PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Santa Clara faces VCU Rams on 19 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Santa Clara at 81% versus 19% for VCU. Santa Clara enters with a flawless 4-0 record, averaging 85.8 points scored and 72.5 allowed per game, and sits 69th in the league; at home they are 3-0, scoring 89.0 and conceding 73.0. Their last five games include four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 95-72 victory over Wisc. Milwaukee at home. VCU, meanwhile, is 2-1 overall, posting 85.7 points scored and 70.0 allowed per game, positioned 155th; on the road they are 0-1, with 88.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed. Their last five games show three wins and two losses, with a recent 87-49 win over NJIT at home. The projected score is 85-75 for Santa Clara, with a total of 159.9 points and a 4% chance of overtime. The model predicts Santa Clara will cover the spread, and the over is likely given the projected total. Santa Clara's recent dominance at home suggests they will maintain control of the game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 85.8 | 72.5 | 158.2 | +13.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 89.0 | 73.0 | 162.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 76.0 | 71.0 | 147.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.7 | 75.5 | 156.2 | +5.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 75.8 | 161.2 | +9.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 76.8 | 83.2 | 160.0 | -6.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 74.8 | 78.0 | 152.8 | -3.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 87.5 | 72.3 | 159.8 | +15.2 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.7 | 70.0 | 155.7 | +15.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 84.5 | 60.5 | 145.0 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 88.0 | 89.0 | 177.0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.0 | 68.3 | 143.3 | +6.7 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 72.8 | 151.6 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 64.0 | 78.3 | 142.3 | -14.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 79.8 | 77.0 | 156.8 | +2.8 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 82.6 | 69.8 | 152.4 | +12.8 | 95% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 34.8 | 74.6 | +5.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.9 | 34.2 | 75.2 | +6.7 | 81% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.6 | 35.4 | 73.9 | +3.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.3 | 34.5 | 72.8 | +3.8 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 33.6 | 73.4 | +6.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 35.8 | 37.8 | 73.5 | -2.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 35.0 | 35.2 | 70.2 | -0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (20) | 42.1 | 34.0 | 76.2 | +8.1 | 80% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 33.0 | 72.9 | +6.9 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 40.8 | 32.7 | 73.6 | +8.1 | 89% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 38.5 | 33.3 | 71.8 | +5.2 | 75% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.8 | 32.3 | 70.1 | +5.5 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 35.8 | 72.6 | +1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 30.7 | 32.7 | 63.3 | -2.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 38.6 | 39.4 | 78.0 | -0.8 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker (22) | 41.5 | 31.5 | 73.0 | +9.9 | 95% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | North Texas | 76-71 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Sacramento State | 83-77 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 95-72 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Towson | 89-70 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Kentucky | 84-89 OT |
| 11/03/26 | A | Gonzaga | 68-79 |
| 10/03/26 | A | St. Marys (CA) | 76-71 |
| 09/03/26 | H | Pacific | 76-68 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Oregon State | 93-72 |
| 26/02/26 | A | St. Marys (CA) | 67-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | NJIT | 87-49 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Memphis | 88-89 |
| 03/11/26 | H | UALR | 82-72 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Illinois | 55-76 |
| 19/03/26 | A | North Carolina | 82-78 OT |
| 15/03/26 | H | Dayton | 70-62 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 77-64 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Duquesne | 71-66 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Dayton | 68-62 |
| 04/03/26 | H | George Mason | 70-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 85.8 | 89.0 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.5 | 73.0 | 71.0 |
| Point differential | +13.2 | +16.0 | +5.0 |
| Avg total | 158.2 | 162.0 | 147.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.7 | 84.5 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.0 | 60.5 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +15.7 | +24.0 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 155.7 | 145.0 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oregon State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.2 | 69.5 | +23.8 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 72.5 | +13.2 |
| 3 |  St. Marys (CA) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.5 | 76.5 | +17.0 |
| 4 |  San Diego Toreros | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 75.5 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  San Francisco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.5 | 68.5 | +3.0 |
| 6 |  Pacific | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.7 | 53.7 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Pepperdine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 96.0 | 70.0 | +26.0 |
| 8 |  Portland | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 87.0 | 93.6 | -6.6 |
| 9 |  Gonzaga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 87.0 | 75.7 | +11.3 |
| 10 |  Seattle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 73.3 | -3.0 |
| 11 |  Loyola Marymount | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.5 | 74.8 | +9.8 |
| 12 |  Washington State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.5 | 79.5 | +2.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 58.5 | +13.5 |
| 5 |  Duquesne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.2 | 64.5 | +7.8 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 71.8 | +7.0 |
| 7 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 8 |  St. Bonaventure | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 82.0 | 62.5 | +19.5 |
| 9 |  Loyola Chicago | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.8 | 67.5 | +12.2 |
| 10 |  Davidson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.0 | 61.5 | +9.5 |
| 11 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 12 | VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 13 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| 14 |  Dayton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.5 | 83.2 | -1.8 |
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