Santo Andre faces Barreirense in the Proliga on 14 November 2026, with the model designating Santo Andre as the favourite because of their 4-2 record, 78.7 points per game and 76.2 allowed per game, and a 5-th place league position, while Barreirense sits 14th with a 2-4 record, 76.8 points per game and 85.3 allowed per game. Santo Andre's overall season shows a 4-2 record and a balanced 78.7 to 76.2 points differential, and at home they are 1-1 with 68.0 points per game and 65.5 allowed; their last five games include a 77-86 loss to Galitos Barreiro and wins over Lusitania and CB Queluz. Barreirense's season totals 2-4, 70.7 points per game and 88.7 allowed on the road, with three straight road defeats and a 5-game span of two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 95-85 win over Maia. Historically, Santo Andre has dominated the eight meetings, winning seven, most recently 58-51 on 26 April 2025. Pythia projects a 76% chance for Santo Andre to win, 24% for Barreirense, with a 82-74 scoreline and a total of 155.1 points; the home line is -5.5 with a 60% chance of covering, and the total line of 154.0 carries a 52% over probability, while a 4% chance of overtime remains. The game will likely hinge on Santo Andre's ability to maintain their 78.7 points per game advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 78.7 | 76.2 | 154.8 | +2.5 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 68.0 | 65.5 | 133.5 | +2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 84.0 | 81.5 | 165.5 | +2.5 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.0 | 77.6 | 156.6 | +1.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 77.0 | 158.6 | +4.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 72.1 | 82.2 | 154.3 | -10.1 | 11% |
| vs Similar (8) | 70.1 | 75.4 | 145.5 | -5.2 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 79.7 | 71.1 | 150.8 | +8.6 | 77% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.8 | 85.3 | 162.2 | -8.5 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.0 | 82.0 | 165.0 | +1.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 70.7 | 88.7 | 159.3 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.2 | 81.0 | 155.2 | -6.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.6 | 88.2 | 167.8 | -8.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 72.3 | 81.5 | 153.8 | -9.2 | 24% |
| vs Similar (10) | 76.9 | 75.7 | 152.6 | +1.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 76.7 | 71.0 | 147.7 | +5.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 36.6 | 73.8 | +0.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.6 | 38.5 | 74.1 | -2.9 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.7 | 34.8 | 73.5 | +3.9 | 67% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.3 | 36.4 | 76.7 | +3.9 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 31.8 | 76.8 | +13.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 36.2 | 39.8 | 76.0 | -3.6 | 22% | 44% |
| vs Similar (8) | 36.2 | 36.5 | 72.8 | -0.2 | 62% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 38.4 | 34.5 | 72.9 | +3.8 | 62% | 31% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.7 | 41.0 | 77.7 | -4.3 | 27% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.0 | 40.4 | 79.4 | -1.4 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.3 | 41.6 | 75.9 | -7.3 | 13% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.2 | 42.4 | 77.6 | -7.2 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.6 | 46.2 | 82.8 | -9.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 36.3 | 42.9 | 79.2 | -6.6 | 24% | 53% |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.5 | 38.3 | 74.8 | -1.8 | 30% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 39.3 | 39.3 | 78.7 | +0.0 | 33% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Andre -1.5 | 73.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Santo Andre over 75.5 | 72.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Santo Andre under 88.5 | 75.6% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Barreirense +15.5 | 74.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Santo Andre under 87.5 | 72.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Barreirense over 67.5 | 71.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Lost |
| Barreirense +14.5 | 72.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Santo Andre (regulation) | 73.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Santo Andre win | 76.0% | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | -2.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.7 | 19.3 | 52.5% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.3 | 7.5 | 30.6% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 13.8 | 67.3% | 13.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.9 | 19.0 | 52.5% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.7 | 6.7 | 30.6% | 20.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 16.5 | 67.3% | 16.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/04/25 | Santo Andre v Barreirense | 58-51 |
| 01/03/25 | Barreirense v Santo Andre | 66-82 |
| 21/12/24 | Barreirense v Santo Andre | 85-67 |
| 26/10/24 | Santo Andre v Barreirense | 66-55 |
| 13/01/24 | Barreirense v Santo Andre | 76-99 |
| 04/11/23 | Santo Andre v Barreirense | 86-80 |
| 08/12/22 | Santo Andre v Barreirense | 78-73 |
| 15/10/22 | Barreirense v Santo Andre | 65-96 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Lusitania | 68-93 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Maia | 95-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Galomar | 65-92 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Ginasio Olhanense | 91-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Barcelos | 79-81 OT |
| 03/10/26 | H | Galitos Aveiro | 63-71 |
| 04/05/25 | H | Maia | 72-76 |
| 27/04/25 | H | Galitos Aveiro | 76-70 |
| 26/04/25 | A | Santo Andre | 51-58 |
| 05/04/25 | A | Lusitania | 82-94 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 67% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 75% |
| Points / game | 78.7 | 68.0 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.2 | 65.5 | 81.5 |
| Point differential | +2.5 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| Avg total | 154.8 | 133.5 | 165.5 |
| Over 154.5 | 50% | 0% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 33% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.8 | 83.0 | 70.7 |
| Allowed / game | 85.3 | 82.0 | 88.7 |
| Point differential | -8.5 | +1.0 | -18.0 |
| Avg total | 162.2 | 165.0 | 159.3 |
| Over 154.5 | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 60.5 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 78.9 | 73.6 | +5.3 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.3 | 72.3 | +9.0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.7 | 79.2 | +6.5 | |
| 5 | Santo Andre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.7 | 76.2 | +2.5 |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.3 | 73.0 | +1.3 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.2 | 69.0 | +8.2 | |
| 8 | Maia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 86.8 | 88.2 | -1.4 |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 74.1 | 74.4 | -0.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.1 | 72.6 | -0.4 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 85.8 | 88.8 | -3.0 | |
| 12 | Barcelos | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 68.5 | 75.8 | -7.3 |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.8 | 85.3 | -8.5 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.7 | 88.4 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 67.7 | 80.7 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.3 | 88.0 | -8.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Andre | 18 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 75 |
| 11 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 64 |
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