Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 88-69

25-15 22-22 17-18 24-14

Position#14

Record6-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game78.0

Libertad 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#9

Record2-8

FormWLLLL

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game80.6

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

78-81

-3

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

56-79

-23

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

83-60

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

77-76

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

72-84

-12

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

85-73

+12

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

97-96

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

66-64

A10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

75-83

-8

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

95-84

+11

H15/01

Liga A

13-28

24-20

27-15

14-18

10-20

8-10

19-29

19-20

24-11

22-12

27-20

10-17

20-18

20-19

16-26

21-13

15-22

14-25

21-23

22-14

20-22

14-15

31-14

22-22

16-23

33-21

26-30

10-20

22-11

12-23

22-10

14-27

8-23

27-12

26-21

21-20

19-18

23-26

32-20

156.4Avg total

78.4Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.4	78.0	156.4	+0.4	60%
Season at home (6)	82.3	78.8	161.2	+3.5	67%
Season away (4)	72.5	76.8	149.2	-4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	78.0	156.4	+0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	80.0	163.6	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.7	87.2	168.9	-5.5	30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.3	78.5	156.7	-0.2	47%
vs Weaker (5)	76.4	71.6	148.0	+4.8	80%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

60-78

-18

A21/12

Liga A

Valencia

79-83

-4

H23/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

82-96

-14

A29/12

ACB

Murcia

#14

88-73

+15

A03/01

ACB

Real Madrid

93-88

H06/01

ACB

Hispano Americano

#15

90-78

+12

A09/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

58-63

-5

A11/01

Liga A

Unicaja

76-82

-6

A12/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

78-90

-12

A13/01

Liga A

Regatas

70-71

-1

H17/01

Liga A

17-18

19-16

12-23

12-21

19-13

15-25

24-19

21-26

21-30

18-23

18-20

25-23

23-23

21-20

24-18

20-12

25-25

21-24

20-15

27-24

26-24

21-14

21-23

22-17

14-18

18-17

14-15

12-13

16-19

18-19

18-28

24-16

18-19

23-20

21-26

16-25

20-22

15-13

20-20

15-16

157.6Avg total

77.4Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.3	80.6	152.9	-8.3	20%
Season at home (4)	73.0	80.5	153.5	-7.5	25%
Season away (6)	71.8	80.7	152.5	-8.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	80.2	157.6	-2.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	76.8	151.2	-2.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	73.5	85.1	158.6	-11.6	17%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	78.1	80.7	158.8	-2.6	35%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	89.0	173.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	20.8	38.7	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	19.5	37.7	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.4	38.9	-2.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.6	18.9	37.6	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.7	37.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.6	37.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.5	39.3	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	21.1	38.9	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.8	21.8	38.7	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.1	19.6	39.6	+0.5	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

37-48

-11

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

18-30

-12

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-23

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

40-37

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

29-47

-18

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

40-44

-4

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

38-45

-7

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

32-31

A10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

22-50

-28

A12/01

Liga A

Regatas

40-38

H15/01

Liga A

73.5Avg total

34.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	38.7	74.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	37.5	76.6	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	40.0	72.9	-7.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	39.3	73.5	-5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	41.6	76.0	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.5	40.5	77.0	-4.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	35.6	37.7	73.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	37.8	75.2	-0.4	60%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

