Bauru vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 22:15

Final 74-81

15-26 17-17 22-19 20-19

Position#7

Record13-10

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game71.3

Bauru

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#3

Record17-6

FormWWWLL

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game79.8

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Bauru v Sao Paulo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

79-67

+12

A04/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

74-61

+13

A06/01

NBB

Minas

58-63

-5

A10/01

NBB

Brasilia

#15

72-70

H16/01

NBB

Cerrado

#17

97-73

+24

H18/01

NBB

Franca

58-83

-25

A21/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

93-66

+27

A03/02

NBB

Paulistano

80-70

+10

H11/02

NBB

Flamengo

54-66

-12

A13/02

NBB

Franca

82-90

-8

A18/02

NBB

19-23

24-18

13-16

23-10

20-15

13-18

18-22

23-6

21-10

11-20

9-21

17-12

21-15

18-11

27-28

6-16

18-16

24-28

24-13

31-16

18-26

16-20

8-15

16-22

29-13

28-16

17-16

19-21

18-19

19-24

20-13

23-14

15-19

16-18

11-20

12-9

23-15

18-26

16-26

25-23

145.6Avg total

74.7Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.1	71.3	149.5	+6.8	57%
Season at home (10)	81.7	71.0	152.7	+10.7	70%
Season away (13)	75.4	71.6	147.0	+3.8	46%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	70.9	145.6	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	75.0	148.4	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.0	80.2	154.2	-6.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	69.6	70.7	140.3	-1.1	40%
vs Weaker (15)	82.1	67.5	149.6	+14.7	87%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

92-76

+16

H10/01

NBB

Pato

#12

84-69

+15

A14/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

85-73

+12

A17/01

NBB

Pinheiros

100-78

100

+22

H21/01

Super 8

Flamengo

70-74

-4

H26/01

Super 8

Pinheiros

89-79

+10

A30/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

85-70

+15

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

91-70

+21

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

68-89

-21

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

79-99

-20

H17/02

NBB

26-19

19-24

32-10

15-23

17-16

22-19

24-17

21-17

22-21

20-11

23-25

20-16

18-21

29-18

24-23

29-16

13-18

11-11

20-21

26-24

21-13

24-22

20-28

24-16

17-24

17-20

27-9

24-17

24-18

22-12

22-14

23-26

19-25

16-18

18-22

15-24

24-33

18-15

26-27

11-24

162.0Avg total

84.3Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	87.8	79.8	167.6	+8.0	74%
Season at home (12)	86.0	81.4	167.4	+4.6	67%
Season away (11)	89.7	78.1	167.8	+11.6	82%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	77.7	162.0	+6.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	81.4	163.8	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.2	91.8	168.0	-15.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.4	74.4	155.8	+7.0	75%
vs Weaker (17)	89.3	78.0	167.3	+11.3	76%

This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.6	17.3	32.9	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	27.0	47.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	24.0	41.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	17.5	38.7	+3.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.1	38.2	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	16.1	36.8	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	19.2	36.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	15.2	37.0	+6.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.3	17.4	38.6	+3.9	65%	-

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-41

A04/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

33-33

A06/01

NBB

Minas

32-30

A10/01

NBB

Brasilia

#15

39-26

+13

H16/01

NBB

Cerrado

#17

42-44

-2

H18/01

NBB

Franca

34-46

-12

A21/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

57-29

+28

A03/02

NBB

Paulistano

37-43

-6

H11/02

NBB

Flamengo

31-37

-6

A13/02

NBB

Franca

41-41

A18/02

NBB

75.9Avg total

38.9Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.7	36.8	76.5	+2.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.4	36.4	73.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.6	35.7	70.3	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.3	35.1	76.4	+6.3	60%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

