Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 90-65

21-21 27-10 17-22 25-12

Position#4

Record23-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game75.1

Sao Paulo 🏆

Bauru

Position#6

Record23-12

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game76.6

NBBNBB - Quarter-finals

Other2021-22

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Bauru

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bauru winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#13

90-73

+17

A16/03

NBB

Pato

#11

82-62

+20

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

88-67

+21

H26/03

NBB

Minas

82-61

+21

A31/03

NBB

Flamengo

78-88

-10

A02/04

NBB

Real Esteli

75-71

H06/04

Champions League Americas

Minas

93-79

+14

A07/04

Champions League Americas

Bigua

98-84

+14

H09/04

Champions League Americas

Rio Claro

96-69

+27

H13/04

NBB

Franca

66-81

-15

H16/04

NBB

30-18

15-17

26-20

19-18

20-16

18-10

23-25

21-11

27-16

22-15

23-15

16-21

23-16

24-14

15-14

20-17

27-17

18-14

20-24

13-33

18-16

24-11

15-22

18-22

20-19

29-18

19-19

25-23

30-26

27-21

27-13

14-24

22-21

27-11

30-16

17-21

22-29

13-11

18-21

13-20

158.3Avg total

84.8Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	83.1	75.1	158.2	+8.1	72%
Season at home (16)	83.4	72.3	155.8	+11.1	81%
Season away (16)	82.8	77.8	160.6	+5.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	73.5	158.3	+11.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	76.8	162.4	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	78.0	88.0	166.0	-10.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	80.6	79.8	160.4	+0.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	89.0	75.4	164.3	+13.6	87%

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#16

82-77

A12/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

66-60

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

107-103 OT

107

103

H24/03

NBB

Pato

#11

84-74

+10

H31/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

67-75

-8

A09/04

NBB

Minas

101-69

101

+32

H12/04

NBB

Flamengo

80-92

-12

H14/04

NBB

Pato

#11

63-72

-9

A20/04

NBB

Pato

#11

82-71

+11

H23/04

NBB

Pato

#11

88-79

H24/04

NBB

21-18

10-18

26-21

25-20

15-20

14-18

15-7

22-15

20-20

23-24

22-20

21-22

19-24

20-20

26-10

19-20

17-16

14-19

19-14

17-26

23-8

25-16

27-20

26-25

23-17

14-23

26-33

17-19

20-25

10-10

16-16

17-21

25-22

21-19

20-16

16-14

25-15

23-21

17-21

23-22

159.2Avg total

82.0Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	78.7	76.6	155.3	+2.1	66%
Season at home (18)	86.3	76.7	163.0	+9.6	83%
Season away (17)	70.6	76.5	147.1	-5.9	47%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	77.2	159.2	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	76.6	159.4	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	81.6	87.1	168.7	-5.6	29%
vs Similar (8)	74.0	74.1	148.1	-0.1	62%
vs Weaker (14)	80.5	75.9	156.4	+4.6	79%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloBauru

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	26.0	49.4	-2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.0	19.9	42.0	+2.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.1	38.4	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.6	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	16.8	38.2	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	15.5	37.0	+5.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	14.2	35.9	+7.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	14.4	38.4	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.4	40.4	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.3	33.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.9	16.8	33.6	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	17.9	36.7	+1.0	43%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#13

45-35

+10

A16/03

NBB

Pato

#11

38-26

+12

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

49-31

+18

H26/03

NBB

Minas

47-30

+17

A31/03

NBB

Flamengo

45-31

+14

A02/04

NBB

Real Esteli

42-27

+15

H06/04

Champions League Americas

Minas

49-37

+12

A07/04

Champions League Americas

Bigua

57-47

+10

H09/04

Champions League Americas

Rio Claro

49-32

+17

H13/04

NBB

Franca

35-40

-5

H16/04

NBB

79.2Avg total

45.6Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	37.7	81.3	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	36.2	79.9	+7.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.6	39.5	83.2	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	33.6	79.2	+12.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	36.6	83.0	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	31.0	76.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.8	43.8	87.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.7	74%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#16

