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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 121-96
33-30 32-25 23-28 33-13
Position#2
Record65-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#3
Record60-28
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game109.1
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· AT&T Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets
26 Jan 2027
SAS v HOU
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
SAS110
HOU114
08 Mar 2026
SAS145
HOU120
07 Nov 2025
SAS121
HOU110
28 Oct 2024
SAS101
HOU106
26 Oct 2024
SAS109
HOU106
12 Mar 2024
SAS101
HOU103
27 Oct 2023
SAS126
HOU122
04 Mar 2023
SAS110
HOU122
08 Dec 2022
SAS118
HOU109
04 Feb 2022
SAS131
HOU106
12 Jan 2022
SAS124
HOU128
16 Jan 2021
SAS103
HOU91
14 Jan 2021
SAS105
HOU109
11 Aug 2020
SAS123
HOU105
03 Dec 2019
SAS135
HOU133
30 Nov 2018
SAS105
HOU136
10 Nov 2018
SAS96
HOU89
01 Apr 2018
SAS100
HOU83
01 Feb 2018
SAS91
HOU102
09 May 2017
SAS110
HOU107
03 May 2017
SAS121
HOU96
01 May 2017
SAS99
HOU126
06 Mar 2017
SAS112
HOU110
09 Nov 2016
SAS99
HOU101
27 Jan 2016
SAS130
HOU99
02 Jan 2016
SAS121
HOU103
08 Apr 2015
SAS110
HOU98
28 Dec 2014
SAS110
HOU106
25 Dec 2013
SAS98
HOU111
30 Nov 2013
SAS106
HOU112
28 Dec 2012
SAS122
HOU116
07 Dec 2012
SAS114
HOU92
01 Feb 2012
SAS99
HOU91
11 Jan 2012
SAS101
HOU95
21 Dec 2011
SAS97
HOU95
29 Jan 2011
SAS108
HOU95
06 Nov 2010
SAS124
HOU121
31 Mar 2010
SAS119
HOU102
22 Jan 2010
SAS109
HOU116
22 Mar 2009
SAS85
HOU87
14 Nov 2008
SAS77
HOU75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
87-98
87
98
-11
77avg 98
H09/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
98-99
98
99
-1
88avg 98
A11/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
84avg 98
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
111-82
111
82
+29
104avg 98
H16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
96-82
96
82
+14
93avg 98
H18/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
94-105
94
105
-11
85avg 98
A21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
86avg 98
A23/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
116-103
116
103
+13
108avg 98
H26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
103-96
103
96
+7
95avg 98
A28/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
99-126
99
126
-27
85avg 98
H02/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
20-30
27-30
17-16
28-31
15-16
33-24
22-28
23-32
23-21
26-29
25-19
25-30
27-19
32-15
27-18
29-16
27-21
19-28
21-17
21-21
25-29
17-31
31-24
26-23
25-32
20-19
25-22
23-23
32-26
32-27
29-27
24-22
21-28
30-24
28-22
23-34
16-35
28-27
32-30
201.1Avg total
100.9Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)105.298.3203.5+6.973%
Season at home (45)105.697.5203.2+8.176%
Season away (44)104.899.1203.9+5.770%
Last 10 (10)100.9100.2201.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)104.0108.0212.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.597.5200.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)101.2102.0203.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (22)102.497.4199.7+5.068%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
109-114
109
114
-5
102avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
135-128
135
128
+7
134avg 108
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
96-125
96
125
-29
85avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
123-118
123
118
+5
119avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
118-87
118
87
+31
112avg 108
H17/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
104avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
113-115
113
115
-2
96avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
113-109
113
109
+4
102avg 108
A23/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
105-99
105
99
+6
91avg 108
H26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
126-99
126
99
+27
125avg 108
A02/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
24-28
33-23
22-39
42-27
36-35
29-27
28-39
35-35
22-26
12-36
27-28
33-32
27-28
35-21
28-37
27-29
32-25
30-20
29-13
26-35
36-33
24-21
29-22
25-34
33-31
25-28
30-22
22-26
32-32
19-19
40-32
16-22
35-22
21-33
33-22
34-23
35-16
27-28
30-32
225.8Avg total
115.3Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)115.3109.1224.5+6.268%
Season at home (44)116.9107.7224.6+9.275%
Season away (44)113.8110.6224.3+3.261%
Last 10 (10)115.3110.5225.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)114.4106.6221.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)113.2111.0224.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (22)119.4111.6231.0+7.877%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
San Antonio SpursHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H18/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A23/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A28/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
39-69
39
69
-30
H02/05
NBA
98.7Avg total
47.6Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.350.299.5-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (19)51.349.3100.6+2.063%-
Last 30 away (11)45.951.797.6-5.89%-
Last 10 (10)47.651.198.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)47.254.6101.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.549.0109.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)48.853.3102.2-4.533%-