45-43

H10/01

NBB

Pato

#12

39-35

A14/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-32

+10

A17/01

NBB

Pinheiros

47-39

H21/01

Super 8

Flamengo

24-29

-5

H26/01

Super 8

Pinheiros

45-35

+10

A30/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

34-44

-10

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

46-30

+16

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

35-43

-8

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

42-48

-6

H17/02

NBB

77.7Avg total

39.9Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	37.6	80.2	+5.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.8	77.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	46.2	84.5	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.5	34.2	75.8	+7.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.2	38.5	81.7	+4.6	76%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.7	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	18.0	32.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	18.4	41.9	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	21.1	40.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.5	16.6	41.1	+7.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	15.7	33.8	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	15.9	34.1	+2.3	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	14.9	34.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	17.2	35.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.6	14.6	33.2	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.7	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	34.0	71.6	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	34.4	73.5	+4.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.4	33.7	70.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	33.9	69.7	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.8	69.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.7	34.4	69.1	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.8	32.4	73.2	+8.4	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.6	82.2	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	39.5	81.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	39.8	82.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	39.9	84.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	41.4	83.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	41.5	76.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.1	39.0	84.1	+6.1	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/22	Sao Paulo v Bauru	82-73
03/05/22	Bauru v Sao Paulo	71-88
01/05/22	Bauru v Sao Paulo	62-85
28/04/22	Sao Paulo v Bauru	90-65
18/02/22	Bauru v Sao Paulo	102-87
16/01/22	Sao Paulo v Bauru	78-73
16/11/21	Sao Paulo v Bauru	79-77
08/02/21	Sao Paulo v Bauru	92-84
28/12/20	Bauru v Sao Paulo	79-68
10/03/20	Sao Paulo v Bauru	99-64

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/23	A	Franca	82-90
13/02/23	A	Flamengo	54-66
11/02/23	H	Paulistano	80-70
03/02/23	A	Sao Jose	93-66
21/01/23	A	Franca	58-83
18/01/23	H	Cerrado	97-73
16/01/23	H	Brasilia	72-70
10/01/23	A	Minas	58-63
06/01/23	A	Caxias do Sul	74-61
04/01/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	79-67

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/23	H	Unifacisa	79-99
12/02/23	H	Tenerife	68-89
10/02/23	A	Rio Grande Valley Vipers	91-70
04/02/23	H	Cearense	85-70
30/01/23	A	Pinheiros	89-79
26/01/23	H	Flamengo	70-74
21/01/23	H	Pinheiros	100-78
17/01/23	A	Corinthians Paulista	85-73
14/01/23	A	Pato	84-69
10/01/23	H	Rio Claro	92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	57%
Home	LWWWW	70%
Away	WLWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	57%	70%	46%
Points / game	78.1	81.7	75.4
Allowed / game	71.3	71.0	71.6
Point differential	+6.8	+10.7	+3.8
Avg total	149.5	152.7	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	50%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	74%
Home	LLWWL	67%
Away	LWWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	74%	67%	82%
Points / game	87.8	86.0	89.7
Allowed / game	79.8	81.4	78.1
Point differential	+8.0	+4.6	+11.6
Avg total	167.6	167.4	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	33%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	25	25	0	100%	90.2	77.2	+13.0
2	Flamengo	25	22	3	88%	82.7	68.7	+14.0
3	Sao Paulo	23	17	6	74%	87.8	79.8	+8.0
4	Minas	24	17	7	71%	85.7	77.7	+8.0
5	Paulistano	24	15	9	62%	76.0	72.7	+3.3
6	Corinthians Paulista	23	14	9	61%	82.8	80.0	+2.8
7	Bauru	23	13	10	57%	78.1	71.3	+6.8
8	Pinheiros	24	13	11	54%	80.0	78.8	+1.3
9	Unifacisa	24	11	13	46%	79.4	81.6	-2.2
10	Sao Jose	25	11	14	44%	80.0	82.1	-2.1
11	Caxias do Sul	23	10	13	43%	75.0	76.7	-1.7
12	Uniao Corinthians	22	7	15	32%	78.6	82.0	-3.4
13	Brasilia	23	6	17	26%	78.5	85.9	-7.4
14	Pato	24	6	18	25%	77.4	87.0	-9.5
15	Rio Claro	23	5	18	22%	75.6	87.8	-12.2
16	Cearense	24	5	19	21%	71.9	83.9	-12.0
17	Cerrado	23	4	19	17%	83.8	92.2	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bauru	15	17	22	20	74
Sao Paulo	26	17	19	19	81

← all games of the day

Bauru vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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