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San Pablo Burgos vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 91-67
34-11 27-20 16-20 14-16
Position#3
Record20-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#15
Record8-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 29· Coliseum Burgos
Other2023-24
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Castello
15 Dec 2024
SPB95
CAST68
10 Apr 2024
SPB91
CAST67
25 Mar 2023
SPB98
CAST48
21 Oct 2016
SPB105
CAST81
27 Nov 2015
SPB74
CAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
88-69
88
69
+19
83avg 80
H03/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
103-104
103
104
-1
91avg 80
A11/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
91avg 80
H17/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
76avg 80
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
104-97 OT
104
97
+7
no box
H09/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 80
A13/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
99-72
99
72
+27
100avg 80
H16/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 80
H23/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A30/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
98avg 80
H06/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-17
21-12
25-20
19-17
37-31
17-30
30-26
24-20
27-21
20-16
19-12
14-9
22-19
21-14
20-15
24-21
14-15
23-12
15-28
22-25
20-16
19-14
11-22
26-15
20-22
24-17
29-18
17-18
21-17
15-17
22-18
26-23
22-20
16-24
20-24
17-25
21-18
21-23
25-18
170.9Avg total
90.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.278.0165.2+9.271%
Season at home (14)90.777.9168.6+12.986%
Season away (14)83.878.1161.9+5.657%
Last 10 (10)90.180.8170.9+9.370%
Last 5 (5)87.882.4170.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.485.8172.2+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.574.8161.3+11.781%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
L
77-98
77
98
-21
72avg 71
A02/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 71
H09/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 71
A16/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 71
H01/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
61avg 71
A08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
72-112
72
112
-40
65avg 71
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 71
A24/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 71
A31/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 71
H05/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
25-23
14-26
27-32
21-22
26-37
27-21
18-18
19-13
22-22
21-27
22-19
14-18
22-18
25-21
19-27
19-19
17-25
19-18
23-30
20-21
17-21
15-22
26-17
17-36
18-31
21-22
16-23
21-19
16-21
21-24
23-16
11-24
17-18
19-26
32-27
19-24
15-19
27-16
29-26
171.7Avg total
81.1Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.686.8165.5-8.229%
Season at home (14)80.985.9166.8-5.136%
Season away (14)76.487.7164.1-11.321%
Last 10 (10)81.190.6171.7-9.530%
Last 5 (5)80.090.6170.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.888.7167.5-9.924%
vs Similar (12)80.283.7163.8-3.542%
vs Weaker (1)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
San Pablo BurgosCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A11/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H06/04
Primera FEB
82.4Avg total
43.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.380.0+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.436.278.6+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)42.938.381.2+4.675%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.982.4+4.690%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.840.080.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.536.279.7+7.381%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H09/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
35-67
35
67
-32
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A31/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/04
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
36.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.280.4-6.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.943.582.5-4.620%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.978.4-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.881.5-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.881.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.144.682.6-6.518%-
vs Similar (12)36.341.477.8-5.125%-
vs Weaker (1)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Pablo Burgos wins
1
Castello wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HCaceres109-102 OT
30/03/24AReal Valladolid84-91
23/03/24HGipuzkoa75-70
16/03/24HMelilla99-72
13/03/24AForca Lleida72-77
09/03/24HTizona Burgos104-97 OT
03/03/24AEstudiantes77-57
17/02/24HHestia Menorca90-69
11/02/24ALeyma Coruna103-104
03/02/24HEstela88-69
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HMelilla90-85
31/03/24AEstudiantes79-95
24/03/24AOviedo81-80
17/03/24HTizona Burgos72-112
13/03/24HOurense78-81
08/03/24AGipuzkoa78-92
01/03/24HReal Valladolid80-84
16/02/24ACaceres84-81
09/02/24HForca Lleida92-98
02/02/24AReal Betis77-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game87.290.783.8
Allowed / game78.077.978.1
Point differential+9.2+12.9+5.6
Avg total165.2168.6161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %11%14%7%
Castello
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game78.680.976.4
Allowed / game86.885.987.7
Point differential-8.2-5.1-11.3
Avg total165.5166.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2923679%90.782.0+8.7
2 Tizona Burgos2921872%88.981.3+7.7
3 Gipuzkoa2921872%82.475.9+6.5
4 Forca Lleida2921872%80.374.8+5.5
5 San Pablo Burgos2820871%87.278.0+9.2
6 Estudiantes2920969%84.077.0+7.0
7 Real Valladolid29181162%78.979.1-0.2
8 Alicante28171161%79.475.4+4.0
9 Real Betis29131645%80.978.7+2.2
10 Ourense28121643%73.578.6-5.1
11 Hestia Menorca29121741%71.475.0-3.5
12 Fuenlabrada28111739%76.679.2-2.6
13 Oviedo29111838%78.880.1-1.3
14 Estela29101934%78.382.9-4.6
15 Melilla2992031%75.682.2-6.7
16 Castello2882029%78.686.8-8.2
17 Caceres2862221%74.684.0-9.4
18 Clavijo2952417%68.878.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos3427161491
Castello1120201667
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