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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets
26 Jan 2027
SAS v HOU
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
SAS110
HOU114
08 Mar 2026
SAS145
HOU120
07 Nov 2025
SAS121
HOU110
28 Oct 2024
SAS101
HOU106
26 Oct 2024
SAS109
HOU106
12 Mar 2024
SAS101
HOU103
27 Oct 2023
SAS126
HOU122
18 Oct 2023
SAS117
HOU103
16 Oct 2023
SAS89
HOU99
04 Mar 2023
SAS110
HOU122
08 Dec 2022
SAS118
HOU109
11 Jul 2022
SAS84
HOU97
04 Feb 2022
SAS131
HOU106
12 Jan 2022
SAS124
HOU128
15 Oct 2021
SAS126
HOU98
16 Jan 2021
SAS103
HOU91
14 Jan 2021
SAS105
HOU109
11 Aug 2020
SAS123
HOU105
03 Dec 2019
SAS135
HOU133
30 Nov 2018
SAS105
HOU136
10 Nov 2018
SAS96
HOU89
07 Oct 2018
SAS93
HOU108
01 Apr 2018
SAS100
HOU83
01 Feb 2018
SAS91
HOU102
09 May 2017
SAS110
HOU107
03 May 2017
SAS121
HOU96
01 May 2017
SAS99
HOU126
06 Mar 2017
SAS112
HOU110
09 Nov 2016
SAS99
HOU101
21 Oct 2016
SAS114
HOU99
27 Jan 2016
SAS130
HOU99
02 Jan 2016
SAS121
HOU103
23 Oct 2015
SAS111
HOU86
08 Apr 2015
SAS110
HOU98
28 Dec 2014
SAS110
HOU106
25 Dec 2013
SAS98
HOU111
30 Nov 2013
SAS106
HOU112
24 Oct 2013
SAS92
HOU109
28 Dec 2012
SAS122
HOU116
07 Dec 2012
SAS114
HOU92
01 Feb 2012
SAS99
HOU91
11 Jan 2012
SAS101
HOU95
21 Dec 2011
SAS97
HOU95
29 Jan 2011
SAS108
HOU95
06 Nov 2010
SAS124
HOU121
21 Oct 2010
SAS111
HOU103
31 Mar 2010
SAS119
HOU102
22 Jan 2010
SAS109
HOU116
22 Mar 2009
SAS85
HOU87
14 Nov 2008
SAS77
HOU75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
122-106
122
106
+16
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-20
30-42
26-31
21-30
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
224.9Avg total
115.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Season at home (6)118.2109.3227.5+8.850%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6110.0226.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)108.2107.1215.3+1.242%
vs Weaker (17)117.5105.6223.1+11.965%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
135-117
135
117
+18
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
115-132
115
132
-17
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
116-89
116
89
+27
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
128-110
128
110
+18
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
114-110
114
110
+4
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
121-114
121
114
+7
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
120-110
120
110
+10
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
132-100
132
100
+32
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-26
24-22
23-27
27-19
38-26
34-35
36-37
27-28
24-30
34-37
30-37
33-15
21-32
25-22
37-20
32-26
38-12
30-38
28-34
32-27
29-32
24-22
29-29
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
226.6Avg total
117.0Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)121.3110.9232.2+10.478%
Season at home (4)119.8110.2230.0+9.575%
Season away (5)122.6111.4234.0+11.280%
Last 10 (10)117.0109.6226.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)119.6110.0229.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)118.6113.4232.0+5.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)116.6108.2224.8+8.468%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
San Antonio SpursHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
61.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.453.4110.8+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.649.4106.9+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)57.358.0115.3-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.9118.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.0119.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)54.952.6107.5+2.358%-
vs Weaker (17)59.153.5112.6+5.653%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
105.1Avg total
56.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.452.1109.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.854.1113.9+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.849.8104.6+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)56.248.9105.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.4108.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)59.456.6116.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)57.051.2108.2+5.868%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.3
51.3%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.1
33.7%
34.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
76.4%19.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.7
53.3%
54.0%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.1
33.2%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws28.322.2
78.4%
76.4%22.2
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLLWWLLL
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWWLWL
#14
League position
#4
+2.7
Net rating
+1.8
99.4
Offensive rating
109.3
96.7
Defensive rating
107.5
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
33.2%
63.7%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 109.3Defence96.7 · 107.5Shooting50.9% · 51.9%3-point %33.7% · 33.2%Ball care14.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds20.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
09/10/26HAtlanta Hawks116-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
24/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs114-110
22/10/26HDallas Mavericks128-110
16/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder116-89
11/10/26HDallas Mavericks115-132
09/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-117
02/05/26HLos Angeles Lakers78-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game115.5118.2111.5
Allowed / game109.4109.3109.5
Point differential+6.1+8.8+2.0
Avg total224.9227.5221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game121.3119.8122.6
Allowed / game110.9110.2111.4
Point differential+10.4+9.5+11.2
Avg total232.2230.0234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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