San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 76-74

18-8 19-18 19-22 20-26

Position#1

Record17-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.7

Allowed / game76.4

San Lorenzo 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#8

Record12-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game75.6

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#20

95-78

+17

A27/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

78-82

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

98-82

+16

H12/02

Liga A

AEK Athens

64-86

-22

H15/02

Intercontinental Cup

Austin Toros Spurs

77-59

+18

H17/02

Intercontinental Cup

Regatas

103-85

103

+18

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

93-77

+16

A04/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

95-89

A06/03

Liga A

Libertad

#14

84-79

H09/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-82

H12/03

Liga A

24-13

19-23

25-20

27-22

14-15

20-20

27-25

17-22

29-29

22-24

25-11

22-18

13-18

13-27

28-23

10-18

16-12

14-15

31-18

16-14

29-19

22-22

33-13

19-31

22-15

19-23

16-21

36-18

22-19

18-22

26-17

29-31

13-26

21-13

29-23

21-17

22-26

18-18

17-23

30-15

167.3Avg total

87.4Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	92.7	76.4	169.1	+16.2	94%
Season at home (7)	94.1	79.7	173.9	+14.4	100%
Season away (11)	91.7	74.4	166.1	+17.4	91%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	79.9	167.3	+7.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	82.4	174.8	+10.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	64.0	86.0	150.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	89.1	75.6	164.7	+13.5	89%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Comunicaciones Mercedes

78-69

A01/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

60-67

-7

A03/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

78-85

-7

H07/02

Liga A

Regatas

92-85

H10/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-83

-15

A14/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

78-77

A18/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

64-73

-9

A01/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

79-77

H05/03

Liga A

Libertad

#14

82-78

H11/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

71-76

-5

H15/03

Liga A

19-22

20-16

20-14

19-17

7-18

16-13

18-21

19-15

20-22

21-20

18-21

19-22

24-21

12-25

22-15

34-24

13-19

14-22

16-21

25-21

25-9

14-28

20-16

19-24

10-18

13-21

28-14

13-20

12-16

15-22

25-16

27-23

28-14

14-27

19-25

21-12

19-17

14-21

19-23

19-15

152.0Avg total

75.0Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	74.9	75.6	150.5	-0.7	55%
Season at home (12)	76.4	75.3	151.8	+1.1	58%
Season away (10)	73.1	75.9	149.0	-2.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	77.0	152.0	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	76.2	151.0	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	83.2	84.0	167.2	-0.8	40%
vs Similar (14)	72.5	77.5	150.0	-5.0	29%
vs Weaker (11)	77.1	73.9	151.0	+3.2	73%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San LorenzoBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.4	40.4	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	17.5	39.8	+4.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.8	33.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.5	16.3	33.7	+1.2	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	27.0	40.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.7	39%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.2	18.3	33.5	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	21.5	36.8	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	23.8	37.8	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	45%	-

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#20

43-36

A27/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

34-35

-1

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

51-53

-2

H12/02

Liga A

AEK Athens

26-45

-19

H15/02

Intercontinental Cup

Austin Toros Spurs

30-27

H17/02

Intercontinental Cup

Regatas

51-41

+10

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

41-38

A04/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

40-41

-1

A06/03

Liga A

Libertad

#14

34-39

-5

H09/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-44

-4

H12/03

Liga A

78.9Avg total

39.0Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	38.1	79.9	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	36.5	78.2	+5.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.9	78.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	45.0	71.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.2	37.0	79.2	+5.2	61%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Comunicaciones Mercedes

