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San Diego State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 74-65
44-27 30-38
Position#10
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.5
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#74
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · San Diego State v Nevada
14 Feb 2026
SAN 71
NEVA57
08 Mar 2025
SAN 80
NEVA61
17 Jan 2024
SAN 71
NEVA59
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
NEVA65
06 Feb 2022
SAN 65
NEVA63
08 Jan 2022
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
12 Mar 2021
SAN 77
NEVA70
09 Jan 2021
SAN 69
NEVA67
07 Jan 2021
SAN 65
NEVA60
18 Jan 2020
SAN 68
NEVA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Occidental
#621
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H03/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H06/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H13/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
32-41
32-30
40-39
59-29
36-28
29-33
31-22
35-35
26-33
39-25
49-29
35-16
27-30
36-23
35-32
44-33
32-34
43-42
37-33
136.3Avg total
73.9Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.565.5141.0+10.180%
Season at home (10)77.262.3139.5+14.990%
Season away (5)72.271.8144.0+0.460%
Last 10 (10)73.962.4136.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)75.459.4134.8+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.461.8128.2+4.662%
vs Weaker (14)76.063.4139.4+12.693%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
49-32
33-33
19-31
37-39
48-38
29-36
36-42
29-34
35-22
39-23
39-43
30-27
44-45
36-25
39-44
40-31
40-38
32-15
35-25
136.9Avg total
71.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.263.8137.1+9.482%
Season at home (10)75.261.8137.0+13.4100%
Season away (7)70.466.7137.1+3.757%
Last 10 (10)71.865.1136.9+6.780%
Last 5 (5)74.863.2138.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.969.8136.8-2.925%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.767.3140.0+5.573%
vs Weaker (6)76.262.8139.0+13.3100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
San Diego StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Occidental
#621
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H06/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H13/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
38.7Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.328.863.1+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.127.662.7+7.582%-
Last 30 away (13)33.230.563.7+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.267.9+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.427.867.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.229.460.7+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)37.828.165.9+9.6100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-15
32
15
+17
A07/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
33.4Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.463.6+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.630.262.8+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)31.832.564.3-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.429.162.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.424.259.6+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.534.062.5-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.830.163.9+3.755%-
vs Weaker (6)35.030.765.7+4.350%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Diego State wins
0
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
06/03/22Nevada v San Diego State78-79
06/02/22San Diego State v Nevada65-63
13/03/21San Diego State v Nevada77-70
10/01/21San Diego State v Nevada69-67
08/01/21San Diego State v Nevada65-60
01/03/20Nevada v San Diego State76-83
19/01/20San Diego State v Nevada68-55
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AWyoming80-75
31/12/22AUNLV76-67
29/12/22HAir Force71-55
21/12/22HUC San Diego62-46
13/12/22HKennesaw State88-54
10/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)61-68
06/12/22HTroy60-55
03/12/22HOccidental95-57
30/11/22HUC Irvine72-69
24/11/22HArkansas74-78 OT
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ASan Jose State67-40
05/01/23HColorado State80-69
31/12/22AAir Force75-69
29/12/22HBoise State74-72
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
15/12/22HUC San Diego64-56
11/12/22AOregon65-78
07/12/22APepperdine85-77
04/12/22ALoyola Marymount52-64
29/11/22HSam Houston St.78-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %80%90%60%
Points / game75.577.272.2
Allowed / game65.562.371.8
Point differential+10.1+14.9+0.4
Avg total141.0139.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %82%100%57%
Points / game73.275.270.4
Allowed / game63.861.866.7
Point differential+9.4+13.4+3.7
Avg total137.1137.0137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1715288%82.669.8+12.8
2 Utah State1714382%81.970.2+11.7
3 Nevada1714382%73.263.8+9.4
4 UNLV1512380%77.465.3+12.1
5 San Diego State1512380%75.565.5+10.1
6 Boise State1612475%71.259.7+11.5
7 Grand Canyon1510567%68.962.1+6.8
8 San Jose State1812667%68.165.6+2.4
9 Air Force1710759%69.764.5+5.2
10 Colorado State189950%75.170.5+4.6
11 Fresno State1661038%61.363.7-2.4
12 Wyoming1651131%70.670.6+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State443074
Nevada273865
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