San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 00:05

Final 77-67

23-14 24-24 16-15 14-14

Position#5

Record25-18

FormWWWLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game74.4

San Lorenzo 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#4

Record26-14

FormLWWWW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game74.5

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2023-24

Meetings · San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLorenzo

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

74-79 OT

-5

64avg 68

H05/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

86-80

80avg 68

A12/05

Liga A

Regatas

#10

66-82

-16

50avg 68

A15/05

Liga A

La Union

#16

79-92

-13

65avg 68

A17/05

Liga A

Ferro

#13

81-80

76avg 68

A23/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

91-84 OT

76avg 68

H27/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

86-73

+13

84avg 68

H29/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

93-80

+13

91avg 68

A02/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

77-79

-2

74avg 68

A08/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

47-91

-44

32avg 68

A10/06

Liga A

20-15

6-15

16-21

22-13

27-25

15-14

22-24

22-17

21-19

12-18

17-26

16-19

25-24

18-22

14-27

22-19

23-22

20-21

17-21

21-16

12-14

22-24

21-12

15-20

24-18

27-13

18-21

17-21

30-22

20-21

20-17

23-20

28-21

21-23

18-12

10-23

14-25

14-22

6-18

13-26

160.0Avg total

78.0Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	76.0	74.4	150.5	+1.6	58%
Season at home (21)	79.0	71.1	150.0	+7.9	71%
Season away (22)	73.2	77.6	150.9	-4.4	45%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	82.0	160.0	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	81.4	160.2	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	82.5	157.3	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (16)	75.6	74.6	150.2	+1.1	62%
vs Weaker (8)	77.0	77.5	154.5	-0.5	50%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Penarol

#11

87-83

78avg 74

H30/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

76-78

-2

62avg 74

H02/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-74 OT

75avg 74

A05/05

Liga A

Argentino

#17

89-52

+37

96avg 74

H08/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

81-73

76avg 74

H14/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

85-90

-5

74avg 74

A16/05

Liga A

San Martin

72-64

68avg 74

A22/05

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

83-67

+16

65avg 74

A24/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-77

68avg 74

H08/06

Liga A

San Lorenzo

91-47

+44

82avg 74

H10/06

Liga A

20-20

12-22

24-21

31-20

14-18

19-20

26-15

17-25

15-20

15-6

21-16

13-22

17-14

20-11

27-16

25-11

17-8

28-25

20-21

16-19

27-28

15-11

16-29

27-22

14-14

22-13

19-21

17-16

25-19

26-15

15-19

17-14

21-28

23-21

12-18

23-10

25-14

22-14

18-6

26-13

152.7Avg total

82.2Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	81.7	74.5	156.2	+7.2	65%
Season at home (21)	83.1	72.8	156.0	+10.3	71%
Season away (19)	80.1	76.4	156.4	+3.7	58%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	70.5	152.7	+11.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	69.0	151.0	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.5	76.0	146.5	-5.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	75.9	77.1	153.0	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	83.6	74.4	158.0	+9.2	71%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San LorenzoBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.8	38.9	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	69%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.6	40.1	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	19.3	40.6	+1.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	19.2	36.7	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.5	18.2	32.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.8	36.4	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.3	18.1	38.5	+2.2	62%	-

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

26-30

-4

H05/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

42-39

A12/05

Liga A

Regatas

#10

33-37

-4

A15/05

Liga A

La Union

#16

43-46

-3

A17/05

Liga A

Ferro

#13

43-43

A23/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

34-38

-4

H27/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

51-31

+20

H29/05

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

50-43

A02/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

49-44

A08/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

28-47

-19

A10/06

Liga A

79.7Avg total

39.9Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.2	76.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.8	79.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.8	38.8	73.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.1	36.1	75.1	+3.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.5	38.4	79.9	+3.1	62%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#11

