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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-86
18-17 21-26 23-18 20-25
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game77.7
SpainACBRound 4
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A09/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A11/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H16/06
ACB
Unicaja
#3
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Gran Canaria
#2
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
A23/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
90-80
90
80
+10
110avg 104
A01/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
108avg 104
H04/10
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
99avg 104
A08/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
97avg 104
A13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-22
16-22
22-22
28-22
15-19
18-23
25-15
11-16
25-19
23-16
22-13
19-20
29-11
19-25
20-20
31-18
19-18
16-27
17-15
13-13
10-19
25-14
21-17
19-18
23-16
22-25
26-21
22-19
13-16
22-19
23-13
20-18
14-19
19-15
17-15
17-18
19-25
21-16
13-16
153.3Avg total
79.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.071.3151.3+8.7100%
Season at home (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)80.073.5153.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.773.6153.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)75.870.4146.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)78.274.3152.5+3.973%
vs Weaker (14)79.274.3153.5+4.964%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H09/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H11/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A14/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A16/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
no box
A22/09
Supercopa ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
125avg 116
H01/10
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
87-80
87
80
+7
118avg 116
A05/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
93-65
93
65
+28
126avg 116
H08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
88-74
88
74
+14
117avg 116
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
20-19
20-19
25-21
21-21
22-22
22-16
22-22
22-28
19-15
23-18
15-25
16-11
19-25
16-23
13-22
20-19
11-29
25-19
20-20
17-24
11-13
11-14
25-22
26-18
24-17
13-25
31-28
20-28
23-17
17-17
27-18
26-13
20-20
15-16
32-16
28-19
17-17
17-20
26-18
159.6Avg total
80.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.377.7169.0+13.7100%
Season at home (2)93.576.5170.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.878.8159.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)85.276.0161.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)76.785.0161.7-8.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.378.5167.9+10.891%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H16/06
ACB
Unicaja
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Gran Canaria
#2
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A23/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/10
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A08/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
75.7Avg total
39.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.173.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.432.871.2+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)36.939.576.4-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.775.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.270.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)37.436.974.3+0.547%-
vs Weaker (14)37.135.372.4+1.850%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A16/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/09
Supercopa ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/10
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/10
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
39.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.280.4+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.937.380.2+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.439.380.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.978.2+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.279.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)36.642.378.9-5.714%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.637.081.6+7.677%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.0
54.7%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
35.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
66.2%
74.6%11.2
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.2
56.7%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
74.6%15.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWWWWWL
Real Madrid
WWWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#1
+1.1
Net rating
+8.1
107.9
Offensive rating
115.2
106.8
Defensive rating
107.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.9%
3-point %
35.2%
61.3%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 115.2Defence106.8 · 107.1Shooting51.9% · 55.1%3-point %31.9% · 35.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/17AKhimki M.70-75
08/10/17ATenerife70-67
04/10/17HObradoiro CAB80-67
01/10/17AReal Betis90-80
23/09/17AGran Canaria69-63
22/09/17HUnicaja83-78
16/06/17HReal Madrid87-76
14/06/17HReal Madrid81-64
11/06/17AReal Madrid86-79
09/06/17AReal Madrid81-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/17AAnadolu Efes88-74
08/10/17HTecnyconta Zaragoza93-65
05/10/17ABilbao87-80
01/10/17HMoraBanc Andorra94-88
22/09/17AGran Canaria64-73
16/06/17AValencia76-87
14/06/17AValencia64-81
11/06/17HValencia79-86
09/06/17HValencia87-81
04/06/17AUnicaja76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.080.080.0
Allowed / game71.367.073.5
Point differential+8.7+13.0+6.5
Avg total151.3147.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.393.587.0
Allowed / game77.776.580.0
Point differential+13.7+17.0+7.0
Avg total169.0170.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid330100%91.377.7+13.7
2 Barcelona330100%90.778.3+12.3
3 Valencia330100%80.071.3+8.7
4 Fuenlabrada440100%83.576.5+7.0
5 Unicaja43175%83.871.0+12.8
6 Gran Canaria43175%89.882.8+7.0
7 Tenerife43175%77.071.5+5.5
8 Obradoiro CAB32167%74.774.0+0.7
9 Gipuzkoa42250%82.272.0+10.2
10 Bilbao42250%79.881.8-2.0
11 Murcia42250%73.075.5-2.5
12 Estudiantes31233%79.386.0-6.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra41325%84.286.5-2.2
14 Baskonia41325%83.285.8-2.5
15 Joventut Badalona3030%71.075.7-4.7
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza4040%76.587.2-10.8
17 Real Betis4040%74.294.2-20.0
18 San Pablo Burgos4040%72.593.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1821232082
Real Madrid1726182586
← all games of the day
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