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Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-93 (OT)
21-23 17-24 33-21 13-16 5-9
Position#11
Record8-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Bauru
09 May 2025
SAO 85
BAUR96
26 Oct 2024
SAO 78
BAUR68
06 Jan 2024
SAO 89
BAUR93
17 Nov 2022
SAO 82
BAUR73
28 Apr 2022
SAO 90
BAUR65
16 Jan 2022
SAO 78
BAUR73
16 Nov 2021
SAO 79
BAUR77
08 Feb 2021
SAO 92
BAUR84
10 Mar 2020
SAO 99
BAUR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 67
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 67
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 67
H09/12
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
65-112
65
112
-47
46avg 67
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
67avg 67
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 67
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-63
61
63
-2
52avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-15
22-24
23-19
13-22
31-22
17-14
17-19
10-22
22-15
24-18
14-28
20-24
9-22
21-15
20-14
12-24
24-24
10-39
19-25
8-17
23-26
24-21
21-12
16-19
18-25
17-21
23-17
13-17
15-20
28-12
16-14
20-30
21-16
20-16
17-12
16-9
16-19
15-16
14-19
152.5Avg total
73.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.878.1153.9-2.344%
Season at home (9)76.177.1153.2-1.044%
Season away (9)75.679.1154.7-3.644%
Last 10 (10)73.379.2152.5-5.940%
Last 5 (5)73.874.2148.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.085.6165.6-5.643%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.577.2154.6+0.345%
vs Weaker (5)75.271.2146.4+4.080%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 70
A28/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
29-18
19-20
16-15
18-21
14-27
21-23
19-20
21-27
159.4Avg total
81.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.877.7156.5+1.156%
Season at home (8)84.670.1154.8+14.5100%
Season away (10)74.183.8157.9-9.720%
Last 10 (10)81.777.7159.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)83.482.4165.8+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.789.4166.1-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.373.9148.2+0.456%
vs Weaker (14)84.073.3157.3+10.779%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
Sao PauloBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H09/12
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H29/12
NBB
74.7Avg total
34.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.778.2-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.480.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.976.1-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.340.474.7-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.672.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.141.880.9-2.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.641.578.1-4.818%-
vs Weaker (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/12
NBB
79.0Avg total
40.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.280.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.379.3-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.479.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.346.084.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.739.177.8-0.444%-
vs Weaker (14)43.136.079.1+7.171%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.5
52.7%
51.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.3
29.6%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
72.6%15.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
51.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
72.6%12.5
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LWWLLLLLWW
Bauru
LWWWWLLLWW
#11
League position
#5
-6.9
Net rating
+1.4
103.0
Offensive rating
105.5
109.9
Defensive rating
104.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.6%
3-point %
33.9%
59.3%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.5Defence109.9 · 104.1Shooting48.8% · 52.3%3-point %29.6% · 33.9%Ball care15.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sao Paulo wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
24/10/23Bauru v Sao Paulo87-66
02/03/23Bauru v Sao Paulo74-81
17/11/22Sao Paulo v Bauru82-73
03/05/22Bauru v Sao Paulo71-88
01/05/22Bauru v Sao Paulo62-85
28/04/22Sao Paulo v Bauru90-65
18/02/22Bauru v Sao Paulo102-87
16/01/22Sao Paulo v Bauru78-73
16/11/21Sao Paulo v Bauru79-77
08/02/21Sao Paulo v Bauru92-84
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HMogi61-63
27/12/23HSao Jose78-74
23/12/23ABrasilia72-63
21/12/23ACerrado74-82
17/12/23HNacional84-89 OT
16/12/23AQuimsa65-112
09/12/23HVasco70-75
07/12/23HFlamengo70-83
04/12/23HBotafogo78-77
30/11/23AUniao Corinthians81-74
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AFranca75-97
20/12/23ASao Jose82-74
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game75.876.175.6
Allowed / game78.177.179.1
Point differential-2.3-1.0-3.6
Avg total153.9153.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game78.884.674.1
Allowed / game77.770.183.8
Point differential+1.1+14.5-9.7
Avg total156.5154.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%84.573.3+11.2
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1814478%86.375.4+10.9
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1812667%81.778.0+3.7
7 Sao Jose1810856%80.074.9+5.1
8 Cearense1810856%78.175.8+2.2
9 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
10 Corinthians Paulista1881044%80.482.0-1.6
11 Sao Paulo1881044%75.878.1-2.3
12 Pato1981142%75.377.3-2.0
13 Pinheiros1871139%76.479.1-2.7
14 Botafogo1861233%78.484.7-6.3
15 Caxias do Sul1861233%72.179.2-7.1
16 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
17 Uniao Corinthians1851328%71.680.8-9.2
18 Mogi1831517%73.279.9-6.7
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sao Paulo21173313589
Bauru23242116993
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