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San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 118-107
Projected total 225.0
Scheduled
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game106.2
Vs
78%
22%
■ SAS 78%■ LAC 22%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#26
Record3-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game117.5
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles Clippers
13 Dec 2026
SAS v LAC
upcoming
19 Nov 2026
SAS v LAC
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
SAS116
LAC112
29 Jan 2025
SAS116
LAC128
31 Dec 2024
SAS122
LAC86
22 Nov 2023
SAS102
LAC109
20 Nov 2023
SAS99
LAC124
20 Jan 2023
SAS126
LAC131
04 Nov 2022
SAS106
LAC113
15 Jan 2022
SAS101
LAC94
25 Mar 2021
SAS85
LAC98
24 Mar 2021
SAS101
LAC134
21 Dec 2019
SAS109
LAC134
29 Nov 2019
SAS107
LAC97
20 Jan 2019
SAS95
LAC103
13 Dec 2018
SAS125
LAC87
18 Dec 2017
SAS109
LAC91
07 Nov 2017
SAS120
LAC107
08 Apr 2017
SAS87
LAC98
05 Nov 2016
SAS92
LAC116
15 Mar 2016
SAS108
LAC87
18 Dec 2015
SAS115
LAC107
30 Apr 2015
SAS96
LAC102
26 Apr 2015
SAS105
LAC114
24 Apr 2015
SAS100
LAC73
31 Jan 2015
SAS85
LAC105
22 Dec 2014
SAS125
LAC118
04 Jan 2014
SAS116
LAC92
29 Mar 2013
SAS104
LAC102
19 Nov 2012
SAS87
LAC92
17 May 2012
SAS105
LAC88
15 May 2012
SAS108
LAC92
09 Mar 2012
SAS108
LAC120
28 Dec 2011
SAS115
LAC90
10 Nov 2010
SAS107
LAC95
13 Mar 2010
SAS118
LAC88
21 Dec 2009
SAS103
LAC87
27 Mar 2009
SAS111
LAC98
08 Jan 2009
SAS106
LAC84
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 19 November 2026 the San Antonio Spurs host the Los Angeles Clippers in an NBA matchup where the Spurs are the clear favourite, the model rating them at 78% versus the Clippers' 22%. The Spurs have gone 11-2 in all 13 games this season, averaging 119.5 points while allowing 106.2, and sit at league position 1; at home they are 5-2, scoring 117.0 and conceding 105.3, and have won every one of their last five outings. Their recent wins include a 123-85 triumph over the Warriors at home on 13 November, a 124-119 victory over the Bulls away on 11 November, and a 122-96 win over the Suns away on 9 November. The Clippers, in contrast, are 3-8 across 11 games, with 112.3 points for and 117.5 against, and are 0-5 on the road, scoring 108.2 and conceding 123.4; they have won two of their last five, including a 113-112 home win over the Thunder on 13 November, a 110-133 loss to the Suns away on 10 November, and a 139-123 home win over the Pelicans on 8 November. Historically the Spurs have lost six of the ten meetings, the most recent being a 118-99 Spurs win over the Clippers on 2 April 2026. Pythia projects a 118-107 Spurs victory with a total of 225.0 points, giving the Spurs a 78% chance to win, the Clippers a 22% chance, and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
78.2%fair 1.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Los Angeles Clippers win
21.8%fair 4.60
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 112
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 112
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 112
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-119
124
119
+5
112avg 112
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
123-85
123
85
+38
126avg 112
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
29-41
27-29
34-19
34-30
38-14
25-19
34-27
26-25
226.2Avg total
121.7Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)119.5106.2225.7+13.285%
Season at home (7)117.0105.3222.3+11.771%
Season away (6)122.3107.3229.7+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)121.7104.5226.2+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)123.6102.4226.0+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)109.2107.4216.6+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)120.8105.5226.3+15.482%
This opponent (Los Angeles Clippers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Los Angeles ClippersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClippers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
117-125
117
125
-8
107avg 105
A24/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
101-108
101
108
-7
97avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
87-103
87
103
-16
67avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
101-127
101
127
-26
90avg 105
A31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
112-124
112
124
-12
88avg 105
A02/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
118-125
118
125
-7
105avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
116-117 OT
116
117
-1
109avg 105
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
139-123
139
123
+16
125avg 105
H09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
110-133
110
133
-23
84avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
113-112
113
112
+1
105avg 105
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
33-37
26-39
27-22
20-23
26-20
30-34
25-31
22-25
16-31
28-29
21-18
24-34
32-35
25-29
20-29
37-29
20-34
28-29
27-32
33-22
30-30
28-26
27-47
24-33
43-19
20-26
20-29
28-28
39-32
35-35
37-28
18-29
29-35
25-35
38-34
33-27
24-17
25-40
31-28
231.1Avg total
111.4Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)112.3117.5229.8-5.327%
Season at home (6)115.7112.7228.3+3.050%
Season away (5)108.2123.4231.6-15.20%
Last 10 (10)111.4119.7231.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)119.2122.0241.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)107.3118.9226.2-11.610%
vs Similar (9)119.3117.9237.2+1.444%
vs Weaker (11)119.9110.5230.5+9.473%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%1%1801%1852%1903%1955%2007%2058%21010%21510%22011%22510%2309%2357%2405%2454%2503%2551%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
1%1853%1957%20510%21511%2259%2355%2453%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 225 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 220.5
Over 220.5
59.0%
