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San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-79 (OT)
20-15 6-15 16-21 22-13 10-15
Position#5
Record20-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#4
Record19-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game76.1
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors
12 Dec 2026
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
SAN 77
BOCA83
17 Nov 2024
SAN 83
BOCA78
15 Jun 2024
SAN 68
BOCA77
13 Jun 2024
SAN 77
BOCA67
05 May 2024
SAN 74
BOCA79
04 Nov 2022
SAN 69
BOCA75
23 Apr 2022
SAN 63
BOCA91
02 Apr 2022
SAN 91
BOCA87
23 Sep 2021
SAN 60
BOCA78
14 Nov 2020
SAN 63
BOCA82
07 Jan 2020
SAN 68
BOCA66
23 Oct 2019
SAN 70
BOCA79
20 Mar 2019
SAN 76
BOCA74
22 Sep 2018
SAN 94
BOCA83
15 Feb 2018
SAN 73
BOCA67
28 Sep 2017
SAN 97
BOCA62
13 May 2017
SAN 90
BOCA83
03 Nov 2016
SAN 84
BOCA67
18 Apr 2016
SAN 78
BOCA76
10 Nov 2015
SAN 74
BOCA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
65avg 68
H13/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 68
H16/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 68
H02/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 68
H03/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
72-62
72
62
+10
59avg 68
H05/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 68
H12/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 68
H18/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 68
A23/04
Liga A
Zarate
#15
W
67-54
67
54
+13
58avg 68
A27/04
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 68
A28/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
26-14
15-14
13-18
18-26
21-19
17-17
17-10
22-16
20-21
11-16
19-22
20-19
27-28
19-19
26-20
26-15
18-17
16-19
12-11
21-18
22-14
25-17
19-27
19-12
17-18
22-21
24-18
14-26
22-16
19-22
20-16
21-7
20-20
13-12
13-15
21-22
18-22
15-20
27-24
148.8Avg total
76.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.472.2147.6+3.361%
Season at home (18)78.269.8148.0+8.372%
Season away (15)72.174.9147.1-2.847%
Last 10 (10)76.772.1148.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)78.473.4151.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.580.2159.8-0.850%
vs Similar (15)73.270.1143.3+3.160%
vs Weaker (11)78.672.1150.7+6.573%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
53-71
53
71
-18
38avg 74
A18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 74
A20/03
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 74
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 74
A29/03
Liga A
Ferro
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
60avg 74
A04/04
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 74
A07/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
84avg 74
A10/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 74
H20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 74
H30/04
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
62avg 74
H02/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-18
11-21
7-13
18-24
15-19
22-16
22-16
21-21
15-21
18-22
15-18
21-22
24-24
17-19
19-18
15-16
18-21
15-20
22-12
18-29
21-16
18-23
20-14
19-24
23-19
14-17
29-27
22-21
23-20
28-19
22-19
20-20
12-22
24-21
31-20
14-18
19-20
26-15
17-25
155.9Avg total
77.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.576.1157.6+5.459%
Season at home (17)82.775.3158.0+7.465%
Season away (15)80.177.1157.2+3.153%
Last 10 (10)77.078.9155.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)84.081.8165.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.771.3145.0+2.333%
vs Similar (6)73.576.3149.8-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.377.2159.5+5.157%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
San LorenzoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H02/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H03/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H05/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H12/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Liga A
Zarate
#15
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A27/04
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/04
Liga A
76.8Avg total
40.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.973.9+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.533.675.1+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)35.836.572.4-0.754%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.376.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.035.870.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (15)37.533.771.2+3.767%-
vs Weaker (11)42.736.178.8+6.682%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/03
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A29/03
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/04
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H30/04
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/05
Liga A
78.7Avg total
37.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.239.678.8-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.879.2-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.478.7-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.073.7-4.30%-
vs Similar (6)38.742.080.7-3.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.139.179.3+1.048%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.0
51.1%
53.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.5
31.0%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.211.2
78.8%
71.7%11.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Lorenzo wins
8
Boca Juniors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AArgentino81-88
27/04/24AZarate67-54
23/04/24APenarol75-80
18/04/24HUnion De Santa Fe82-69
12/04/24HSan Martin87-76
05/04/24HPlatense72-62
03/04/24HComunicaciones Mercedes92-86
02/04/24HInstituto de Cordoba72-75
16/03/24HGimnasia73-72
13/03/24HObras Sanitarias66-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24HRegatas76-78
30/04/24HPenarol87-83
20/04/24HUnion De Santa Fe95-79
10/04/24AInstituto de Cordoba85-87
07/04/24ARiachuelo77-82
04/04/24AFerro70-69
29/03/24ALa Union81-83
23/03/24APlatense69-82
20/03/24AOlimpico77-75
18/03/24AQuimsa53-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeLWWWW72%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %61%72%47%
Points / game75.478.272.1
Allowed / game72.269.874.9
Point differential+3.3+8.3-2.8
Avg total147.6148.0147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %59%65%53%
Points / game81.582.780.1
Allowed / game76.175.377.1
Point differential+5.4+7.4+3.1
Avg total157.6158.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa3429585%85.977.9+8.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba36251169%80.375.2+5.1
3 Olimpico34231168%84.576.2+8.3
4 Platense33211264%79.477.3+2.1
5 Obras Sanitarias32201262%85.585.4+0.1
6 San Lorenzo33201361%75.472.2+3.3
7 San Martin35211460%76.572.7+3.8
8 Boca Juniors32191359%81.576.1+5.4
9 Gimnasia32191359%82.480.1+2.2
10 Obera TC34181653%80.080.2-0.3
11 Regatas36171947%77.076.9+0.1
12 Penarol35161946%78.980.5-1.6
13 Ferro33132039%76.480.8-4.4
14 Riachuelo36142239%80.882.4-1.6
15 Zarate34132138%71.577.0-5.5
16 Independiente de Oliva33122136%78.581.5-3.1
17 La Union36122433%77.781.2-3.4
18 Argentino34102429%74.080.1-6.1
19 Comunicaciones Mercedes3392427%79.884.7-5.0
20 Union De Santa Fe3382524%79.086.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
San Lorenzo20616221074
Boca Juniors151521131579
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