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Sao Paulo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-74
23-30 20-17 14-14 22-13
Position#11
Record12-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#13
Record11-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pinheiros
05 Nov 2024
SAO 69
PINH76
29 Feb 2024
SAO 79
PINH74
06 May 2023
SAO 85
PINH73
28 Apr 2023
SAO 92
PINH77
21 Jan 2023
SAO 100
PINH78
01 Nov 2022
SAO 76
PINH72
18 Nov 2021
SAO 86
PINH70
10 Feb 2021
SAO 100
PINH74
04 Apr 2020
SAO v PINH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
84-107
84
107
-23
79avg 72
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 72
A13/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 72
H23/01
NBB
Quimsa
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 72
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 72
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Pato
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 72
A07/02
NBB
Nacional
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 72
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
86avg 72
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 72
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 72
H17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
26-29
23-31
22-23
18-20
25-16
20-22
18-17
31-12
16-16
26-24
17-19
20-22
23-20
23-22
21-20
24-22
22-24
17-20
19-20
15-13
21-20
24-15
20-26
15-9
32-22
24-21
22-24
23-15
28-19
15-21
28-27
17-28
27-11
22-23
28-24
19-24
23-14
17-22
23-30
169.8Avg total
86.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.880.8159.6-2.046%
Season at home (13)79.280.5159.7-1.238%
Season away (13)78.481.1159.5-2.754%
Last 10 (10)86.783.1169.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)88.681.6170.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.887.5168.4-6.745%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.880.2161.0+0.643%
vs Weaker (5)75.271.2146.4+4.080%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
71-65
71
65
+6
66avg 70
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 70
H27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
74avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
76-75
76
75
+1
78avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 70
A15/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 70
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 70
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 70
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 70
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 70
A16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-20
15-13
19-15
26-28
19-20
19-20
19-20
22-18
18-23
18-21
26-26
19-16
25-18
23-14
9-27
20-17
17-18
19-14
17-22
29-12
18-14
15-14
22-21
21-24
29-26
20-18
18-24
23-21
15-15
18-19
28-21
14-23
17-15
21-28
9-16
17-26
13-19
12-19
9-16
153.3Avg total
75.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.778.4154.1-2.744%
Season at home (13)76.978.1155.0-1.246%
Season away (12)74.378.8153.1-4.442%
Last 10 (10)75.577.8153.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)73.678.2151.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.280.2154.4-6.036%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.578.6158.1+0.960%
vs Weaker (6)76.878.7155.5-1.833%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
Sao PauloPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H23/01
NBB
Quimsa
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Pato
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/02
NBB
Nacional
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/02
NBB
81.8Avg total
43.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.579.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.881.4-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.940.177.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.081.8+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.079.0+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.841.282.0-0.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.641.680.3-3.029%-
vs Weaker (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H29/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/02
NBB
78.9Avg total
39.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.180.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.779.8+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.680.6-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.078.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.741.781.4-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)41.039.080.0+2.033%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.9
59.8%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.8
34.7%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.013.4
83.8%
72.6%13.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.0
48.6%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
72.6%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LWWWWLWWWL
Pinheiros
LLWLWWWLLW
#11
League position
#13
+4.4
Net rating
-1.9
114.0
Offensive rating
104.3
109.6
Defensive rating
106.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
33.9%
55.4%
Assist %
69.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 104.3Defence109.6 · 106.2Shooting56.1% · 49.4%3-point %34.7% · 33.9%Ball care16.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 31.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sao Paulo wins
1
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo75-81
06/05/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros85-73
04/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo60-77
01/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo115-107
28/04/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros92-77
30/01/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo79-89
21/01/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros100-78
01/11/22Sao Paulo v Pinheiros76-72
15/02/22Pinheiros v Sao Paulo92-98
18/11/21Sao Paulo v Pinheiros86-70
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HCorinthians Paulista82-90
15/02/24AMinas94-86
13/02/24HQuimsa94-82
11/02/24HNacional93-76
07/02/24APato80-74
29/01/24ANacional82-86
28/01/24AQuimsa87-84
23/01/24HPaulistano90-71
13/01/24ACearense81-75
11/01/24AUnifacisa84-107
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24APaulistano51-80
12/02/24HFranca61-82
08/02/24HBauru84-76
24/01/24HBrasilia88-92
22/01/24HCerrado84-61
15/01/24ASao Jose73-71
09/01/24AMogi76-75
29/12/23HBotafogo84-88
27/12/23HFlamengo83-88
23/12/23AUniao Corinthians71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%38%54%
Points / game78.879.278.4
Allowed / game80.880.581.1
Point differential-2.0-1.2-2.7
Avg total159.6159.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game75.776.974.3
Allowed / game78.478.178.8
Point differential-2.7-1.2-4.4
Avg total154.1155.0153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2622485%86.275.0+11.3
2 Minas2521484%87.072.6+14.4
3 Franca2521484%87.775.3+12.4
4 Vasco2518772%75.671.8+3.8
5 Paulistano2517868%74.470.6+3.8
6 Bauru26161062%79.778.2+1.5
7 Unifacisa27161159%83.579.4+4.1
8 Sao Jose25141156%81.076.4+4.7
9 Cearense26141254%78.877.0+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista25121348%79.378.5+0.8
11 Sao Paulo26121446%78.880.8-2.0
12 Pinheiros25111444%75.778.4-2.7
13 Pato27111641%76.779.6-2.9
14 Uniao Corinthians27101737%74.882.6-7.8
15 Caxias do Sul2681831%72.480.0-7.6
16 Cerrado2571828%74.576.5-2.0
17 Botafogo2762122%76.986.5-9.6
18 Mogi2542116%73.381.3-8.0
19 Brasilia2542116%70.785.4-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2320142279
Pinheiros3017141374
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