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Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-68
19-22 17-21 23-16 19-9
Position#13
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game86.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Bauru
09 May 2025
SAO 85
BAUR96
26 Oct 2024
SAO 78
BAUR68
06 Jan 2024
SAO 89
BAUR93
17 Nov 2022
SAO 82
BAUR73
28 Apr 2022
SAO 90
BAUR65
16 Jan 2022
SAO 78
BAUR73
16 Nov 2021
SAO 79
BAUR77
08 Feb 2021
SAO 92
BAUR84
10 Mar 2020
SAO 99
BAUR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
93avg 75
A23/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 75
A25/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
53avg 75
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
104avg 75
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 75
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
72avg 75
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-98
67
98
-31
54avg 75
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 75
H22/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
20-26
14-20
30-21
23-28
31-12
20-24
14-18
18-25
13-17
11-25
17-17
29-15
23-22
28-19
25-18
19-16
14-25
29-26
24-17
14-32
18-22
24-21
23-29
13-22
18-22
17-28
19-26
23-30
22-16
19-25
24-10
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
170.0Avg total
84.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.075.7159.7+8.3100%
Season at home (1)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)85.080.5165.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.086.0170.0-2.060%
Last 5 (5)79.685.8165.4-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)86.385.5171.8+0.767%
vs Similar (10)80.776.8157.5+3.970%
vs Weaker (5)79.275.0154.2+4.260%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
74avg 73
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 73
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
59avg 73
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 73
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
92avg 73
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 73
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
66avg 73
H17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
13-19
19-16
15-22
18-17
22-14
25-13
15-22
25-17
11-10
17-18
14-14
22-20
23-17
16-27
20-17
16-20
16-11
24-26
20-16
20-28
13-19
17-22
11-23
17-19
17-26
8-24
23-19
21-37
14-37
19-13
18-23
28-19
22-20
20-24
23-28
12-9
14-23
13-22
32-17
160.0Avg total
76.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
Season at home (2)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.084.0160.0-8.040%
Last 5 (5)74.492.6167.0-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.386.6158.9-14.329%
vs Similar (15)81.577.2158.7+4.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.680.6171.1+10.086%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Sao PauloBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A23/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
82.7Avg total
39.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.881.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.236.580.7+7.677%-
Last 30 away (17)39.942.482.2-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.882.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.281.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.541.283.7+1.353%-
vs Similar (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)41.437.278.6+4.260%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-74
35
74
-39
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H17/10
NBB
76.6Avg total
36.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.780.1+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.139.481.5+2.776%-
Last 30 away (13)38.240.078.2-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.776.6-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.647.483.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.646.382.9-9.729%-
vs Similar (15)41.335.977.1+5.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.939.082.9+4.957%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.0
36.6%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.4
80.0%
72.7%14.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.96.9
24.7%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.416.5
80.9%
72.7%16.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WWWLLWWLWL
Bauru
LWLLLWLWWL
#13
League position
#4
-3.5
Net rating
-9.8
110.5
Offensive rating
97.1
114.0
Defensive rating
106.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.6%
3-point %
24.7%
59.9%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 97.1Defence114.0 · 106.9Shooting55.1% · 46.6%3-point %36.6% · 24.7%Ball care16.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 23.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sao Paulo wins
3
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Sao Paulo v Bauru89-93 OT
24/10/23Bauru v Sao Paulo87-66
02/03/23Bauru v Sao Paulo74-81
17/11/22Sao Paulo v Bauru82-73
03/05/22Bauru v Sao Paulo71-88
01/05/22Bauru v Sao Paulo62-85
28/04/22Sao Paulo v Bauru90-65
18/02/22Bauru v Sao Paulo102-87
16/01/22Sao Paulo v Bauru78-73
16/11/21Sao Paulo v Bauru79-77
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
17/10/24APato88-81
13/05/24AMinas67-98
11/05/24AMinas79-104
08/05/24HMinas86-84
06/05/24HMinas105-74
03/05/24AMinas59-84
25/04/24AUnifacisa88-82
23/04/24AUnifacisa104-107 OT
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HMinas81-82 OT
15/10/24HBrasilia93-91
23/05/24HFlamengo72-110
21/05/24HFlamengo65-88
18/05/24AFlamengo61-92
14/05/24AVasco76-73
12/05/24AVasco87-95 OT
09/05/24HVasco67-59
07/05/24HVasco80-66
04/05/24AVasco78-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.082.085.0
Allowed / game75.766.080.5
Point differential+8.3+16.0+4.5
Avg total159.7148.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game86.586.5-
Point differential+0.5+0.5-
Avg total173.5173.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo330100%84.075.7+8.3
2 Minas54180%82.870.8+12.0
3 Flamengo54180%76.064.6+11.4
4 Franca43175%81.880.5+1.2
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Pato53260%82.275.8+6.4
7 Pinheiros53260%67.268.4-1.2
8 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
9 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
10 Botafogo42250%69.573.2-3.8
11 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
12 Paulistano31233%79.078.0+1.0
13 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
14 Unifacisa31233%74.379.0-4.7
15 Cearense31233%68.778.7-10.0
16 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
17 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1917231978
Bauru222116968
← all games of the day
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