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San Diego State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 110-107 (OT)
50-29 29-50 31-28
Position#70
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#101
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v Boise State
03 Jan 2026
SAN 110
BOIS107
13 Mar 2025
SAN 52
BOIS62
15 Feb 2025
SAN 64
BOIS47
08 Mar 2024
SAN 77
BOIS79
03 Feb 2023
SAN 72
BOIS52
22 Jan 2022
SAN 37
BOIS42
27 Feb 2021
SAN 62
BOIS58
25 Feb 2021
SAN 78
BOIS66
06 Mar 2020
SAN 81
BOIS68
11 Jan 2020
SAN 83
BOIS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
121-59
121
59
+62
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
36-40
45-51
33-32
44-34
51-41
38-30
33-30
48-28
27-28
18-40
62-30
59-29
42-38
39-30
159.6Avg total
83.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.972.1154.0+9.867%
Season at home (8)88.269.4157.6+18.975%
Season away (4)69.277.5146.8-8.250%
Last 10 (10)83.376.3159.6+7.060%
Last 5 (5)83.464.8148.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.776.0134.7-17.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.970.7141.6+0.242%
vs Weaker (15)79.365.9145.1+13.487%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
139.9Avg total
72.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.869.1144.9+6.869%
Season at home (10)74.167.3141.4+6.870%
Season away (3)81.775.0156.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)72.267.7139.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)71.866.6138.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.065.7142.7+11.3100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.269.7139.9+0.556%
vs Weaker (11)77.963.4141.3+14.582%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
San Diego StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
40.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.966.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.830.566.3+5.372%-
Last 30 away (12)32.034.066.0-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.376.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.476.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.035.066.0-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.531.062.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (15)37.232.069.2+5.273%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.831.465.2+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.230.367.5+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)29.232.862.1-3.646%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.264.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.662.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.728.763.3+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.633.865.4-2.244%-
vs Weaker (11)36.628.665.3+8.082%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Diego State wins
7
Boise State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ASan Jose State81-68
22/12/25HWhittier121-59
21/12/25AArizona45-68
18/12/25HAir Force81-58
11/12/25HLamar89-71
04/12/25HUtah Valley State77-66
27/11/25HBaylor81-91
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.988.269.2
Allowed / game72.169.477.5
Point differential+9.8+18.9-8.2
Avg total154.0157.6146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%70%67%
Points / game75.874.181.7
Allowed / game69.167.375.0
Point differential+6.8+6.8+6.7
Avg total144.9141.4156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%30%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%85.667.3+18.3
2 New Mexico1411379%79.667.4+12.3
3 Nevada1411379%76.671.1+5.6
4 Wyoming1410471%83.171.8+11.3
5 Colorado State1410471%80.971.5+9.4
6 Boise State139469%75.869.1+6.8
7 San Diego State128467%81.972.1+9.8
8 Grand Canyon138562%75.568.8+6.7
9 UNLV137654%80.775.7+5.0
10 Fresno State146843%74.472.0+2.4
11 San Jose State145936%74.676.9-2.4
12 Air Force1431121%62.973.2-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
San Diego State502931110
Boise State295028107
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