39-38

A01/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

23-31

-8

A03/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

41-42

-1

H07/02

Liga A

Regatas

36-46

-10

H10/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

27-41

-14

A14/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

39-37

A18/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

23-39

-16

A01/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

27-38

-11

H05/03

Liga A

Libertad

#14

42-41

H11/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

33-38

-5

H15/03

Liga A

72.1Avg total

33.0Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.5	36.6	70.1	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.0	37.1	72.1	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.7	36.0	67.7	-4.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	39.1	72.1	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	38.6	71.4	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.8	37.4	71.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	33.2	38.1	71.4	-4.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	33.6	34.3	67.9	-0.6	55%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	21.4	46.1	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	18.1	40.9	+4.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	19.4	45.1	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.7	19.5	41.3	+2.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	18.6	41.9	+4.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	22.4	49.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.0	19.6	42.7	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.2	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	39.0	85.3	+7.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.1	40.0	88.1	+8.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	38.1	82.9	+6.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.4	40.0	88.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	41.8	93.0	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	46.9	38.6	85.5	+8.2	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.5	80.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	39.6	81.2	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	37.6	79.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	42.6	39.6	82.2	+3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.3	39.4	78.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.5	39.6	83.1	+3.8	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Lorenzo wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/19	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	72-83
11/10/18	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	79-85
23/09/18	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	94-83
21/03/18	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	91-88
16/02/18	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	73-67
18/10/17	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	75-78
29/09/17	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	97-62
14/05/17	San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors	90-83
13/02/17	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	73-60
23/11/16	Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo	71-75

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/19	H	Gimnasia	87-82
09/03/19	H	Libertad	84-79
06/03/19	A	La Union	95-89
04/03/19	A	San Martin	93-77
02/03/19	A	Regatas	103-85
17/02/19	H	Austin Toros Spurs	77-59
15/02/19	H	AEK Athens	64-86
12/02/19	H	Regatas	98-82
09/02/19	A	Weber Bahia	78-82
27/01/19	A	Quilmes	95-78

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/19	H	Olimpico	71-76
11/03/19	H	Libertad	82-78
05/03/19	H	Argentino	79-77
01/03/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	64-73
18/02/19	A	Argentino	78-77
14/02/19	A	Gimnasia	68-83
10/02/19	H	Regatas	92-85
07/02/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-85
03/02/19	A	Estudiantes	60-67
01/02/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	7	11
Win %	94%	100%	91%
Points / game	92.7	94.1	91.7
Allowed / game	76.4	79.7	74.4
Point differential	+16.2	+14.4	+17.4
Avg total	169.1	173.9	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	57%	73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	55%
Home	LWWWL	58%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	55%	58%	50%
Points / game	74.9	76.4	73.1
Allowed / game	75.6	75.3	75.9
Point differential	-0.7	+1.1	-2.8
Avg total	150.5	151.8	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	17%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	67% (6)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	18	17	1	94%	92.7	76.4	+16.2
2	Instituto de Cordoba	21	15	6	71%	84.9	75.8	+9.1
3	Gimnasia	22	14	8	64%	82.6	78.4	+4.3
4	Ferro	24	15	9	62%	83.2	78.1	+5.1
5	Obras Sanitarias	23	14	9	61%	81.7	82.3	-0.5
6	Regatas	25	15	10	60%	83.6	81.9	+1.7
7	Quimsa	22	13	9	59%	85.1	80.3	+4.8
8	Boca Juniors	22	12	10	55%	74.9	75.6	-0.7
9	Comunicaciones Mercedes	24	13	11	54%	80.8	78.2	+2.6
10	San Martin	21	11	10	52%	79.3	81.6	-2.2
11	Hispano Americano	20	10	10	50%	83.8	83.5	+0.2
12	Estudiantes	24	12	12	50%	77.2	78.8	-1.6
13	Olimpico	22	10	12	45%	77.9	77.1	+0.8
14	La Union	22	10	12	45%	84.5	84.5	+0.0
15	Libertad	22	10	12	45%	79.4	80.5	-1.1
16	Weber Bahia	21	7	14	33%	71.1	80.0	-8.9
17	Penarol	22	6	16	27%	77.1	84.3	-7.2
18	Quilmes	22	6	16	27%	77.9	85.2	-7.3
19	Argentino	23	6	17	26%	79.9	87.1	-7.3
20	Atenas	20	4	16	20%	77.7	83.8	-6.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Lorenzo	18	19	19	20	76
Boca Juniors	8	18	22	26	74

← all games of the day

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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