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San Pablo Burgos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-100
17-18 28-21 28-29 22-32
Position#14
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 6
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Real Madrid
16 Jan 2027
SPB v MAD
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SPB78
MAD94
13 Mar 2022
SPB70
MAD85
06 Dec 2020
SPB60
MAD74
04 May 2019
SPB84
MAD102
28 Oct 2017
SPB95
MAD100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#3
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
A21/05
Primera FEB
Breogan
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H26/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H02/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H04/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A09/06
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#8
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H01/10
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
81-111
81
111
-30
A08/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H14/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-18
20-21
9-22
20-17
22-20
29-31
21-13
14-26
19-19
21-19
26-15
23-22
20-23
18-13
29-24
23-24
16-20
15-23
32-18
16-19
10-19
19-19
20-24
18-32
14-33
16-18
24-10
18-29
23-27
26-28
14-27
18-25
21-21
16-18
17-23
6-29
24-23
18-20
21-22
166.7Avg total
79.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.893.2165.0-21.40%
Season at home (2)68.584.0152.5-15.50%
Season away (3)74.099.3173.3-25.30%
Last 10 (10)79.587.2166.7-7.750%
Last 5 (5)71.893.2165.0-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.593.0165.5-20.50%
vs Similar (7)82.384.3166.6-2.057%
vs Weaker (19)84.276.1160.3+8.184%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A22/09
Supercopa ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H01/10
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A05/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A15/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H22/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H24/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
11-13
11-14
25-22
26-18
24-17
13-25
31-28
20-28
23-17
17-17
27-18
26-13
20-20
15-16
32-16
28-19
17-17
17-20
26-18
17-18
26-21
18-23
25-20
20-15
25-18
11-20
26-16
26-20
19-20
31-16
23-29
30-28
24-26
27-20
19-16
18-16
22-15
23-19
24-16
165.2Avg total
88.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.880.0171.8+11.8100%
Season at home (3)95.379.3174.7+16.0100%
Season away (2)86.581.0167.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.077.2165.2+10.890%
Last 5 (5)90.878.4169.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)76.183.1159.3-7.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.578.2167.7+11.391%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
San Pablo BurgosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A21/05
Primera FEB
Breogan
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H02/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A09/06
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#8
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H01/10
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A08/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/10
ACB
83.1Avg total
37.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.480.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.481.5+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.841.580.3-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)37.146.083.1-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.651.485.0-17.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.551.285.8-16.80%-
vs Similar (7)40.941.182.0-0.357%-
vs Weaker (19)41.737.879.5+3.953%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/09
Supercopa ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/10
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A15/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H24/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A26/10
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
43.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.280.9+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.783.5+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.837.678.4+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.382.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.484.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.341.779.0-4.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.237.182.3+8.182%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.0
48.6%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.7%
35.4%24.8
🏀 Free throws18.211.8
64.4%
74.6%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.2
56.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.215.8
78.2%
74.6%15.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LLLLLWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#1
-30.6
Net rating
+11.1
95.4
Offensive rating
117.0
125.9
Defensive rating
105.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
23.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
36.9%
52.4%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 117.0Defence125.9 · 105.9Shooting48.2% · 55.8%3-point %31.7% · 36.9%Ball care23.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Pablo Burgos wins
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/17AObradoiro CAB69-94
14/10/17HEstudiantes72-87
08/10/17ABarcelona81-111
05/10/17AUnicaja72-93
01/10/17HTenerife65-81
09/06/17APalencia86-85
04/06/17HPalencia90-82
02/06/17HPalencia80-79
26/05/17HBreogan92-81
21/05/17ABreogan88-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/17AZalgiris Kaunas87-66
24/10/17HOlimpia Milano100-90
22/10/17HUnicaja99-85
19/10/17HCSKA Moscow82-69
15/10/17AValencia86-82
12/10/17AAnadolu Efes88-74
08/10/17HTecnyconta Zaragoza93-65
05/10/17ABilbao87-80
01/10/17HMoraBanc Andorra94-88
22/09/17AGran Canaria64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.868.574.0
Allowed / game93.284.099.3
Point differential-21.4-15.5-25.3
Avg total165.0152.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.895.386.5
Allowed / game80.079.381.0
Point differential+11.8+16.0+5.5
Avg total171.8174.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%91.880.0+11.8
2 Fuenlabrada550100%81.475.2+6.2
3 Barcelona54180%88.874.6+14.2
4 Gran Canaria54180%90.680.0+10.6
5 Tenerife54180%78.271.0+7.2
6 Valencia54180%83.078.2+4.8
7 Unicaja53260%84.076.6+7.4
8 Obradoiro CAB53260%75.278.6-3.4
9 Estudiantes42250%79.582.0-2.5
10 Gipuzkoa52340%83.075.2+7.8
11 Baskonia52340%84.285.8-1.6
12 Murcia52340%76.679.0-2.4
13 Bilbao52340%77.682.0-4.4
14 MoraBanc Andorra51420%83.088.2-5.2
15 Tecnyconta Zaragoza51420%80.285.4-5.2
16 Joventut Badalona4040%70.580.2-9.8
17 Real Betis5050%73.490.0-16.6
18 San Pablo Burgos5050%71.893.2-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos1728282295
Real Madrid18212932100
← all games of the day
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