Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2017

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 80-87

28-20 17-23 17-17 18-27

Position#17

Record0-1

FormWLLLL

Points / game68.0

Allowed / game82.0

Bilbao

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormLLLLW

Points / game94.0

Allowed / game88.0

ACBRound 2

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

76-104

104

-28

A26/03

ACB

Real Betis

#16

85-73

+12

A08/04

ACB

Valencia

88-75

+13

H12/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

85-90

-5

H17/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

55-82

-27

A23/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

81-67

+14

H30/04

ACB

Tenerife

76-80

-4

A07/05

ACB

Baskonia

64-75

-11

H10/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

80-86

-6

A14/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#11

68-82

-14

A30/09

ACB

20-23

19-23

22-27

15-31

25-12

20-11

23-30

17-20

23-18

22-21

24-17

19-19

25-20

19-21

23-18

18-31

10-19

12-20

18-24

15-19

21-23

15-14

19-15

26-15

16-19

12-12

23-24

25-25

20-21

8-12

21-19

15-23

17-24

20-16

22-22

21-24

16-26

15-17

16-19

21-20

157.2Avg total

75.8Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	68.0	82.0	150.0	-14.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	68.0	82.0	150.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	81.4	157.2	-5.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	78.0	151.8	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.4	82.9	155.3	-10.5	15%
vs Similar (12)	79.2	81.8	161.0	-2.7	50%
vs Weaker (5)	85.2	77.8	163.0	+7.4	80%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

95-84

+11

H28/05

ACB

Unicaja

71-68

H31/05

ACB

Unicaja

101-72

101

+29

H02/06

ACB

Unicaja

76-73

A04/06

ACB

Valencia

87-81

H09/06

ACB

Valencia

79-86

-7

H11/06

ACB

Valencia

64-81

-17

A14/06

ACB

Valencia

76-87

-11

A16/06

ACB

Gran Canaria

64-73

-9

A22/09

Supercopa ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

94-88

H01/10

ACB

27-18

19-21

23-27

26-18

20-16

18-18

14-16

19-18

27-23

30-10

22-16

22-23

11-14

20-19

25-21

21-21

22-22

22-16

22-22

22-28

19-15

23-18

15-25

16-11

19-25

16-23

13-22

20-19

11-29

25-19

20-20

17-24

11-13

11-14

25-22

26-18

24-17

13-25

31-28

160.0Avg total

80.7Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	94.0	88.0	182.0	+6.0	100%
Season at home (1)	94.0	88.0	182.0	+6.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.7	79.3	160.0	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	83.0	158.4	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	75.2	80.4	155.7	-5.2	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	90.0	79.2	169.3	+10.8	90%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.6	38.9	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	21.9	39.1	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	23%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.4	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.0	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	16.7	32.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	14.2	28.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	16.6	39.0	+5.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.6	38.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	18.8	41.0	+3.3	70%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

39-46

-7

A26/03

ACB

Real Betis

#16

45-23

+22

A08/04

ACB

Valencia

45-39

H12/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

44-41

H17/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

22-39

-17

A23/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

36-37

-1

H30/04

ACB

Tenerife

28-31

-3

A07/05

ACB

Baskonia

28-33

-5

H10/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

37-40

-3

A14/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#11

31-43

-12

A30/09

ACB

72.7Avg total

35.5Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.1	77.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	37.7	77.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	37.2	72.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	36.8	68.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.5	40.2	74.7	-5.8	8%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	34.2	78.0	+9.6	100%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