36-34

A21/12

Liga A

Valencia

34-38

-4

H23/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

39-53

-14

A29/12

ACB

Murcia

#14

44-43

A03/01

ACB

Real Madrid

46-49

-3

H06/01

ACB

Hispano Americano

#15

47-38

A09/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

32-35

-3

A11/01

Liga A

Unicaja

34-38

-4

A12/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

41-39

A13/01

Liga A

Regatas

35-35

H17/01

Liga A

79.0Avg total

38.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	40.4	77.4	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	40.4	76.1	-4.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	40.5	78.4	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.2	42.6	76.8	-8.4	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.7	38.5	77.2	+0.2	59%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	47.0	87.0	-7.0	0%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	23.4	46.1	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.3	19.4	37.8	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.8	18%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	19.0	46.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.9	23.3	45.2	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.5	19.3	40.7	+2.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.6	44.9	-0.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.0	23.1	44.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	41%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.6	84.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	44.2	89.1	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	38.7	82.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	38.4	87.6	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	45.2	46.7	91.9	-1.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.7	40.7	83.4	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.0	33.8	72.8	+5.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.3	81.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	43.4	84.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	41.4	79.4	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.8	76.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.3	42.5	81.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.4	42.2	81.6	-2.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Libertadtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 81.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	21.1	50.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.1%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.4	71.3%	71.7%	13.4

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.1	54.3%	53.8%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	10.4	37.3%	32.9%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.7	76.6%	71.7%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	19.5	50.3%	53.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.1	33.2%	32.9%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.5	73.3%	71.7%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.0	52.5%	53.8%	42.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.8%	32.9%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.7	74.4%	71.7%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/17	Libertad v Estudiantes	72-81
14/02/17	Estudiantes v Libertad	85-73
14/11/16	Libertad v Estudiantes	84-82
10/11/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	77-64
02/05/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	83-86
19/12/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	95-70
23/10/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	78-61
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/19	H	Regatas	95-84
12/01/19	A	Penarol	75-83
10/01/19	A	Quilmes	66-64
07/01/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-96
21/12/18	H	Olimpico	85-73
18/12/18	A	Weber Bahia	72-84
16/12/18	A	Argentino	77-76
12/12/18	H	San Martin	83-60
08/12/18	H	Boca Juniors	56-79
06/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	78-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/19	H	Regatas	70-71
13/01/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	78-90
12/01/19	A	Unicaja	76-82
11/01/19	A	San Lorenzo	58-63
09/01/19	A	Hispano Americano	90-78
06/01/19	H	Real Madrid	93-88
03/01/19	A	Murcia	88-73
29/12/18	A	MoraBanc Andorra	82-96
23/12/18	H	Valencia	79-83
21/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	60-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	60%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	78.4	82.3	72.5
Allowed / game	78.0	78.8	76.8
Point differential	+0.4	+3.5	-4.2
Avg total	156.4	161.2	149.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LLWLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	20%	25%	17%
Points / game	72.3	73.0	71.8
Allowed / game	80.6	80.5	80.7
Point differential	-8.3	-7.5	-8.8
Avg total	152.9	153.5	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	8	8	0	100%	93.5	74.4	+19.1
2	Obras Sanitarias	9	7	2	78%	86.4	82.0	+4.4
3	Gimnasia	8	6	2	75%	83.1	75.1	+8.0
4	Boca Juniors	8	6	2	75%	77.5	71.5	+6.0
5	Regatas	10	7	3	70%	85.1	80.4	+4.7
6	Ferro	9	6	3	67%	82.3	79.0	+3.3
7	Libertad	10	6	4	60%	78.4	78.0	+0.4
8	Quimsa	7	4	3	57%	90.0	84.4	+5.6
9	La Union	9	5	4	56%	87.4	85.6	+1.9
10	San Martin	9	5	4	56%	78.6	82.6	-4.0
11	Instituto de Cordoba	6	3	3	50%	86.7	85.5	+1.2
12	Penarol	9	4	5	44%	85.1	87.3	-2.2
13	Comunicaciones Mercedes	8	3	5	38%	82.9	82.5	+0.4
14	Hispano Americano	8	3	5	38%	78.2	86.1	-7.9
15	Olimpico	7	2	5	29%	75.1	77.1	-2.0
16	Estudiantes	10	2	8	20%	72.3	80.6	-8.3
17	Weber Bahia	6	1	5	17%	67.7	78.0	-10.3
18	Atenas	7	1	6	14%	75.6	81.7	-6.1
19	Quilmes	7	1	6	14%	79.0	86.9	-7.9
20	Argentino	7	1	6	14%	83.9	94.7	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	25	22	17	24	88
Estudiantes	15	22	18	14	69

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature