA
116.1Avg total
63.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.2112.0+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.449.7107.1+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.6116.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)63.752.4116.1+11.370%-
Last 5 (5)63.850.8114.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)55.353.2108.5+2.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)61.653.1114.7+8.565%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A15/11
NBA
110.6Avg total
55.3Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.8112.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.654.0108.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)57.657.4115.1+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)55.355.3110.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)56.460.8117.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.058.0103.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (5)52.855.4108.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker (24)57.455.8113.2+1.658%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.6
53.0%
54.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.0
32.0%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
77.2%19.6
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.9
52.4%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.2
35.1%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.121.0
77.5%
77.2%21.0
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
Detroit Pistons
LWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+7.5
Net rating
+1.2
110.7
Offensive rating
108.9
103.2
Defensive rating
107.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
35.1%
63.0%
Assist %
65.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 108.9Defence103.2 · 107.6Shooting51.0% · 52.5%3-point %32.0% · 35.1%Ball care11.5% · 13.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
4
Detroit Pistons wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons121-106
24/02/26Detroit Pistons v San Antonio Spurs103-114
25/03/25Detroit Pistons v San Antonio Spurs122-96
22/02/25San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons110-125
14/04/24San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons123-95
11/01/24Detroit Pistons v San Antonio Spurs108-130
11/02/23Detroit Pistons v San Antonio Spurs138-131 OT
07/01/23San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons121-109
02/01/22Detroit Pistons v San Antonio Spurs117-116 OT
27/12/21San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons144-109
San Antonio Spurslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGolden State Warriors123-85
12/11/26AChicago Bulls124-119
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
Detroit Pistonslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMiami Heat117-137
13/11/26AWashington Wizards144-140 OT
10/11/26HWashington Wizards122-111
08/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers116-121
05/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers106-112
03/11/26ACharlotte Hornets124-91
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game119.5117.0122.3
Allowed / game106.2105.3107.3
Point differential+13.2+11.7+15.0
Avg total225.7222.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%60%71%
Points / game115.7112.4118.0
Allowed / game110.2109.2111.0
Point differential+5.4+3.2+7.0
Avg total225.9221.6229.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%20%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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