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San Diego State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 107-108 (OT)
38-38 51-51 18-19
Position#70
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game51.0
San Diego State
USA
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#84
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v Troy
18 Nov 2025
SAN 107
TROY108
05 Dec 2022
SAN 60
TROY55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-23
40-37
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
138.3Avg total
71.6Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season at home (2)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.666.7138.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)70.064.0134.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.070.0143.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.465.4132.8+2.150%
vs Weaker (15)73.162.3135.4+10.987%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
121-56
121
56
+65
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
38-32
36-18
39-41
40-23
39-37
41-43
53-38
27-35
30-41
42-34
45-53
36-23
28-38
57-27
64-29
25-27
38-47
49-51
36-43
152.7Avg total
81.1Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.276.4163.6+10.860%
Season at home (1)121.056.0177.0+65.0100%
Season away (4)78.881.5160.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)81.171.6152.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)87.276.4163.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.670.8141.3-0.258%
vs Weaker (16)77.564.5142.0+13.075%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
San Diego StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
63.5Avg total
34.2Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.629.561.1+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.228.661.8+4.678%-
Last 30 away (12)29.230.860.0-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)34.229.363.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.463.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.630.562.1+1.164%-
vs Weaker (15)31.928.560.5+3.473%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
38.5Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.367.1+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.428.771.1+13.686%-
Last 30 away (16)32.031.763.7+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.530.769.2+7.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.474.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.632.664.2-1.042%-
vs Weaker (16)38.829.468.2+9.475%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Diego State wins
0
Troy wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22San Diego State v Troy60-55
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79
19/02/25HFresno State83-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
15/11/25ALoyola Marymount63-74
12/11/25HPensacola Christian121-56
08/11/25AFurman64-61
04/11/25AKent State103-97 OT
21/03/25AKentucky57-76
10/03/25HArkansas State94-81
10/03/25AJames Madison79-60
09/03/25HOld Dominion75-59
01/03/25ASouthern Miss70-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game51.051.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total126.0126.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game87.2121.078.8
Allowed / game76.456.081.5
Point differential+10.8+65.0-2.8
Avg total163.6177.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Utah State440100%87.063.8+23.2
3 Wyoming440100%90.869.5+21.2
4 Colorado State440100%92.071.0+21.0
5 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
6 New Mexico43175%75.063.5+11.5
7 Nevada43175%81.076.5+4.5
8 Fresno State64267%77.368.3+9.0
9 UNLV42250%91.883.8+8.0
10 Grand Canyon42250%80.874.5+6.2
11 San Jose State41325%79.876.0+3.8
12 Air Force4040%62.576.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama54180%75.866.0+9.8
2 Arkansas State43175%83.881.8+2.0
3 Marshall43175%84.284.5-0.2
4 Texas State64267%75.567.0+8.5
5 Troy53260%87.276.4+10.8
6 Appalachian State53260%74.466.8+7.6
7 Georgia Southern53260%88.284.6+3.6
8 Coastal Carolina42250%82.865.0+17.8
9 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
10 Southern Miss52340%80.671.8+8.8
11 Old Dominion52340%73.478.4-5.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette41325%61.570.2-8.8
13 Georgia State51420%65.267.8-2.6
14 Louisiana Monroe51420%72.478.8-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
San Diego State385118107
Troy385119108
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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