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San Jose State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 70-62
27-21 43-41
Position#349
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#371
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Jose State v Air Force
13 Jan 2026
SAN 70
AIR 62
01 Feb 2025
SAN 75
AIR 64
13 Feb 2024
SAN 73
AIR 66
24 Jan 2023
SAN 82
AIR 52
25 Jan 2022
SAN 53
AIR 63
30 Jan 2021
SAN 75
AIR 62
28 Jan 2021
SAN 59
AIR 58
25 Jan 2020
SAN 90
AIR 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
34-20
34-36
29-36
52-34
34-35
39-39
38-38
36-44
46-42
28-41
37-47
38-42
30-39
51-48
27-48
24-37
31-33
26-42
32-34
147.9Avg total
70.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.376.4148.8-4.131%
Season at home (10)74.771.5146.2+3.250%
Season away (6)68.384.7153.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)70.777.2147.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)64.882.2147.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)63.579.1142.6-15.66%
vs Similar (7)76.071.1147.1+4.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.869.8162.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-49
50-36
24-28
29-43
21-37
42-43
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
138.2Avg total
59.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)62.075.9137.9-13.919%
Season at home (12)64.777.2141.9-12.625%
Season away (4)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)59.978.3138.2-18.410%
Last 5 (5)52.881.2134.0-28.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.877.4138.2-16.610%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -8.4-8.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -8.4-8.4
San Jose StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H07/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/01
NCAA
75.1Avg total
35.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.270.4-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.933.670.5+3.447%-
Last 30 away (13)30.639.570.2-8.923%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.475.1-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.075.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.338.169.3-6.828%-
vs Similar (7)37.734.972.6+2.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.028.569.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
27.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.736.264.9-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (19)28.536.464.8-7.911%-
Last 30 away (11)29.036.065.0-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)27.337.364.6-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)25.838.864.6-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.636.465.0-7.817%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Jose State wins
2
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AGrand Canyon58-76
07/01/26HFresno State55-70
03/01/26AUtah State78-96
31/12/25HSan Diego State68-81
21/12/25ANew Mexico65-88
14/12/25HStanford82-86
10/12/25HLong Beach State89-83 OT
06/12/25HSan Diego Toreros86-69
30/11/25HUC Irvine63-72
26/11/25HLoyola Chicago63-51
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80
29/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes63-80
26/11/25HNorthern Colorado53-71
23/11/25HIU Indy98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%50%0%
Points / game72.374.768.3
Allowed / game76.471.584.7
Point differential-4.1+3.2-16.3
Avg total148.8146.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %19%25%0%
Points / game62.064.754.0
Allowed / game75.977.272.0
Point differential-13.9-12.6-18.0
Avg total137.9141.9126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
4 San Diego State1511473%82.572.8+9.7
5 Wyoming1611569%84.072.7+11.3
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State169756%76.273.5+2.7
9 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
10 UNLV157847%78.576.8+1.7
11 San Jose State1651131%72.376.4-4.1
12 Air Force1631319%62.075.9-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State274370
Air Force214162
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