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San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors
12 Dec 2026
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
SAN 77
BOCA83
17 Nov 2024
SAN 83
BOCA78
15 Jun 2024
SAN 68
BOCA77
13 Jun 2024
SAN 77
BOCA67
05 May 2024
SAN 74
BOCA79
04 Nov 2022
SAN 69
BOCA75
23 Apr 2022
SAN 63
BOCA91
02 Apr 2022
SAN 91
BOCA87
23 Sep 2021
SAN 60
BOCA78
14 Nov 2020
SAN 63
BOCA82
07 Jan 2020
SAN 68
BOCA66
23 Oct 2019
SAN 70
BOCA79
20 Mar 2019
SAN 76
BOCA74
22 Sep 2018
SAN 94
BOCA83
15 Feb 2018
SAN 73
BOCA67
28 Sep 2017
SAN 97
BOCA62
13 May 2017
SAN 90
BOCA83
03 Nov 2016
SAN 84
BOCA67
18 Apr 2016
SAN 78
BOCA76
10 Nov 2015
SAN 74
BOCA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-21
29-22
17-12
14-22
20-23
18-21
21-15
18-26
22-23
19-14
18-20
14-17
19-28
19-16
14-19
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
153.3Avg total
74.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season at home (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.179.2153.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)75.079.8154.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.082.2160.2-4.228%
vs Similar (10)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)79.066.0145.0+13.050%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-20
20-23
21-23
20-27
18-25
20-20
20-19
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
174.0Avg total
86.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
Season at home (2)95.578.0173.5+17.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)86.587.5174.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.687.4174.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0105.0201.0-9.00%
vs Similar (16)83.982.5166.4+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.077.5164.5+9.5100%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
San LorenzoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
81.1Avg total
37.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.580.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.543.583.0-3.926%-
Last 30 away (11)36.540.877.4-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.681.1-6.10%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.943.981.9-6.022%-
vs Similar (10)38.740.779.4-2.030%-
vs Weaker (2)41.538.580.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
89.5Avg total
45.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.484.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.284.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.984.5+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.389.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.049.0103.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (16)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.238.283.4+7.177%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLLLW
Boca Juniors
WWLLLWLWLL
#16
League position
#9
-6.0
Net rating
-1.3
110.0
Offensive rating
115.8
116.0
Defensive rating
117.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.1%
3-point %
34.5%
50.9%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 115.8Defence116.0 · 117.2Shooting50.9% · 54.3%3-point %30.1% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80
12/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy66-80
04/04/26HBoca Juniors77-83
30/03/26HGimnasia73-81
26/03/26HOlimpico80-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
26/05/26AQuimsa78-91
23/05/26AQuimsa76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game76.276.2-
Allowed / game80.880.8-
Point differential-4.5-4.5-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game88.295.584.5
Allowed / game85.078.088.5
Point differential+3.2+17.5-4.0
Avg total173.2173.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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