32-42

-10

H30/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

33-38

-5

H02/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-26

A05/05

Liga A

Argentino

#17

37-25

+12

H08/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

45-33

+12

H14/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-39

A16/05

Liga A

San Martin

36-27

A22/05

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

51-34

+17

A24/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

44-49

-5

H08/06

Liga A

San Lorenzo

47-28

+19

H10/06

Liga A

73.8Avg total

39.7Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	37.6	77.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	34.1	73.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.4	79.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	38.5	71.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	40.7	79.4	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.6	37.5	79.0	+4.1	57%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	15.4	19.6	35.0	-4.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	15.6	36.0	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.4	37.4	-3.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.4	36.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	22.0	37.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.2	18.7	35.9	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	18.7	38.9	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+3.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	38.7	74.7	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	36.4	72.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	39.3	74.3	-4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	38.0	70.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.3	41.2	79.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.2	37.6	72.9	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.5	39.1	74.6	-3.6	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.9	75.3	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	33.4	76.4	+9.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	38.7	74.0	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	35.4	76.4	+5.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.6	71.6	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	37.5	75.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.1	36.4	73.6	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.3	35.6	75.9	+4.7	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	16.0	51.1%	53.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.5	31.0%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.2	11.2	78.8%	71.7%	11.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Lorenzo wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
10/06/24	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	91-47
08/06/24	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	79-77
05/05/24	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	74-79 OT
11/10/23	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	68-56
26/11/22	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	94-91
05/11/22	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	69-75
26/04/22	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	87-78
23/04/22	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	63-91
12/04/22	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	94-68
02/04/22	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	91-87

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/24	A	Boca Juniors	47-91
08/06/24	A	Boca Juniors	77-79
02/06/24	A	Obera TC	93-80
29/05/24	H	Obera TC	86-73
27/05/24	H	Obera TC	91-84 OT
23/05/24	A	Ferro	81-80
17/05/24	A	La Union	79-92
15/05/24	A	Regatas	66-82
12/05/24	A	Obera TC	86-80
05/05/24	H	Boca Juniors	74-79 OT

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/24	H	San Lorenzo	91-47
08/06/24	H	San Lorenzo	79-77
24/05/24	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-67
22/05/24	A	San Martin	72-64
16/05/24	A	Gimnasia	85-90
14/05/24	H	Independiente de Oliva	81-73
08/05/24	H	Argentino	89-52
05/05/24	A	San Lorenzo	79-74 OT
02/05/24	H	Regatas	76-78
30/04/24	H	Penarol	87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	58%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LWWLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	21	22
Win %	58%	71%	45%
Points / game	76.0	79.0	73.2
Allowed / game	74.4	71.1	77.6
Point differential	+1.6	+7.9	-4.4
Avg total	150.5	150.0	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	48%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (14)	33% (6)	62% (8)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	71%
Away	LWLWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	21	19
Win %	65%	71%	58%
Points / game	81.7	83.1	80.1
Allowed / game	74.5	72.8	76.4
Point differential	+7.2	+10.3	+3.7
Avg total	156.2	156.0	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	52%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (13)	40% (5)	38% (8)
Overtime %	10%	10%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	41	34	7	83%	85.1	78.0	+7.1
2	Instituto de Cordoba	40	28	12	70%	81.4	75.5	+5.9
3	Olimpico	40	27	13	68%	84.2	76.5	+7.7
4	Boca Juniors	40	26	14	65%	81.7	74.5	+7.2
5	San Lorenzo	43	25	18	58%	76.0	74.4	+1.6
6	San Martin	42	24	18	57%	75.1	72.2	+2.9
7	Obras Sanitarias	43	24	19	56%	84.3	84.9	-0.6
8	Platense	45	25	20	56%	79.1	79.1	+0.0
9	Gimnasia	41	22	19	54%	82.8	80.7	+2.1
10	Regatas	43	23	20	53%	78.0	77.5	+0.5
11	Penarol	45	22	23	49%	77.5	79.0	-1.6
12	Obera TC	41	19	22	46%	80.1	81.9	-1.8
13	Ferro	38	17	21	45%	77.9	80.3	-2.4
14	Riachuelo	38	16	22	42%	81.3	82.2	-0.9
15	Zarate	38	16	22	42%	71.9	76.6	-4.6
16	La Union	38	13	25	34%	78.3	81.3	-2.9
17	Argentino	41	14	27	34%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
18	Independiente de Oliva	38	12	26	32%	78.7	82.6	-3.9
19	Union De Santa Fe	38	11	27	29%	80.1	86.2	-6.1
20	Comunicaciones Mercedes	41	9	32	22%	77.6	84.2	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Lorenzo	23	24	16	14	77
Boca Juniors	14	24	15	14	67

← all games of the day

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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