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San Diego State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 60-55
29-33 31-22
Position#10
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#115
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · San Diego State v Troy
18 Nov 2025
SAN 107
TROY108
05 Dec 2022
SAN 60
TROY55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H17/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H08/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Occidental
#621
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
27-25
37-30
25-32
32-25
48-32
36-40
46-35
41-30
33-32
37-26
51-51
33-37
37-50
35-26
32-41
32-30
40-39
59-29
36-28
144.3Avg total
75.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.470.2149.6+9.175%
Season at home (6)81.868.8150.7+13.083%
Season away (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.668.7144.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)79.873.6153.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)64.960.4125.4+4.561%
vs Weaker (12)77.162.3139.4+14.792%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-48
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
53-36
0-0
59-22
0-0
37-20
0-0
32-25
0-0
47-47
0-0
38-29
0-0
35-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
38-42
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-30
0-0
66-30
0-0
52-31
0-0
33-31
0-0
28-43
0-0
34-41
0-0
38-37
147.5Avg total
80.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.765.3147.0+16.367%
Season at home (4)93.556.0149.5+37.5100%
Season away (5)72.272.8145.0-0.640%
Last 10 (10)80.567.0147.5+13.560%
Last 5 (5)80.070.6150.6+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.166.5133.6+0.753%
vs Weaker (9)69.962.2132.1+7.778%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +7.3+7.3
San Diego StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H17/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H12/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H24/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Occidental
#621
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H03/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
36.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.928.462.2+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.627.863.4+7.789%-
Last 30 away (12)31.329.260.5+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.166.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.668.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.328.860.2+2.561%-
vs Weaker (12)37.727.765.3+10.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.365.0+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.227.563.7+8.764%-
Last 30 away (16)33.532.766.2+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.571.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.073.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.131.163.3+1.053%-
vs Weaker (9)34.627.762.2+6.967%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HOccidental95-57
30/11/22HUC Irvine72-69
24/11/22HArkansas74-78 OT
23/11/22AArizona70-87
22/11/22HOhio State88-77
16/11/22AStanford74-62
12/11/22HBrigham Young82-75
08/11/22HCS Fullerton80-57
17/03/22HCreighton69-72 OT
12/03/22ABoise State52-53
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78
29/11/22AArkansas61-74
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
20/11/22AMontana73-62
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
11/11/22HMUW Owls96-42
08/11/22HMontevallo87-67
20/03/22AAbilene Christian70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game79.481.872.0
Allowed / game70.268.874.5
Point differential+9.1+13.0-2.5
Avg total149.6150.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%17%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game81.793.572.2
Allowed / game65.356.072.8
Point differential+16.3+37.5-0.6
Avg total147.0149.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UNLV880100%80.060.2+19.8
2 New Mexico770100%82.167.6+14.6
3 Utah State770100%87.073.3+13.7
4 Nevada97278%73.062.0+11.0
5 Grand Canyon86275%68.257.9+10.4
6 Boise State86275%68.159.0+9.1
7 San Diego State86275%79.470.2+9.1
8 Colorado State96367%76.164.8+11.3
9 San Jose State96367%70.969.7+1.2
10 Air Force95456%67.161.6+5.6
11 Wyoming83538%72.269.9+2.4
12 Fresno State72529%61.662.9-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss98189%77.058.2+18.8
2 Marshall87188%83.867.4+16.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette87188%84.872.0+12.8
4 James Madison97278%93.364.7+28.7
5 Troy96367%81.765.3+16.3
6 Arkansas State85362%69.660.4+9.2
7 Coastal Carolina74357%78.065.4+12.6
8 Appalachian State95456%76.369.1+7.2
9 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
10 Old Dominion95456%69.866.6+3.2
11 Texas State95456%66.265.9+0.3
12 Georgia Southern84450%66.967.2-0.4
13 Louisiana Monroe93633%74.369.4+4.9
14 South Alabama93633%70.669.7+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State293160
Troy332255
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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