vs Weaker (22)48.549.597.9-1.041%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H17/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H20/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A22/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A23/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
69-39
69
39
+30
A02/05
NBA
116.5Avg total
60.2Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.456.7116.1+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.957.1116.0+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)59.956.3116.2+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)60.256.3116.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)58.854.8113.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.558.0114.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)60.256.0116.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker (22)59.556.8116.2+2.755%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.927.3
48.8%
50.2%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.2
38.8%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.218.7
80.6%
77.0%18.7
They take 79.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.8
58.0%
50.2%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.913.2
32.3%
35.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws30.324.1
79.5%
77.0%24.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWLLWWLLL
Houston Rockets
WWWLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+4.7
110.3
Offensive rating
113.3
109.6
Defensive rating
108.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.8%
3-point %
32.3%
46.6%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 113.3Defence109.6 · 108.6Shooting51.6% · 53.4%3-point %38.8% · 32.3%Ball care13.2% · 13.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 22.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/17HHouston Rockets99-126
28/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies103-96
26/04/17HMemphis Grizzlies116-103
23/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies108-110 OT
21/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies94-105
18/04/17HMemphis Grizzlies96-82
16/04/17HMemphis Grizzlies111-82
13/04/17AUtah Jazz97-101
11/04/17APortland Trail Blazers98-99
09/04/17HLos Angeles Clippers87-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/17ASan Antonio Spurs126-99
26/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder105-99
23/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder113-109
22/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder113-115
20/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder115-111
17/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder118-87
13/04/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-118
11/04/17ALos Angeles Clippers96-125
09/04/17ASacramento Kings135-128
08/04/17HDetroit Pistons109-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL73%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayLLLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894544
Win %73%76%70%
Points / game105.2105.6104.8
Allowed / game98.397.599.1
Point differential+6.9+8.1+5.7
Avg total203.5203.2203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)56% (9)53% (17)
Overtime %7%4%9%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884444
Win %68%75%61%
Points / game115.3116.9113.8
Allowed / game109.1107.7110.6
Point differential+6.2+9.2+3.2
Avg total224.5224.6224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (24)69% (13)73% (11)
Overtime %3%2%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors87721583%115.9104.0+11.9
2 San Antonio Spurs89652473%105.298.3+6.9
3 Houston Rockets88602868%115.3109.1+6.2
4 Boston Celtics90593166%108.1105.0+3.1
5 Cleveland Cavaliers88573165%110.7107.2+3.5
6 Utah Jazz90553561%100.596.9+3.5
7 Toronto Raptors90553561%105.9102.4+3.5
8 Los Angeles Clippers89543561%107.8103.9+3.9
9 Washington Wizards90533759%109.1107.7+1.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87483955%106.5106.2+0.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies88454351%100.2100.3-0.1
12 Atlanta Hawks88454351%103.3104.2-0.9
13 Miami Heat82414150%103.2102.1+1.1
14 Milwaukee Bucks88444450%102.9103.1-0.2
15 Chicago Bulls88434549%102.4102.5-0.1
16 Indiana Pacers86424449%105.3105.7-0.4
17 Denver Nuggets82404249%111.7111.2+0.5
18 Portland Trail Blazers86414548%107.6109.0-1.3
19 Detroit Pistons82374545%101.3102.5-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets82364644%104.9104.7+0.2
21 New Orleans Pelicans82344841%104.3106.4-2.1
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%97.9100.8-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings82325039%102.8106.7-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves82315138%105.6106.7-1.1
25 New York Knicks82315138%104.3108.0-3.7
26 Orlando Magic82295335%101.1107.6-6.6
27 Philadelphia 76ers82285434%102.4108.1-5.7
28 Los Angeles Lakers82265632%104.6111.5-6.9
29 Phoenix Suns82245829%107.7113.3-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.8112.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs33322333121
Houston Rockets3025281396
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