Under 220.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225.5
Over 225.5
48.2%
Under 225.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230.5
Over 230.5
37.6%
Under 230.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

San Antonio Spurs total 109.5
Over 109.5
76.5%
Under 109.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Antonio Spurs total 113.5
Over 113.5
64.6%
Under 113.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Antonio Spurs total 117.5
Over 117.5
50.9%
Under 117.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Los Angeles Clippers total 108
Over 108
46.7%
Under 108
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Los Angeles Clippers total 112
Over 112
33.3%
Under 112
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Los Angeles Clippers total 116
Over 116
22.2%
Under 116
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%7%9%0%-271%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-95%-66%-35%+08%+39%+68%+98%+128%+157%+186%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+420%+45
1%-241%-183%-125%-65%+09%+68%+127%+185%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from San Antonio Spurs's side (positive = San Antonio Spurs win). Pythia's expected margin is +10.4; San Antonio Spurs win by 1+ in 71% of simulations.
Spread San Antonio Spurs -3
SAS -3
73.8%
LAC +3
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
LAC
No market prices yet.
Spread San Antonio Spurs 0
SAS 0
78.2%
LAC 0
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
LAC
No market prices yet.
Spread San Antonio Spurs +3
SAS +3
82.8%
LAC -3
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
SAS
No market prices yet.
LAC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
San Antonio SpursLos Angeles Clippers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H14/11
NBA
116.1Avg total
63.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.2112.0+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.449.7107.1+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.6116.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)63.752.4116.1+11.370%-
Last 5 (5)63.850.8114.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)55.353.2108.5+2.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)61.653.1114.7+8.565%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Clippers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Los Angeles ClippersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A24/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H14/11
NBA
112.9Avg total
56.2Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.257.9115.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.956.7114.7+1.267%-
Last 30 away (12)56.259.7115.8-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)56.256.7112.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.254.4114.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)52.659.4112.0-6.830%-
vs Similar (9)58.256.7114.9+1.667%-
vs Weaker (11)60.657.5118.2+3.155%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.6
53.0%
54.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.0
32.0%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
77.2%19.6
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Los Angeles Clipperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Clippers: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.527.0
53.5%
54.0%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.614.1
38.5%
35.1%42.3
🏀 Free throws20.016.4
82.0%
77.2%16.4
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
Los Angeles Clippers
WLWLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#26
+7.5
Net rating
-2.7
110.7
Offensive rating
110.0
103.2
Defensive rating
112.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
11.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.0%
3-point %
38.5%
63.0%
Assist %
62.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 110.0Defence103.2 · 112.8Shooting51.0% · 55.3%3-point %32.0% · 38.5%Ball care11.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Los Angeles Clippers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGolden State Warriors123-85
12/11/26AChicago Bulls124-119
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder113-112
11/11/26APhoenix Suns110-133
09/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans139-123
05/11/26HMiami Heat116-117 OT
03/11/26HToronto Raptors118-125
02/11/26AGolden State Warriors112-124
31/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves101-127
29/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers87-103
25/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder101-108
24/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers117-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game119.5117.0122.3
Allowed / game106.2105.3107.3
Point differential+13.2+11.7+15.0
Avg total225.7222.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Los Angeles Clippers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game112.3115.7108.2
Allowed / game117.5112.7123.4
Point differential-5.3+3.0-15.2
Avg total229.8228.3231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+13.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
8 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+7.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+8.1
10 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
12 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
13 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
15 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
16 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-2.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1.0
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-9.2
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
27 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-13.4
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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