Sassari vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 87-74

22-15 20-15 29-16 16-28

Position#3

Record20-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game84.0

Sassari 🏆

Caserta

Position#12

Record13-15

FormLWWWL

Points / game71.9

Allowed / game76.5

Lega ARound 29

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Sassari v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

108-84

108

+24

H17/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

87-76

+11

H24/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

95-93

A03/03

Lega A

Avellino

#11

78-86

-8

A10/03

Lega A

Varese

76-75

H17/03

Lega A

Cremona

#10

91-108

108

-17

A24/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-85

-6

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

75-101

101

-26

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

105-87

105

+18

H14/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

120-110 OT

120

110

+10

A21/04

Lega A

26-20

22-23

32-14

28-27

26-21

18-24

24-18

19-13

31-30

14-27

26-17

24-19

20-24

16-23

24-22

18-17

21-18

14-17

13-17

28-23

19-24

21-34

25-23

26-27

22-29

20-22

19-22

18-12

17-17

19-32

18-22

21-30

16-18

32-19

28-21

29-29

24-25

30-23

24-29

24-25

181.9Avg total

91.4Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	89.2	84.0	173.2	+5.2	71%
Season at home (14)	89.1	78.1	167.2	+10.9	86%
Season away (14)	89.4	89.9	179.3	-0.6	57%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	90.5	181.9	+0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	98.2	192.2	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	84.4	96.2	180.6	-11.8	0%
vs Similar (10)	85.3	83.0	168.3	+2.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	94.1	85.8	179.9	+8.3	79%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

76-97

-21

A17/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

64-66

-2

H24/02

Lega A

Varese

62-74

-12

A03/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

72-70

A11/03

Lega A

Siena

72-64

H17/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

66-77

-11

H24/03

Lega A

Cantu

66-65

A01/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

78-63

+15

H07/04

Lega A

Venezia

88-85

A14/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

75-85

-10

H21/04

Lega A

18-22

9-31

21-18

28-26

20-14

21-22

16-13

7-17

14-20

16-18

10-17

22-19

25-14

10-18

22-15

15-23

18-19

17-14

9-15

28-16

19-20

16-26

17-18

14-13

14-16

17-15

16-19

19-15

24-18

15-22

22-13

17-10

22-18

26-23

16-21

24-23

17-23

16-6

26-23

16-33

146.5Avg total

71.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	71.9	76.5	148.4	-4.6	46%
Season at home (14)	71.9	72.0	143.9	-0.1	50%
Season away (14)	71.9	81.1	152.9	-9.2	43%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	74.6	146.5	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	75.0	149.6	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	70.1	77.2	147.3	-7.2	44%
vs Similar (12)	75.0	77.2	152.2	-2.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	81.5	154.0	-9.0	0%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.5	44.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	22.1	45.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.8	25.6	49.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.4	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.4	41.8	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.0	50.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.1	36.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.4	37.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.5	35.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	15.7	18.7	34.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	0%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

48-43

H17/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

44-45

-1

H24/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

45-57

-12

A03/03

Lega A

Avellino

#11

36-47

-11

A10/03

Lega A

Varese

35-35

H17/03

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-58

-18

A24/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-51

-9

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

36-49

-13

A07/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

48-37

+11

H14/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

54-48

A21/04

Lega A

89.8Avg total

42.8Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	43.1	87.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	40.4	85.2	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	46.3	90.1	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	47.0	89.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	48.6	92.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.0	47.2	89.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.5	39.9	83.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.8	43.9	89.6	+1.9	57%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

27-53

-26

A17/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-36

H24/02

Lega A

Varese

30-38

-8

A03/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

35-32

A11/03

Lega A

Siena

35-33

H17/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

35-46

-11

H24/03

Lega A

Cantu

31-31

A01/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

39-40

-1

H07/04

Lega A

Venezia

48-41

A14/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

33-29

H21/04

Lega A

73.3Avg total

35.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	39.0	74.9	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	37.5	74.9	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	40.6	74.8	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.9	73.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.2	39.4	75.7	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.1	38.4	73.5	-3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.5	43.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.6	24.6	46.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	10%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.4	19.8	43.2	+3.6	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	16.2	31.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.3	17.4	32.8	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.6	42.8	+1.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	22.7	46.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.6	48.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	24.4	45.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	21.6	45.1	+2.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	43.2	87.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.3	42.2	87.5	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.3	44.4	87.7	-1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	42.7	89.5	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	48.0	94.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.4	49.0	91.4	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.8	43.1	84.9	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.0	41.4	88.4	+5.6	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	37.4	72.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.8	34.3	67.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.5	78.3	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	36.7	73.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.6	75.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	32.8	36.6	69.4	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	38.5	71.0	-6.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
06/01/13	Caserta v Sassari	88-81
06/05/12	Caserta v Sassari	69-95
15/01/12	Sassari v Caserta	74-56
30/01/11	Caserta v Sassari	90-94 OT
23/10/10	Sassari v Caserta	92-87

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/13	A	Virtus Bologna	120-110 OT
14/04/13	H	Virtus Roma	105-87
07/04/13	A	Reggiana	75-101
30/03/13	H	Olimpia Milano	79-85
24/03/13	A	Cremona	91-108
17/03/13	H	Varese	76-75
10/03/13	A	Avellino	78-86
03/03/13	A	Brindisi	95-93
24/02/13	H	Pesaro	87-76
17/02/13	H	Venezia	108-84

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/13	H	Avellino	75-85
14/04/13	A	Venezia	88-85
07/04/13	H	Brindisi	78-63
01/04/13	A	Cantu	66-65
24/03/13	H	Pesaro	66-77
17/03/13	H	Siena	72-64
11/03/13	A	Virtus Bologna	72-70
03/03/13	A	Varese	62-74
24/02/13	H	Virtus Roma	64-66
17/02/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	76-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	71%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WLLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	89.2	89.1	89.4
Allowed / game	84.0	78.1	89.9
Point differential	+5.2	+10.9	-0.6
Avg total	173.2	167.2	179.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	64%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Caserta

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	46%
Home	LWLWL	50%
Away	LLWWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	71.9	71.9	71.9
Allowed / game	76.5	72.0	81.1
Point differential	-4.6	-0.1	-9.2
Avg total	148.4	143.9	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	50% (4)	100% (5)
Overtime %	14%	21%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	28	22	6	79%	84.4	77.3	+7.1
3	Sassari	28	20	8	71%	89.2	84.0	+5.2
4	Virtus Roma	28	18	10	64%	78.4	76.1	+2.2
5	Siena	28	17	11	61%	76.0	70.6	+5.4
6	Reggiana	28	17	11	61%	77.5	72.8	+4.8
7	Olimpia Milano	28	17	11	61%	81.0	76.6	+4.4
8	Cantu	28	16	12	57%	74.1	68.0	+6.1
9	Venezia	28	14	14	50%	78.7	78.7	-0.0
10	Caserta	28	13	15	46%	71.9	76.5	-4.6
11	Avellino	28	12	16	43%	75.7	80.7	-5.0
12	Brindisi	28	11	17	39%	80.9	82.0	-1.1
13	Cremona	28	11	17	39%	79.4	81.0	-1.6
14	Sutor Montegranaro	28	11	17	39%	83.4	85.5	-2.1
15	Pesaro	28	10	18	36%	74.8	78.7	-3.9
16	Virtus Bologna	28	9	19	32%	74.5	80.0	-5.4
17	Biella	28	6	22	21%	72.2	83.6	-11.4
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	22	20	29	16	87
Caserta	15	15	16	28	74

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature