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San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game103.2
SpainACBRound 24· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida
13 Mar 2027
SPB v FLL
upcoming
02 May 2026
SPB99
FLL91
08 Jun 2024
SPB77
FLL80
14 Oct 2023
SPB79
FLL66
05 May 2023
SPB90
FLL78
30 Sep 2016
SPB81
FLL88
16 Oct 2015
SPB67
FLL43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
21-19
30-16
22-33
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
14-28
16-25
25-16
25-24
20-19
25-25
25-30
17-22
18-24
21-22
20-24
25-15
23-25
15-21
16-20
18-13
25-18
20-18
17-22
17-31
34-20
18-17
29-26
18-18
21-17
14-22
19-23
17-17
171.0Avg total
84.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.887.0176.8+2.840%
Season at home (2)84.588.5173.0-4.00%
Season away (3)93.386.0179.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.886.2171.0-1.430%
Last 5 (5)81.082.6163.6-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.290.8175.0-6.78%
vs Similar (12)90.889.8180.7+1.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.085.0176.0+6.067%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
87-114
87
114
-27
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-122
86
122
-36
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
29-22
15-19
21-14
26-35
12-28
24-25
25-26
16-9
24-15
16-22
19-26
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
21-31
19-23
23-27
23-41
190.9Avg total
89.4Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.8103.2195.0-11.420%
Season at home (2)83.5108.0191.5-24.50%
Season away (3)97.3100.0197.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)89.4101.5190.9-12.130%
Last 5 (5)91.8103.2195.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.595.8182.2-9.330%
vs Similar (10)83.289.8173.0-6.630%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
San Pablo BurgosForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
Eurocup
84.4Avg total
41.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.887.6-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.145.089.1-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.384.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.345.186.4-3.825%-
vs Similar (12)43.244.888.0-1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.044.389.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H10/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H25/10
ACB
94.7Avg total
43.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.086.9-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.947.087.9-6.123%-
Last 30 away (17)39.246.986.2-7.718%-
Last 10 (10)43.751.094.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.451.094.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.648.088.6-7.320%-
vs Similar (10)38.645.083.6-6.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.0
55.0%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.7%15.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.8
57.3%
55.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.715.8
66.7%
75.7%15.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LWLLLLLWWL
Forca Lleida
LLLLWLLWLW
#12
League position
#16
-1.4
Net rating
-12.8
94.2
Offensive rating
94.7
95.6
Defensive rating
107.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
31.7%
55.2%
Assist %
56.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 94.7Defence95.6 · 107.5Shooting52.7% · 53.7%3-point %32.3% · 31.7%Ball care17.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRigas Zelli71-79
24/10/26AManresa99-81
21/10/26ATortona79-89
17/10/26HObradoiro CAB72-79
14/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem84-85
11/10/26ABilbao87-96
07/10/26AAris80-93
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
27/09/26HBaskonia97-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HReal Madrid86-122
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
17/05/26HGran Canaria75-72
13/05/26ABreogan87-114
10/05/26HBilbao90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game89.884.593.3
Allowed / game87.088.586.0
Point differential+2.8-4.0+7.3
Avg total176.8173.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game91.883.597.3
Allowed / game103.2108.0100.0
Point differential-11.4-24.5-2.7
Avg total195.0191.5197.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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