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Saratov vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 95-79
28-11 21-21 21-19 25-28
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game100.5
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game87.3
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Saratov v Minsk
03 Mar 2024
SAR81
MIN58
03 Feb 2024
SAR105
MIN63
14 Feb 2023
SAR78
MIN70
22 Dec 2022
SAR88
MIN77
16 Oct 2021
SAR95
MIN79
28 Feb 2021
SAR113
MIN66
29 Feb 2020
SAR109
MIN90
10 Nov 2018
SAR95
MIN99
15 Apr 2018
SAR104
MIN82
02 Feb 2017
SAR88
MIN81
13 Mar 2016
SAR98
MIN85
31 Oct 2014
SAR100
MIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaratov
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
57avg 79
A07/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
89-104
89
104
-15
79avg 79
A13/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
50avg 79
H23/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 79
H03/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
84avg 79
A09/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A17/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A25/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 79
A04/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
95-108
95
108
-13
87avg 79
H10/10
VTB United League
Basket Zaragoza
#29
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
16-20
20-25
26-24
29-30
24-27
15-26
21-21
14-31
13-17
26-15
9-26
24-25
19-21
28-31
22-22
24-22
22-21
22-16
17-27
20-28
26-20
19-25
35-20
28-24
20-18
14-16
22-22
20-28
27-18
25-20
25-27
19-31
26-25
19-33
31-19
23-21
17-26
28-13
32-20
179.9Avg total
88.2Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.0100.5196.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)95.0108.0203.0-13.00%
Season away (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.291.7179.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)95.290.8186.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.993.8173.8-13.925%
vs Similar (9)88.291.1179.3-2.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.477.1169.6+15.378%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
70avg 65
H12/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
109-74
109
74
+35
107avg 65
A25/04
VTB United League
Leiden
#18
W
69-67
69
67
+2
55avg 65
H15/09
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
78-95
78
95
-17
76avg 65
A17/09
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
44-92
44
92
-48
no box
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 65
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
72avg 65
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
17-22
15-32
22-16
8-29
19-19
27-20
20-13
17-16
13-21
15-19
20-25
25-17
32-21
17-24
35-12
15-19
19-12
12-15
23-21
21-30
19-25
13-25
25-15
11-33
6-13
10-28
17-18
18-19
15-20
21-28
33-25
21-24
16-19
20-15
18-20
23-25
26-15
21-16
7-21
160.9Avg total
76.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.787.3156.0-18.70%
Season at home (2)59.585.0144.5-25.50%
Season away (1)87.092.0179.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.384.6160.9-8.330%
Last 5 (5)74.288.4162.6-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.885.7155.5-15.99%
vs Similar (8)82.481.0163.4+1.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
SaratovMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A13/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H23/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A17/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A25/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H10/10
VTB United League
Basket Zaragoza
#29
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
89.5Avg total
42.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.046.288.3-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.989.2-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.687.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.646.989.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.893.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.851.189.9-12.28%-
vs Similar (9)44.746.491.1-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.739.683.2+4.156%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H12/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A25/04
VTB United League
Leiden
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/09
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/09
Champions League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
17-46
17
46
-29
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.2Avg total
36.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.978.1-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.540.475.8-4.929%-
Last 30 away (13)37.243.881.0-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.079.2-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.679.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.642.677.2-8.018%-
vs Similar (8)40.639.880.4+0.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.1
52.6%
52.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.8
39.5%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.7
77.3%
77.1%16.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.5
47.4%
52.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.611.6
74.4%
77.1%11.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
WLWWWLLLLL
Minsk
WLLLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#10
-1.6
Net rating
-12.2
115.2
Offensive rating
99.1
116.8
Defensive rating
111.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.5%
3-point %
37.6%
63.4%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 99.1Defence116.8 · 111.3Shooting55.2% · 50.9%3-point %39.5% · 37.6%Ball care15.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Saratov   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saratov wins
3
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Saratov v Minsk113-66
07/11/20Minsk v Saratov69-86
29/02/20Saratov v Minsk109-90
12/01/20Minsk v Saratov88-80
05/01/19Minsk v Saratov86-93
10/11/18Saratov v Minsk95-99
15/04/18Saratov v Minsk104-82
19/11/17Minsk v Saratov82-85
02/02/17Saratov v Minsk88-81
16/10/16Minsk v Saratov89-83
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/21HBasket Zaragoza100-80
10/10/21HLokomotiv Kuban95-108
04/10/21ABC Kalev/Cramo97-93
25/04/21AKhimki M.84-80
17/04/21AParma Perm100-93
09/04/21AEnisey85-86
03/04/21HNizhny Novgorod93-99
23/03/21HZenit Petersburg62-89
13/03/21ALokomotiv Kuban89-104
07/03/21ABC Kalev/Cramo77-85
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/21HPeristeri87-85 OT
10/10/21HParma Perm75-78
02/10/21ALokomotiv Kuban87-92
23/09/21HCSKA Moscow44-92
17/09/21ATreviso78-95
15/09/21HLeiden69-67
25/04/21AAstana109-74
21/04/21HKhimki M.65-81
16/04/21HEnisey74-81
12/04/21HLokomotiv Kuban75-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game96.095.097.0
Allowed / game100.5108.093.0
Point differential-4.5-13.0+4.0
Avg total196.5203.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.759.587.0
Allowed / game87.385.092.0
Point differential-18.7-25.5-5.0
Avg total156.0144.5179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow330100%96.362.3+34.0
2 Unics Kazan220100%94.075.0+19.0
3 Enisey110100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Parma Perm110100%78.075.0+3.0
5 Astana32167%80.071.7+8.3
6 Lokomotiv Kuban32167%95.792.7+3.0
7 Zenit Petersburg21150%72.071.5+0.5
8 Saratov21150%96.0100.5-4.5
9 Nizhny Novgorod21150%74.082.5-8.5
10 BC Kalev/Cramo3030%78.086.3-8.3
11 Minsk3030%68.787.3-18.7
12 Zielona Gora3030%68.093.7-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2821212595
Minsk1121192879
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