31-36

-5

A12/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

29-38

-9

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

43-44

-1

H24/03

NBB

Pato

#11

39-44

-5

H31/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

31-35

-4

A09/04

NBB

Minas

48-24

+24

H12/04

NBB

Flamengo

37-40

-3

H14/04

NBB

Pato

#11

30-35

-5

A20/04

NBB

Pato

#11

46-41

H23/04

NBB

Pato

#11

48-36

+12

H24/04

NBB

75.5Avg total

38.2Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.5	76.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	36.4	80.5	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	38.4	72.3	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	37.3	75.5	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	35.8	71.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.7	37.1	75.8	+1.6	43%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	16.6	39.1	+5.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.9	17.8	40.7	+5.1	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.4	41.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	16.6	34.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.3	17.9	38.1	+2.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	33.0	46.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	21.8	42.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.0	80.4	+4.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	36.2	79.8	+7.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.9	40.3	81.2	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.9	79.1	-0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	40.2	79.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	57.0	90.0	-24.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.8	36.0	72.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.9	37.9	81.8	+6.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	41.1	84.2	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	39.2	75.4	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.2	79.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	40.3	46.1	86.4	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.3	37.6	77.9	+2.6	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Bauru wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/22	Bauru v Sao Paulo	102-87
16/01/22	Sao Paulo v Bauru	78-73
16/11/21	Sao Paulo v Bauru	79-77
08/02/21	Sao Paulo v Bauru	92-84
28/12/20	Bauru v Sao Paulo	79-68
10/03/20	Sao Paulo v Bauru	99-64
08/12/19	Bauru v Sao Paulo	70-73

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/22	H	Franca	66-81
13/04/22	H	Rio Claro	96-69
09/04/22	H	Bigua	98-84
07/04/22	A	Minas	93-79
06/04/22	H	Real Esteli	75-71
02/04/22	A	Flamengo	78-88
31/03/22	A	Minas	82-61
26/03/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-67
23/03/22	A	Pato	82-62
16/03/22	A	Mogi	90-73

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/22	H	Pato	88-79
23/04/22	H	Pato	82-71
20/04/22	A	Pato	63-72
14/04/22	H	Flamengo	80-92
12/04/22	H	Minas	101-69
09/04/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	67-75
31/03/22	H	Pato	84-74
24/03/22	H	Mogi	107-103 OT
14/03/22	A	Caxias do Sul	66-60
12/03/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	72%
Home	WWWWL	81%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	72%	81%	62%
Points / game	83.1	83.4	82.8
Allowed / game	75.1	72.3	77.8
Point differential	+8.1	+11.1	+5.0
Avg total	158.2	155.8	160.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	56%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

Bauru

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	66%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WWWLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	66%	83%	47%
Points / game	78.7	86.3	70.6
Allowed / game	76.6	76.7	76.5
Point differential	+2.1	+9.6	-5.9
Avg total	155.3	163.0	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	67% (3)	67% (6)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	33	30	3	91%	90.4	77.0	+13.4
2	Flamengo	32	26	6	81%	88.7	73.6	+15.0
3	Minas	33	26	7	79%	84.1	76.1	+8.0
4	Sao Paulo	32	23	9	72%	83.1	75.1	+8.1
5	Bauru	35	23	12	66%	78.7	76.6	+2.1
6	Unifacisa	35	22	13	63%	75.6	73.1	+2.5
7	Paulistano	35	19	16	54%	77.1	76.8	+0.3
8	Pinheiros	35	17	18	49%	80.8	80.8	+0.1
9	Rio Claro	35	14	21	40%	71.2	74.8	-3.6
10	Corinthians Paulista	34	13	21	38%	75.8	75.6	+0.1
11	Pato	35	13	22	37%	73.1	78.5	-5.5
12	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	70.4	77.2	-6.8
13	Mogi	32	11	21	34%	76.8	82.9	-6.0
14	Cerrado	32	10	22	31%	77.7	82.6	-4.8
15	Cearense	32	10	22	31%	73.1	80.1	-7.1
16	Uniao Corinthians	32	8	24	25%	74.5	83.3	-8.8
17	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	74.8	81.6	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	21	27	17	25	90
Bauru	21	10	22	12	65

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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