PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:05
Final 75-76
16-21 21-20 17-12 21-23
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#14
Record9-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
29 Jan 2027
BOCA v SAN
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
BOCA78
SAN 74
14 Feb 2025
BOCA75
SAN 76
10 Jun 2024
BOCA91
SAN 47
08 Jun 2024
BOCA79
SAN 77
10 Oct 2023
BOCA68
SAN 56
25 Nov 2022
BOCA94
SAN 91
26 Apr 2022
BOCA87
SAN 78
12 Apr 2022
BOCA94
SAN 68
24 Jan 2021
BOCA71
SAN 80
11 Apr 2020
BOCA v SAN
upcoming
25 Oct 2019
BOCA0
SAN 20
19 Jan 2019
BOCA72
SAN 83
10 Oct 2018
BOCA79
SAN 85
20 Mar 2018
BOCA91
SAN 88
17 Oct 2017
BOCA75
SAN 78
12 Feb 2017
BOCA73
SAN 60
23 Nov 2016
BOCA71
SAN 75
30 Apr 2016
BOCA92
SAN 80
06 Oct 2015
BOCA83
SAN 97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 75
H21/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
48avg 75
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 75
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
80avg 75
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 75
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
88avg 75
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 75
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 75
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
96-71
96
71
+25
97avg 75
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
114-70
114
70
+44
120avg 75
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
16-14
24-16
19-29
21-27
14-30
12-20
14-19
22-17
24-14
16-18
21-14
21-13
21-20
21-24
27-18
29-27
23-22
20-21
25-21
26-23
14-25
27-12
23-26
17-24
21-16
22-6
19-31
27-18
19-22
18-14
19-25
24-17
32-15
28-12
12-27
30-13
21-21
33-16
30-20
165.9Avg total
87.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.676.4158.0+5.379%
Season at home (8)84.972.5157.4+12.4100%
Season away (11)79.379.2158.5+0.164%
Last 10 (10)87.878.1165.9+9.790%
Last 5 (5)92.476.6169.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Similar (12)78.074.4152.4+3.692%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.474.6161.1+11.879%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Regatas
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 69
H11/12
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 69
H22/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 69
A08/01
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 69
A10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
80avg 69
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 69
H14/01
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 69
H19/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 69
A25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
45avg 69
H27/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
84avg 69
H05/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
17-18
26-14
17-16
20-23
24-15
13-23
26-24
24-24
14-21
21-22
12-14
18-21
23-22
16-21
20-16
15-14
23-23
25-16
24-19
13-22
25-16
20-20
28-11
33-20
16-21
23-25
17-18
27-18
15-18
23-24
14-14
11-20
14-20
14-11
20-22
23-21
22-18
23-24
26-25
158.4Avg total
79.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.178.6154.7-2.545%
Season at home (11)79.077.5156.5+1.555%
Season away (9)72.680.0152.6-7.433%
Last 10 (10)79.978.5158.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.477.6159.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.878.5149.2-7.833%
vs Similar (15)79.379.1158.3+0.260%
vs Weaker (3)83.083.0166.0+0.033%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H21/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H12/02
Champions League Americas
84.0Avg total
44.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.679.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.933.076.9+10.986%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.681.7-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.284.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.885.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (12)37.537.274.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.637.683.2+7.979%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#7
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H11/12
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/01
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H14/01
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H27/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/02
Liga A
79.7Avg total
39.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.779.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.777.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.780.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.679.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.138.477.5+0.758%-
vs Similar (15)39.540.780.1-1.233%-
vs Weaker (3)41.740.382.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.9
56.4%
53.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.5
76.7%
71.7%12.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boca Juniors wins
2
San Lorenzo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HToros del Chiriqui114-70
09/02/25HFlamengo96-71
01/02/25HRegatas83-79
29/01/25AIndependiente de Oliva79-77
26/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba90-86
21/01/25HLa Union97-91
18/01/25AQuimsa90-75
15/01/25AToros del Chiriqui83-63
14/01/25AFlamengo61-96
21/12/24HPlatense85-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HAtenas94-88
27/01/25HSan Martin59-73
25/01/25AObera TC79-74
19/01/25HLa Union89-84
14/01/25HOlimpico86-69
12/01/25HArgentino87-72
10/01/25APenarol77-80
08/01/25APlatense71-81
22/12/24HZarate83-85
11/12/24HRegatas74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %79%100%64%
Points / game81.684.979.3
Allowed / game76.472.579.2
Point differential+5.3+12.4+0.1
Avg total158.0157.4158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%55%33%
Points / game76.179.072.6
Allowed / game78.677.580.0
Point differential-2.5+1.5-7.4
Avg total154.7156.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors1915479%81.676.4+5.3
2 Obras Sanitarias2115671%83.078.0+5.0
3 Instituto de Cordoba2014670%79.569.7+9.8
4 Riachuelo2014670%83.076.0+7.0
5 Quimsa1912763%85.076.5+8.5
6 Obera TC1912763%83.879.8+4.0
7 Union De Santa Fe22121055%79.583.7-4.3
8 Penarol21111052%82.479.6+2.9
9 Olimpico21111052%80.181.7-1.5
10 San Martin20101050%74.373.2+1.1
11 Atenas24121250%78.879.6-0.8
12 Regatas22111150%80.482.0-1.5
13 Ferro22111150%82.384.1-1.8
14 San Lorenzo2091145%76.178.6-2.5
15 Gimnasia2081240%81.078.2+2.8
16 Platense2181338%80.882.2-1.4
17 Independiente de Oliva2371630%82.686.0-3.4
18 La Union2061430%84.688.9-4.3
19 Zarate2061430%70.781.2-10.5
20 Argentino2241818%72.483.3-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors1621172175
San Lorenzo2120122376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.