Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 79-70

17-20 20-14 23-12 19-24

Position#2

Record25-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game69.0

Flamengo 🏆

Sao Paulo

Position#3

Record21-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game79.5

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Flamengo v Sao Paulo

SAO 102

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

92-74

+18

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

66-54

+12

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

82-71

+11

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

77-78

-1

A18/02

NBB

Minas

79-78

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

92-64

+28

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

88-86

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

102-70

102

+32

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

109-75

109

+34

A23/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

96-68

+28

H27/03

NBB

22-18

24-22

23-22

23-12

19-15

18-16

20-11

9-12

13-14

19-20

21-18

29-19

15-26

21-20

22-10

19-22

19-23

23-14

20-20

17-21

21-14

24-17

29-20

18-13

12-21

20-23

26-24

30-18

26-12

27-15

21-22

28-21

27-12

17-21

30-18

35-24

27-19

19-17

26-19

24-13

160.1Avg total

88.3Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	84.8	69.0	153.8	+15.9	89%
Season at home (14)	82.3	65.5	147.8	+16.8	93%
Season away (14)	87.4	72.4	159.8	+14.9	86%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	71.8	160.1	+16.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	72.6	170.0	+24.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	73.0	142.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	59.0	69.0	128.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	88.3	69.1	157.4	+19.3	92%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

85-70

+15

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

91-70

+21

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

68-89

-21

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

79-99

-20

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

81-74

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

70-64

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

99-76

+23

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

88-72

+16

H10/03

NBB

Minas

76-87

-11

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

84-97

-13

A30/03

NBB

17-24

17-20

27-9

24-17

24-18

22-12

22-14

23-26

19-25

16-18

18-22

15-24

24-33

18-15

26-27

11-24

26-15

17-17

19-22

19-20

23-13

22-15

9-17

16-19

22-25

28-17

24-15

25-19

24-29

31-11

14-21

19-11

19-21

14-22

25-17

18-27

22-23

22-25

21-21

19-28

161.9Avg total

82.1Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	86.8	79.5	166.3	+7.3	72%
Season at home (15)	85.9	79.3	165.2	+6.7	73%
Season away (14)	87.7	79.8	167.5	+7.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	79.8	161.9	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	79.2	162.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	78.7	95.0	173.7	-16.3	0%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	77.9	161.2	+5.5	62%
vs Weaker (18)	87.5	78.2	165.7	+9.3	72%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	17.3	39.6	+5.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.6	38.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	17.5	39.1	+4.2	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.3	26.0	47.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	19.2	40.9	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.7	21.3	42.9	+0.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.8	17.3	39.1	+4.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.3	37.1	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	18.7	40.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.0	61%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

46-40

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

37-31

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-34

-2

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

36-46

-10

A18/02

NBB

Minas

42-37

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

45-31

+14

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

32-44

-12

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

53-27

+26

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

44-33

+11

A23/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

46-36

+10

H27/03

NBB

77.2Avg total

41.3Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	34.6	76.1	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	34.3	74.5	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	34.9	77.7	+8.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	35.9	77.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	34.2	78.2	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	32.5	63.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.6	85%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

34-44

-10

H04/02

NBB

Rio Grande Valley Vipers

46-30

+16

A10/02

Intercontinental Cup

Tenerife

35-43

-8

H12/02

Intercontinental Cup

Unifacisa

42-48

-6

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

43-32

+11

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-28

+17

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

50-42

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

55-40

+15

H10/03

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

44-48

-4

A30/03

NBB

82.5Avg total

42.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.7	81.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	39.4	81.7	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	38.0	81.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.8	82.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.2	85.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	39.0	44.3	83.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.0	35.5	77.5	+6.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.6	39.2	82.7	+4.4	72%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.0	40.0	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	16.9	38.8	+4.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.6	47.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.0	17.1	41.1	+6.9	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	15.1	36.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.5	40.7	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	17.8	44.8	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.3	16.1	38.4	+6.3	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.7	40.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	23.3	43.3	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.9	21.9	41.9	-2.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	34.6	78.6	+9.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	32.0	75.5	+11.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	37.3	81.7	+7.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	35.9	82.9	+11.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	38.4	91.8	+15.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.9	34.3	79.2	+10.7	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.6	83.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	39.3	81.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	41.9	85.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	35.3	45.3	80.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.4	42.4	83.8	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.9	39.1	83.0	+4.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/23	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	70-74
20/12/22	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	66-91
02/04/22	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	88-78
23/10/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	61-86
27/05/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	85-93
24/05/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	81-82
22/05/21	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	96-93
11/04/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	66-75
27/02/21	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	93-74
23/01/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	71-79

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/23	H	Sao Jose	96-68
23/03/23	A	Brasilia	109-75
21/03/23	A	Cerrado	102-70
09/03/23	H	U. De Concepcion	88-86
05/03/23	A	U. De Concepcion	92-64
01/03/23	H	Minas	79-78
18/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	77-78
16/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	82-71
13/02/23	H	Bauru	66-54
07/02/23	A	Penarol	92-74

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/23	A	Sao Jose	84-97
14/03/23	A	Minas	76-87
10/03/23	H	Brasilia	88-72
07/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	99-76
04/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	70-64
02/03/23	A	Bauru	81-74
17/02/23	H	Unifacisa	79-99
12/02/23	H	Tenerife	68-89
10/02/23	A	Rio Grande Valley Vipers	91-70
04/02/23	H	Cearense	85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	89%	93%	86%
Points / game	84.8	82.3	87.4
Allowed / game	69.0	65.5	72.4
Point differential	+15.9	+16.8	+14.9
Avg total	153.8	147.8	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	71%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	72%
Home	WLWWW	73%
Away	WWWLL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	72%	73%	71%
Points / game	86.8	85.9	87.7
Allowed / game	79.5	79.3	79.8
Point differential	+7.3	+6.7	+7.9
Avg total	166.3	165.2	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	40%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	28	28	0	100%	90.2	77.8	+12.4
2	Flamengo	28	25	3	89%	84.8	69.0	+15.9
3	Sao Paulo	29	21	8	72%	86.8	79.5	+7.3
4	Minas	29	20	9	69%	86.2	79.0	+7.3
5	Paulistano	28	19	9	68%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
6	Pinheiros	30	18	12	60%	80.6	78.0	+2.6
7	Bauru	30	17	13	57%	77.6	71.5	+6.1
8	Corinthians Paulista	29	15	14	52%	81.2	79.7	+1.4
9	Sao Jose	30	14	16	47%	81.1	82.2	-1.2
10	Unifacisa	30	14	16	47%	77.4	79.7	-2.3
11	Caxias do Sul	28	11	17	39%	73.4	75.6	-2.3
12	Uniao Corinthians	28	9	19	32%	78.9	82.2	-3.3
13	Cearense	29	8	21	28%	73.2	83.8	-10.6
14	Pato	30	8	22	27%	76.7	84.8	-8.1
15	Brasilia	28	7	21	25%	78.8	86.8	-8.0
16	Rio Claro	30	7	23	23%	76.5	87.9	-11.4
17	Cerrado	28	5	23	18%	82.6	92.1	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	17	20	23	19	79
Sao Paulo	20	14	12	24	70

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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