Sao Paulo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 88-72

24-29 31-11 14-21 19-11

Position#3

Record20-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game78.8

Sao Paulo 🏆

Brasilia

Position#15

Record7-18

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game85.6

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

100-78

100

+22

H21/01

Super 8

Flamengo

70-74

-4

H26/01

Super 8

Pinheiros

89-79

+10

A30/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

85-70

+15

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

91-70

+21

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

68-89

-21

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

79-99

-20

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

81-74

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

70-64

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

99-76

+23

H07/03

NBB

18-21

29-18

24-23

29-16

13-18

11-11

20-21

26-24

21-13

24-22

20-28

24-16

17-24

17-20

27-9

24-17

24-18

22-12

22-14

23-26

19-25

16-18

18-22

15-24

24-33

18-15

26-27

11-24

26-15

17-17

19-22

19-20

23-13

22-15

9-17

16-19

22-25

28-17

24-15

25-19

160.5Avg total

83.2Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	87.3	78.8	166.1	+8.4	77%
Season at home (14)	85.8	79.8	165.6	+6.0	71%
Season away (12)	89.0	77.8	166.8	+11.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	77.3	160.5	+5.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	80.4	159.8	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.2	91.8	168.0	-15.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	76.0	159.4	+7.4	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.1	77.1	164.2	+10.0	76%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

88-101

101

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

80-82

-2

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

88-101

101

-13

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

70-72

-2

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

83-94

-11

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-88

-10

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

74-96

-22

H04/02

NBB

Minas

79-110

110

-31

A17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

86-65

+21

H02/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

94-100

100

-6

H04/03

NBB

25-34

22-26

19-21

22-20

22-14

21-20

17-27

20-21

18-39

22-24

29-17

19-21

15-21

11-18

28-27

16-6

17-27

13-26

25-27

28-14

20-17

17-21

22-28

19-22

24-28

19-12

17-31

14-25

15-32

21-28

24-19

19-31

25-14

19-20

31-15

11-16

19-21

26-27

22-18

27-34

172.9Avg total

82.0Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.4	85.6	165.0	-6.2	28%
Season at home (13)	79.7	86.8	166.5	-7.1	15%
Season away (12)	79.1	84.4	163.5	-5.3	42%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	90.9	172.9	-8.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	91.8	174.0	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	78.0	88.9	166.9	-11.0	14%
vs Similar (8)	82.2	76.4	158.6	+5.9	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	22.6	43.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+1.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	27.0	47.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.8	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.9	43.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.7	44.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.9	25.2	46.1	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	19.2	36.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	15.4	37.5	+6.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

47-39

H21/01

Super 8

Flamengo

24-29

-5

H26/01

Super 8

Pinheiros

45-35

+10

A30/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

34-44

-10

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

46-30

+16

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

35-43

-8

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

42-48

-6

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

43-32

+11

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-28

+17

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

50-42

H07/03

NBB

78.1Avg total

41.1Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	38.9	80.2	+2.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	37.9	81.4	+5.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.0	78.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.6	81.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	46.2	84.5	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	34.9	77.9	+8.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.5	76%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

47-60

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

43-34

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

40-63

-23

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

26-39

-13

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

30-53

-23

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

37-38

-1

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-40

H04/02

NBB

Minas

36-60

-24

A17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

44-34

+10

H02/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

45-48

-3

H04/03

NBB

86.0Avg total

39.1Scored

46.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.3	84.1	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	43.3	84.0	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	45.2	84.2	-6.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	46.9	86.0	-7.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.0	47.1	86.1	-8.0	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.1	16.4	40.4	+7.7	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.7	39.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.0	46.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.3	22.5	42.8	-2.2	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.6	43.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.8	82.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.4	80.9	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	40.4	83.5	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	41.5	76.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.4	38.9	83.2	+5.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.0	80.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	42.9	80.4	-5.3	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.4	79.6	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.0	86.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	47.8	89.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.9	41.8	80.7	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
17/12/22	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	89-96
25/01/22	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	86-90 OT
29/10/21	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	85-66
10/03/21	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	92-46
11/12/20	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	80-104
13/02/20	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	73-96
08/11/19	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	81-69

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	99-76
04/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	70-64
02/03/23	A	Bauru	81-74
17/02/23	H	Unifacisa	79-99
12/02/23	H	Tenerife	68-89
10/02/23	A	Rio Grande Valley Vipers	91-70
04/02/23	H	Cearense	85-70
30/01/23	A	Pinheiros	89-79
26/01/23	H	Flamengo	70-74
21/01/23	H	Pinheiros	100-78

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Sao Jose	94-100
02/03/23	H	Cerrado	86-65
17/02/23	A	Minas	79-110
04/02/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	74-96
01/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-88
18/01/23	A	Pinheiros	83-94
16/01/23	A	Bauru	70-72
11/01/23	H	Unifacisa	88-101
09/01/23	H	Cearense	80-82
05/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	77%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	77%	71%	83%
Points / game	87.3	85.8	89.0
Allowed / game	78.8	79.8	77.8
Point differential	+8.4	+6.0	+11.2
Avg total	166.1	165.6	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	36%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Brasilia

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	28%
Home	LLLWL	15%
Away	WLLLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	28%	15%	42%
Points / game	79.4	79.7	79.1
Allowed / game	85.6	86.8	84.4
Point differential	-6.2	-7.1	-5.3
Avg total	165.0	166.5	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	15%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	25	25	0	100%	90.2	77.2	+13.0
2	Flamengo	25	22	3	88%	82.7	68.7	+14.0
3	Sao Paulo	26	20	6	77%	87.3	78.8	+8.4
4	Minas	24	17	7	71%	85.7	77.7	+8.0
5	Paulistano	26	17	9	65%	76.5	72.4	+4.1
6	Pinheiros	26	15	11	58%	80.6	78.5	+2.1
7	Bauru	26	14	12	54%	77.5	71.9	+5.6
8	Corinthians Paulista	26	14	12	54%	81.4	79.5	+1.9
9	Sao Jose	27	13	14	48%	81.3	81.9	-0.5
10	Unifacisa	26	12	14	46%	78.6	81.0	-2.4
11	Caxias do Sul	25	10	15	40%	73.9	76.7	-2.8
12	Uniao Corinthians	24	7	17	29%	78.6	82.8	-4.2
13	Brasilia	25	7	18	28%	79.4	85.6	-6.2
14	Cearense	26	7	19	27%	73.0	83.8	-10.9
15	Pato	27	7	20	26%	77.4	86.0	-8.5
16	Rio Claro	25	6	19	24%	76.2	87.5	-11.3
17	Cerrado	25	4	21	16%	82.3	92.1	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	24	31	14	19	88
Brasilia	29	11	21	11	72

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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