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Saratov vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-70
20-13 20-16 11-24 27-17
Position#9
Record9-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.6
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#12
Record1-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game81.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Saratov v Minsk
03 Mar 2024
SAR81
MIN58
03 Feb 2024
SAR105
MIN63
14 Feb 2023
SAR78
MIN70
22 Dec 2022
SAR88
MIN77
16 Oct 2021
SAR95
MIN79
28 Feb 2021
SAR113
MIN66
29 Feb 2020
SAR109
MIN90
10 Nov 2018
SAR95
MIN99
15 Apr 2018
SAR104
MIN82
02 Feb 2017
SAR88
MIN81
13 Mar 2016
SAR98
MIN85
31 Oct 2014
SAR100
MIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A13/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H18/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H22/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
H04/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A08/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
13-19
14-12
20-17
19-21
23-12
20-19
7-18
22-16
18-23
31-15
20-25
20-24
24-10
25-18
19-25
18-17
19-25
23-27
24-15
13-28
25-15
23-24
21-20
20-23
19-19
22-24
23-22
20-27
22-15
11-18
18-23
30-25
24-18
20-20
19-20
19-24
26-19
18-17
23-22
164.5Avg total
82.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.483.6164.0-3.238%
Season at home (12)82.681.7164.2+0.958%
Season away (12)78.285.5163.8-7.217%
Last 10 (10)82.781.8164.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)83.284.6167.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.192.6169.7-15.619%
vs Similar (10)79.281.3160.5-2.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.072.8159.8+14.275%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H04/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A11/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A15/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
42-69
42
69
-27
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
10-24
18-25
25-19
15-20
19-22
15-18
16-16
16-21
15-30
18-19
17-21
13-20
5-18
18-16
12-23
14-18
13-17
11-23
18-16
19-18
19-26
19-17
14-17
15-29
26-14
12-24
29-19
6-15
11-11
16-19
9-24
13-20
21-18
12-28
21-16
19-16
22-17
18-25
12-13
146.0Avg total
65.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)61.881.6143.4-19.84%
Season at home (13)60.278.9139.2-18.70%
Season away (13)63.484.3147.7-20.98%
Last 10 (10)65.280.8146.0-15.60%
Last 5 (5)68.080.4148.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)61.481.9143.3-20.54%
vs Similar (6)70.774.2144.8-3.550%
vs Weaker (1)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
SaratovMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A08/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/02
VTB United League
82.2Avg total
41.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.282.4-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.080.3-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)39.145.184.2-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.682.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.686.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.646.284.8-7.719%-
vs Similar (10)37.442.780.1-5.310%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.232.078.2+14.2100%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A11/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A15/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/02
VTB United League
70.9Avg total
31.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.840.770.5-10.817%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.139.967.9-11.814%-
Last 30 away (16)31.441.472.8-10.019%-
Last 10 (10)31.539.470.9-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.871.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.541.770.1-13.29%-
vs Similar (6)34.739.273.8-4.533%-
vs Weaker (1)32.027.059.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.7
49.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
-11.4
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
WWLLLLWWLL
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#12
-19.1
Net rating
-33.5
100.9
Offensive rating
91.1
120.0
Defensive rating
124.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
20.9%
Turnover %
22.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
31.9%
65.4%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Saratov   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Saratov wins
2
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22Saratov v Minsk88-77
17/10/22Minsk v Saratov72-97
27/03/22Minsk v Saratov64-72
16/10/21Saratov v Minsk95-79
28/02/21Saratov v Minsk113-66
07/11/20Minsk v Saratov69-86
29/02/20Saratov v Minsk109-90
12/01/20Minsk v Saratov88-80
05/01/19Minsk v Saratov86-93
10/11/18Saratov v Minsk95-99
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23AEnisey86-82
29/01/23HSamara93-83
20/01/23HUnics Kazan71-83
15/01/23AEnisey84-88
08/01/23ASamara82-87
04/01/23HParma Perm94-95 OT
22/12/22HMinsk88-77
18/12/22HZenit Petersburg91-79
13/12/22AAstana69-70
08/12/22ANizhny Novgorod69-74
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HSamara78-87 OT
08/02/23AParma Perm67-82
04/02/23HEnisey42-69
01/02/23AAstana82-86
19/01/23ASamara71-78
15/01/23ALokomotiv Kuban56-74
11/01/23AAstana48-77
04/01/23HZenit Petersburg66-91
25/12/22HAstana65-76
22/12/22ASaratov77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game80.482.678.2
Allowed / game83.681.785.5
Point differential-3.2+0.9-7.2
Avg total164.0164.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %4%0%8%
Points / game61.860.263.4
Allowed / game81.678.984.3
Point differential-19.8-18.7-20.9
Avg total143.4139.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2625196%97.474.2+23.2
2 Unics Kazan2522388%87.173.4+13.7
3 Zenit Petersburg2618869%82.372.7+9.5
4 Nizhny Novgorod26151158%76.075.8+0.1
5 Lokomotiv Kuban26141254%79.478.0+1.4
6 MBA Moscow25131252%77.978.6-0.8
7 Parma Perm25111444%78.880.9-2.1
8 Samara25101540%78.077.4+0.6
9 Saratov2491538%80.483.6-3.2
10 Enisey2691735%74.578.6-4.0
11 Astana2451921%66.186.1-20.0
12 Minsk261254%61.881.6-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2020112778
Minsk1316241770
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