Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 86-78

24-20 23-16 22-24 17-18

Position#11

Record6-14

FormLLLWW

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game82.3

Avellino 🏆

Sassari

Position#3

Record17-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game81.0

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Avellino v Sassari

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sassari winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

79-94

-15

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

64-91

-27

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

84-86 OT

-2

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

97-93

A06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

71-78

-7

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

71-95

-24

A20/01

Lega A

Varese

82-83 OT

-1

H27/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

57-108

108

-51

A03/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

93-81

+12

H17/02

Lega A

Cantu

20-0

+20

H03/03

Lega A

21-24

19-25

28-21

11-24

12-18

14-23

17-26

21-24

21-20

22-14

18-16

16-27

14-23

26-26

28-14

29-30

21-21

22-17

18-19

10-21

14-24

20-23

20-29

17-19

13-20

26-18

17-25

18-11

18-27

21-24

7-31

11-26

23-26

27-16

16-23

27-16

–

152.7Avg total

71.8Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	74.7	82.3	156.9	-7.6	30%
Season at home (11)	75.0	72.0	147.0	+3.0	45%
Season away (9)	74.2	94.9	169.1	-20.7	11%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	80.9	152.7	-9.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	64.6	73.4	138.0	-8.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	72.1	84.4	156.5	-12.2	21%
vs Similar (15)	77.3	83.4	160.7	-6.1	40%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

81-88

-7

A06/01

Lega A

Siena

96-66

+30

H14/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

100-72

100

+28

A20/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

106-90

106

+16

H27/01

Lega A

Cantu

80-94

-14

A03/02

Lega A

Brindisi

98-96 OT

H08/02

Italian Cup

Siena

78-85

-7

H09/02

Italian Cup

Venezia

108-84

108

+24

H17/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

87-76

+11

H24/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

95-93

A03/03

Lega A

23-22

17-27

12-16

29-23

19-17

28-16

27-13

22-20

24-18

31-25

24-13

21-16

28-24

24-15

33-24

21-27

20-24

26-13

19-30

15-27

22-24

22-21

28-28

15-14

16-18

22-20

18-15

22-32

26-20

22-23

32-14

28-27

26-21

18-24

24-18

19-13

31-30

14-27

26-17

24-19

177.3Avg total

92.9Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	89.2	81.0	170.2	+8.2	81%
Season at home (11)	89.7	77.0	166.7	+12.7	91%
Season away (10)	88.7	85.4	174.1	+3.3	70%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	84.4	177.3	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	86.8	180.0	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.0	93.3	174.3	-12.3	0%
vs Similar (8)	86.0	79.1	165.1	+6.9	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	90.5	81.9	172.4	+8.7	87%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoSassari

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	23.5	42.3	-4.6	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.1	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-4.9	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.2	44.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.4	22.3	46.7	+2.1	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	25.2	47.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.3	21.3	45.6	+3.1	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	20.6	40.7	-0.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	18.4	41.1	+4.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.7	47%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

40-49

-9

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

26-41

-15

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

43-34

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-49

-9

A06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

43-38

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

34-47

-13

A20/01

Lega A

Varese

39-38

H27/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-51

-12

A03/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

50-42

H17/02

Lega A

82.6Avg total

39.3Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.0	42.7	81.7	-3.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	45.4	83.2	-7.6	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.3	43.2	82.6	-3.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.2	44.5	83.8	-5.3	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	41.1	80.1	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

40-49

-9

A06/01

Lega A

Siena

47-33

+14

H14/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

55-43

+12

A20/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

52-39

+13

H27/01

Lega A

Cantu

46-37

A03/02

Lega A

Brindisi

44-45

-1

H08/02

Italian Cup

Siena

38-38

H09/02

Italian Cup

Venezia

48-43

H17/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

44-45

-1

H24/02

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

45-57

-12

A03/03

Lega A

88.8Avg total

45.9Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	41.7	85.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.2	44.7	88.9	-0.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	42.9	88.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	46.7	86.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.4	36.2	80.6	+8.1	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.8	42.4	87.2	+2.4	47%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	32%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	24.8	41.6	-8.1	8%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	22.7	41.4	-3.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	25.4	41.0	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.9	23.4	40.3	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	19.1	37.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.8	43.1	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.4	44.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	23.3	44.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	22.5	42.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	24.5	44.0	-5.1	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	20.4	42.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.3	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.5	43.8	81.2	-6.3	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	38.9	77.4	-0.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	49.4	85.6	-13.2	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.6	44.7	81.2	-8.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	44.0	76.2	-11.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.3	45.6	81.9	-9.3	15%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.4	42.2	80.6	-3.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	41.5	84.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.4	41.7	85.1	+1.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	40.6	86.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	39.4	86.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	46.7	88.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.6	42.9	84.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.9	38.7	83.7	+6.2	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Sassari wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/12	Sassari v Avellino	102-81
25/02/12	Sassari v Avellino	87-73
06/11/11	Avellino v Sassari	96-79
23/04/11	Avellino v Sassari	92-87
02/01/11	Sassari v Avellino	71-80

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/13	H	Cantu	20-0
17/02/13	H	Cremona	93-81
03/02/13	A	Olimpia Milano	57-108
27/01/13	H	Varese	82-83 OT
20/01/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	71-95
13/01/13	H	Pesaro	71-78
06/01/13	A	Venezia	97-93
30/12/12	H	Caserta	84-86 OT
23/12/12	A	Reggiana	64-91
09/12/12	H	Virtus Roma	79-94

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/13	A	Brindisi	95-93
24/02/13	H	Pesaro	87-76
17/02/13	H	Venezia	108-84
09/02/13	H	Siena	78-85
08/02/13	H	Brindisi	98-96 OT
03/02/13	A	Cantu	80-94
27/01/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	106-90
20/01/13	A	Biella	100-72
14/01/13	H	Siena	96-66
06/01/13	A	Caserta	81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	30%
Home	LLLWW	45%
Away	LLWLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	30%	45%	11%
Points / game	74.7	75.0	74.2
Allowed / game	82.3	72.0	94.9
Point differential	-7.7	+3.0	-20.7
Avg total	156.9	147.0	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	45%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

Sassari

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WLWLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	81%	91%	70%
Points / game	89.2	89.7	88.7
Allowed / game	81.0	77.0	85.4
Point differential	+8.2	+12.7	+3.3
Avg total	170.2	166.7	174.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	73%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Sassari	21	17	4	81%	89.2	81.0	+8.2
3	Varese	21	17	4	81%	83.8	76.8	+7.0
4	Siena	21	14	7	67%	77.3	69.2	+8.0
5	Virtus Roma	21	14	7	67%	77.5	74.9	+2.6
6	Cantu	21	13	8	62%	74.0	67.2	+6.9
7	Olimpia Milano	21	13	8	62%	80.0	75.5	+4.4
8	Reggiana	21	12	9	57%	75.6	72.2	+3.4
9	Venezia	21	11	10	52%	77.0	79.0	-2.0
10	Brindisi	21	10	11	48%	81.0	80.4	+0.6
11	Cremona	21	8	13	38%	77.7	80.0	-2.3
12	Caserta	21	8	13	38%	71.2	77.8	-6.6
13	Virtus Bologna	20	7	13	35%	72.5	77.2	-4.8
14	Sutor Montegranaro	21	7	14	33%	82.9	84.8	-1.9
15	Avellino	20	6	14	30%	74.7	82.3	-7.7
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	71.4	76.9	-5.4
17	Biella	21	5	16	24%	71.0	82.1	-11.2
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	24	23	22	17	86
Sassari	20	16	24	18	78

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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