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Sao Paulo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-63
22-7 12-22 21-21 32-13
Position#3
Record10-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.1
Sao Paulo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#16
Record2-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game78.5
BrazilNBBRound 11
Other2019-20
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pato
28 Mar 2025
SAO 65
PATO69
20 Nov 2023
SAO 89
PATO67
27 Oct 2022
SAO 99
PATO90
12 Jan 2022
SAO 86
PATO77
01 Mar 2021
SAO 84
PATO85
29 Dec 2019
SAO 87
PATO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H02/11
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H08/11
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A20/11
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H03/12
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A08/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
A14/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
H17/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
12-18
24-20
16-20
22-15
14-13
21-18
24-23
23-16
14-23
29-17
19-22
22-15
13-18
24-20
29-25
22-20
21-12
28-20
21-21
9-25
24-18
25-23
21-23
16-25
16-16
18-14
23-15
15-18
13-14
29-19
20-26
28-20
14-28
26-15
17-22
30-21
14-17
25-33
26-35
167.4Avg total
85.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.182.1168.2+4.171%
Season at home (7)82.180.7162.9+1.443%
Season away (7)90.183.4173.6+6.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.482.0167.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)86.688.8175.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)90.586.0176.5+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.480.5164.9+3.970%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
47-82
47
82
-35
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H08/11
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A15/11
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A18/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A20/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H29/11
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H17/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
7-16
14-17
13-23
11-24
17-18
22-18
17-21
19-19
15-21
15-16
10-20
17-16
23-26
14-18
25-25
9-22
15-20
23-14
17-17
12-15
13-21
22-21
24-24
17-21
17-23
16-17
18-19
17-12
22-18
10-17
15-17
13-26
17-21
26-14
24-17
21-14
21-16
28-27
26-17
149.6Avg total
70.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.678.5147.1-9.914%
Season at home (7)67.679.4147.0-11.914%
Season away (7)69.677.6147.1-8.014%
Last 10 (10)70.778.9149.6-8.220%
Last 5 (5)78.278.4156.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.078.5146.5-10.517%
vs Similar (2)72.078.5150.5-6.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Sao PauloPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/11
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/11
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H03/12
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A08/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/12
NBB
73.7Avg total
36.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.737.775.4+0.036%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.136.473.6+0.743%-
Last 30 away (7)38.339.077.3-0.729%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.273.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.476.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)39.237.576.8+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.137.874.9-0.740%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
20-42
20
42
-22
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H08/11
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/11
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/11
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A18/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A20/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/11
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A27/12
NBB
71.1Avg total
31.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)30.938.969.8-8.114%-
Last 30 at home (7)29.739.969.6-10.114%-
Last 30 away (7)32.038.070.0-6.014%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.571.1-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.471.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.139.470.5-8.317%-
vs Similar (2)29.536.065.5-6.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sao Paulo wins
0
Pato wins
No previous meetings.
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/19HRio Claro95-106
14/12/19APaulistano98-92 OT
10/12/19AFranca88-87 OT
08/12/19ABauru73-70
03/12/19HUnifacisa79-89
30/11/19HCearense92-73
20/11/19APinheiros88-78
12/11/19ABotafogo85-78
08/11/19HBrasilia81-69
02/11/19HMinas75-78
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/19APaulistano96-74
20/12/19HRio Claro80-78
17/12/19HBauru76-79 OT
29/11/19HCorinthians Paulista68-80
20/11/19ASao Jose71-81
18/11/19AMogi64-73
15/11/19ABotafogo79-85
12/11/19AFlamengo59-76
08/11/19HPinheiros67-81
05/11/19HFranca47-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%43%100%
Points / game86.182.190.1
Allowed / game82.180.783.4
Point differential+4.1+1.4+6.7
Avg total168.2162.9173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Pato
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW14%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game68.667.669.6
Allowed / game78.579.477.6
Point differential-9.9-11.9-8.0
Avg total147.1147.0147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1513287%83.576.1+7.4
2 Franca1511473%86.979.7+7.1
3 Mogi1511473%82.179.8+2.3
4 Sao Paulo1410471%86.182.1+4.1
5 Unifacisa159660%83.578.5+5.0
6 Pinheiros159660%79.878.3+1.5
7 Minas148657%84.081.6+2.4
8 Corinthians Paulista158753%82.777.3+5.4
9 Paulistano158753%82.581.8+0.7
10 Botafogo157847%77.880.7-2.9
11 Rio Claro156940%84.287.7-3.5
12 Brasilia145936%75.983.4-7.5
13 Bauru1551033%78.780.5-1.7
14 Cearense1531220%75.178.4-3.3
15 Sao Jose1531220%82.189.8-7.7
16 Pato1421214%68.678.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2212213287
Pato722211363
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