46-39

H28/05

ACB

Unicaja

38-34

H31/05

ACB

Unicaja

57-33

+24

H02/06

ACB

Unicaja

31-33

-2

A04/06

ACB

Valencia

43-43

H09/06

ACB

Valencia

41-43

-2

H11/06

ACB

Valencia

35-36

-1

A14/06

ACB

Valencia

31-48

-17

A16/06

ACB

Gran Canaria

28-37

-9

A22/09

Supercopa ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

50-35

+15

H01/10

ACB

78.1Avg total

40.0Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.0	79.5	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.1	37.4	79.4	+4.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.1	78.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	35.8	40.6	76.3	-4.8	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.6	37.0	81.6	+7.7	80%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	22.4	47.0	+2.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	19.8	42.8	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.2	42.5	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.3	21.4	44.8	+1.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.5	8%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	44.1	83.2	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.2	84.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.9	42.7	80.6	-4.8	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.4	43.6	85.0	-2.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.1	84.0	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.8	40.3	85.1	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	42.1	82.6	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.2	81.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.2	81.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.4	39.9	79.3	-0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.9	41.9	86.7	+3.0	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.3	54.5%	51.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.1	37.1%	35.4%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.2	74.7%	74.6%	14.2

They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.1	49.3%	51.8%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.5	35.6%	35.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.9	76.0%	74.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.0	54.6%	51.8%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.9	38.3%	35.4%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.5	77.2%	74.6%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.2	49.3%	51.8%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.2	36.2%	35.4%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.3	76.6%	74.6%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/17	Real Madrid v Bilbao	104-76
11/12/16	Bilbao v Real Madrid	77-85
10/04/16	Real Madrid v Bilbao	102-80
29/11/15	Bilbao v Real Madrid	92-99
26/04/15	Real Madrid v Bilbao	78-52
14/12/14	Bilbao v Real Madrid	89-79
23/03/14	Bilbao v Real Madrid	73-87
03/11/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	92-75
04/10/13	Real Madrid v Bilbao	100-61
03/02/13	Bilbao v Real Madrid	74-94

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/09/17	A	Fuenlabrada	68-82
14/05/17	A	Gran Canaria	80-86
10/05/17	H	Baskonia	64-75
07/05/17	A	Tenerife	76-80
30/04/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	81-67
23/04/17	A	Joventut Badalona	55-82
17/04/17	H	Obradoiro CAB	85-90
12/04/17	H	Valencia	88-75
08/04/17	A	Real Betis	85-73
26/03/17	A	Real Madrid	76-104

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/10/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	94-88
22/09/17	A	Gran Canaria	64-73
16/06/17	A	Valencia	76-87
14/06/17	A	Valencia	64-81
11/06/17	H	Valencia	79-86
09/06/17	H	Valencia	87-81
04/06/17	A	Unicaja	76-73
02/06/17	H	Unicaja	101-72
31/05/17	H	Unicaja	71-68
28/05/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	68.0	-	68.0
Allowed / game	82.0	-	82.0
Point differential	-14.0	-	-14.0
Avg total	150.0	-	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	94.0	94.0	-
Allowed / game	88.0	88.0	-
Point differential	+6.0	+6.0	-
Avg total	182.0	182.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	2	2	0	100%	85.0	73.5	+11.5
2	Tenerife	2	2	0	100%	82.5	71.5	+11.0
3	Unicaja	1	1	0	100%	74.0	64.0	+10.0
4	Fuenlabrada	2	2	0	100%	88.5	81.0	+7.5
5	Gran Canaria	2	2	0	100%	91.5	85.5	+6.0
6	Real Madrid	1	1	0	100%	94.0	88.0	+6.0
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	100%	87.0	82.0	+5.0
8	Gipuzkoa	2	1	1	50%	85.0	72.0	+13.0
9	Obradoiro CAB	2	1	1	50%	73.5	77.0	-3.5
10	MoraBanc Andorra	2	0	2	0%	91.0	94.5	-3.5
11	Baskonia	1	0	1	0%	82.0	87.0	-5.0
12	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	2	0	2	0%	84.5	89.5	-5.0
13	Murcia	2	0	2	0%	71.0	79.0	-8.0
14	Bilbao	1	0	1	0%	68.0	82.0	-14.0
15	San Pablo Burgos	1	0	1	0%	65.0	81.0	-16.0
16	Real Betis	2	0	2	0%	70.0	92.0	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	28	17	17	18	80
Real Madrid	20	23	17	27	87

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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