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Saratov vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 88-77
20-24 24-10 25-18 19-25
Position#9
Record6-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.0
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#12
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.7
Allowed / game82.1
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Saratov v Minsk
03 Mar 2024
SAR81
MIN58
03 Feb 2024
SAR105
MIN63
14 Feb 2023
SAR78
MIN70
22 Dec 2022
SAR88
MIN77
16 Oct 2021
SAR95
MIN79
28 Feb 2021
SAR113
MIN66
29 Feb 2020
SAR109
MIN90
10 Nov 2018
SAR95
MIN99
15 Apr 2018
SAR104
MIN82
02 Feb 2017
SAR88
MIN81
13 Mar 2016
SAR98
MIN85
31 Oct 2014
SAR100
MIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
H06/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A11/11
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H15/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H19/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
A23/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A28/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H03/12
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A13/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H18/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
20-26
22-27
17-22
15-20
20-28
17-24
18-13
17-13
13-19
17-17
27-20
20-21
18-18
26-16
22-26
20-25
16-24
24-26
16-28
14-24
17-26
15-21
30-18
11-13
17-22
29-11
15-22
22-26
13-19
14-12
20-17
19-21
23-12
20-19
7-18
22-16
18-23
31-15
20-25
158.5Avg total
76.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.483.0161.4-4.635%
Season at home (8)80.680.2160.9+0.462%
Season away (9)76.385.4161.8-9.111%
Last 10 (10)76.781.8158.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)75.476.0151.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.094.4170.4-18.412%
vs Similar (8)76.477.2153.6-0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.369.7156.0+16.783%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H31/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H07/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A11/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
66-101
66
101
-35
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H18/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
13-14
24-20
18-22
10-18
13-13
9-19
22-8
11-21
13-21
21-31
22-11
16-18
21-28
20-23
13-23
13-17
26-17
17-12
7-15
12-25
8-29
11-30
22-18
7-16
10-12
15-27
25-13
11-30
11-33
22-23
22-15
10-23
19-23
12-19
21-20
21-19
15-23
10-17
15-17
142.8Avg total
62.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)59.782.1141.8-22.46%
Season at home (9)59.178.1137.2-19.00%
Season away (7)60.487.3147.7-26.914%
Last 10 (10)62.180.7142.8-18.610%
Last 5 (5)59.886.4146.2-26.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.285.0146.2-23.85%
vs Similar (3)76.368.7145.0+7.7100%
vs Weaker (5)89.658.8148.4+30.8100%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
SaratovMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H06/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A11/11
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A23/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H03/12
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/12
VTB United League
78.1Avg total
36.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.181.7-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.541.881.3-2.231%-
Last 30 away (17)37.944.182.0-6.118%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.178.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.475.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.247.085.2-8.819%-
vs Similar (8)36.442.679.0-6.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.833.276.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H31/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H07/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A11/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
22-63
22
63
-41
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/12
VTB United League
69.7Avg total
27.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.640.773.3-8.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.838.670.4-6.931%-
Last 30 away (14)33.643.176.7-9.429%-
Last 10 (10)27.342.469.7-15.110%-
Last 5 (5)24.846.671.4-21.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.244.173.3-15.09%-
vs Similar (3)38.337.375.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker (5)44.427.672.0+16.8100%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.7
49.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
-11.4
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
WLLWLLWWLL
Minsk
LLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#12
-19.1
Net rating
-33.5
100.9
Offensive rating
91.1
120.0
Defensive rating
124.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
20.9%
Turnover %
22.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
31.9%
65.4%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Saratov   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Saratov wins
2
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
17/10/22Minsk v Saratov72-97
27/03/22Minsk v Saratov64-72
16/10/21Saratov v Minsk95-79
28/02/21Saratov v Minsk113-66
07/11/20Minsk v Saratov69-86
29/02/20Saratov v Minsk109-90
12/01/20Minsk v Saratov88-80
05/01/19Minsk v Saratov86-93
10/11/18Saratov v Minsk95-99
15/04/18Saratov v Minsk104-82
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HZenit Petersburg91-79
13/12/22AAstana69-70
08/12/22ANizhny Novgorod69-74
03/12/22HMBA Moscow72-68
28/11/22ALokomotiv Kuban76-89
23/11/22ACSKA Moscow76-103
19/11/22HEnisey86-81
15/11/22HSamara74-69
11/11/22AMBA Moscow70-85
06/11/22HLokomotiv Kuban84-100
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HMBA Moscow61-76
13/12/22AParma Perm62-85
09/12/22HCSKA Moscow66-101
05/12/22HNizhny Novgorod57-68
29/11/22AUnics Kazan53-102
24/11/22AEnisey63-61
20/11/22HLokomotiv Kuban70-92
11/11/22ANizhny Novgorod67-84
07/11/22HUnics Kazan54-58
31/10/22HSamara68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%62%11%
Points / game78.480.676.3
Allowed / game83.080.285.4
Point differential-4.6+0.4-9.1
Avg total161.4160.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game59.759.160.4
Allowed / game82.178.187.3
Point differential-22.4-19.0-26.9
Avg total141.8137.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow17170100%97.473.3+24.1
2 Unics Kazan1816289%88.671.7+16.9
3 Zenit Petersburg1612475%82.969.8+13.1
4 MBA Moscow1712571%81.875.9+5.9
5 Nizhny Novgorod1810856%74.574.8-0.3
6 Lokomotiv Kuban179853%78.278.5-0.2
7 Parma Perm1771041%77.180.9-3.8
8 Saratov1761135%78.483.0-4.6
9 Samara1861233%76.077.7-1.7
10 Enisey1741324%72.678.4-5.8
11 Astana1621412%63.587.4-23.9
12 Minsk161156%59.782.1-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2024251988
Minsk2410182577
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