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San Diego State vs Nevada Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 08 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#52
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game58.2
vs
Position#257
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · San Diego State v Nevada
14 Feb 2026
SAN 71
NEVA57
08 Mar 2025
SAN 80
NEVA61
17 Jan 2024
SAN 71
NEVA59
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
NEVA65
06 Feb 2022
SAN 65
NEVA63
08 Jan 2022
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
12 Mar 2021
SAN 77
NEVA70
09 Jan 2021
SAN 69
NEVA67
07 Jan 2021
SAN 65
NEVA60
18 Jan 2020
SAN 68
NEVA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#236
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#36
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H09/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H18/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H23/12
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
37-33
31-28
37-34
40-32
33-24
15-22
28-36
35-21
37-26
34-36
24-36
32-22
34-34
26-25
37-28
45-30
33-27
35-32
27-23
122.7Avg total
64.8Scored
57.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)64.558.2122.7+6.375%
Season at home (9)66.056.1122.1+9.989%
Season away (3)60.064.3124.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)64.857.9122.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)65.458.6124.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)60.659.0119.6+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)75.361.0136.3+14.390%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A17/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A19/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A23/11
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Washington
#183
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Minnesota-Duluth
#509
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H16/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-39
32-57
46-36
24-37
31-51
44-51
36-31
52-38
29-27
52-35
35-32
44-34
47-35
51-27
35-28
33-35
27-39
34-49
35-36
44-34
152.4Avg total
77.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.775.2152.8+2.558%
Season at home (8)81.567.9149.4+13.688%
Season away (4)70.089.8159.8-19.80%
Last 10 (10)77.375.1152.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.069.8146.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.079.2151.2-7.231%
vs Similar (10)78.870.1148.9+8.770%
vs Weaker (6)74.864.0138.8+10.883%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
San Diego StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#236
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#36
L
15-22
15
22
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A04/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H09/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H18/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H23/12
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/01
NCAA
59.9Avg total
32.1Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.627.361.9+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.527.161.6+7.485%-
Last 30 away (10)35.027.662.6+7.470%-
Last 10 (10)32.127.859.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.063.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)27.124.952.0+2.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.428.466.8+9.985%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A17/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A23/11
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Washington
#183
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Minnesota-Duluth
#509
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.668.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.232.567.7+2.769%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.069.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.471.7+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.069.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.338.571.8-5.231%-
vs Similar (10)33.633.166.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)34.728.563.2+6.2100%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Diego State wins
0
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/22AUNLV62-55
23/12/21HUC San Diego78-57
18/12/21HSt. Marys (CA)63-53
09/12/21HCS Fullerton66-56
04/12/21AMichigan58-72
01/12/21HLong Beach State72-47
27/11/21HUSC43-58
26/11/21HGeorgetown73-56
21/11/21HUT Arlington68-62
19/11/21HArizona State65-63
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22HNew Mexico79-70
30/12/21AKansas61-88
19/12/21HLoyola Marymount68-63
16/12/21HMinnesota-Duluth98-62
01/12/21HPepperdine79-66
25/11/21HWashington81-62
24/11/21HGeorge Mason88-69
23/11/21ASouth Dakota St.75-102
19/11/21ASan Francisco70-73
17/11/21ASanta Clara74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %75%89%33%
Points / game64.566.060.0
Allowed / game58.256.164.3
Point differential+6.3+9.9-4.3
Avg total122.7122.1124.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%88%0%
Points / game77.781.570.0
Allowed / game75.267.989.8
Point differential+2.5+13.6-19.8
Avg total152.8149.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State11110100%81.966.3+15.6
2 Grand Canyon1412286%73.659.1+14.6
3 Wyoming1311285%77.563.1+14.5
4 San Diego State129375%64.558.2+6.3
5 Boise State1410471%69.158.2+10.9
6 Fresno State1410471%65.755.6+10.1
7 Utah State149564%77.268.1+9.1
8 Air Force138562%58.959.8-0.9
9 Nevada127558%77.775.2+2.5
10 UNLV148657%70.466.3+4.1
11 San Jose State116555%68.870.9-2.1
12 New Mexico147750%78.977.1+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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