Caserta vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 66-77

19-20 16-26 17-18 14-13

Position#12

Record10-13

FormLLLWW

Points / game71.3

Allowed / game76.9

Caserta

Pesaro 🏆

Position#15

Record6-17

FormWLLWL

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game77.3

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Caserta v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

88-81

H06/01

Lega A

Reggiana

72-91

-19

A13/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

69-78

-9

H20/01

Lega A

Cremona

#10

74-73

A27/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

80-81 OT

-1

H03/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

76-97

-21

A17/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

64-66

-2

H24/02

Lega A

Varese

62-74

-12

A03/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

72-70

A11/03

Lega A

Siena

72-64

H17/03

Lega A

22-23

27-17

16-12

23-29

10-26

17-25

24-20

21-20

24-12

17-26

17-27

11-13

17-19

18-16

17-18

22-20

24-12

16-25

11-19

23-18

18-22

9-31

21-18

28-26

20-14

21-22

16-13

7-17

14-20

16-18

10-17

22-19

25-14

10-18

22-15

15-23

18-19

17-14

9-15

28-16

150.4Avg total

72.9Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	71.3	76.9	148.2	-5.6	43%
Season at home (11)	71.6	71.2	142.8	+0.5	55%
Season away (12)	71.0	82.1	153.1	-11.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	77.5	150.4	-4.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	74.2	143.4	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	69.1	77.6	146.6	-8.5	36%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.3	50%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	81.5	154.0	-9.0	0%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

69-82

-13

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

78-71

A13/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

64-65

-1

A20/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

89-76

+13

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

68-71

-3

A03/02

Lega A

Siena

78-73

H18/02

Lega A

Sassari

76-87

-11

A24/02

Lega A

Reggiana

65-68

-3

H03/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

94-90

H10/03

Lega A

Cantu

62-74

-12

A17/03

Lega A

13-16

25-21

15-28

16-17

21-21

17-22

19-18

21-10

16-14

19-19

14-22

15-10

22-13

14-23

25-15

28-25

16-22

21-19

12-13

19-17

16-17

20-12

18-12

24-32

21-26

24-18

18-24

13-19

17-10

11-19

22-18

15-21

28-21

23-24

16-19

27-26

7-17

15-14

18-20

22-23

150.0Avg total

74.3Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	72.0	77.3	149.3	-5.3	26%
Season at home (12)	76.8	79.8	156.5	-3.0	33%
Season away (11)	66.8	74.6	141.5	-7.8	18%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	75.7	150.0	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	78.4	153.4	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	72.3	76.6	148.9	-4.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	72.8	78.1	150.9	-5.4	38%
vs Weaker (2)	85.5	77.0	162.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.1	37.5	+1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.1	39.6	-2.7	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	19.4	37.2	-1.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	19.5	36.1	-2.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	19.2	37.3	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.6	35.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.6	19.5	36.1	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.9	36.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	50%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

49-40

H06/01

Lega A

Reggiana

27-51

-24

A13/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-38

H20/01

Lega A

Cremona

#10

35-35

A27/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

40-37

H03/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

27-53

-26

A17/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-36

H24/02

Lega A

Varese

30-38

-8

A03/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

35-32

A11/03

Lega A

Siena

35-33

H17/03

Lega A

75.3Avg total

36.0Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.6	37.2	74.8	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.0	42.1	77.1	-7.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.3	75.3	-3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	38.4	72.0	-4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.8	39.9	75.7	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.5	39.9	76.4	-3.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

38-37

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

38-43

-5

A13/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-33

A20/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

36-36

H27/01

Lega A

Venezia

37-41

-4

A03/02

Lega A

Siena

36-29

H18/02

Lega A

Sassari

45-44

A24/02

Lega A

Reggiana

28-29

-1

H03/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

51-45

H10/03

Lega A

Cantu

22-31

-9

A17/03

Lega A

73.4Avg total

36.6Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.5	74.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	37.8	76.9	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	37.2	71.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.8	73.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.6	72.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	37.2	36.9	74.1	+0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	34.6	40.1	74.8	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	33.0	76.0	+10.0	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	14.5	16.1	30.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.4	33.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	15.6	31.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.2	17.1	32.3	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.0	38.9	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.9	19.1	36.1	-2.2	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.2	44.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.3	38.1	73.5	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.0	34.4	67.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.2	78.4	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	37.5	73.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.8	71.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	32.1	36.2	68.4	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.2	40.2	79.4	-0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	38.5	71.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	39.5	76.0	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	38.4	72.3	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.9	76.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.8	81.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.1	39.7	74.8	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.1	38.0	76.1	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	44.0	86.5	-1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/12	Pesaro v Caserta	63-77
04/03/12	Pesaro v Caserta	75-81
12/11/11	Caserta v Pesaro	76-82
06/02/11	Pesaro v Caserta	83-82
31/10/10	Caserta v Pesaro	89-91 OT
07/03/10	Pesaro v Caserta	81-89
07/11/09	Caserta v Pesaro	95-81
01/03/09	Pesaro v Caserta	91-84
10/12/08	Caserta v Pesaro	68-83

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/13	H	Siena	72-64
11/03/13	A	Virtus Bologna	72-70
03/03/13	A	Varese	62-74
24/02/13	H	Virtus Roma	64-66
17/02/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	76-97
03/02/13	H	Biella	80-81 OT
27/01/13	A	Cremona	74-73
20/01/13	H	Olimpia Milano	69-78
13/01/13	A	Reggiana	72-91
06/01/13	H	Sassari	88-81

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/13	A	Cantu	62-74
10/03/13	H	Brindisi	94-90
03/03/13	H	Reggiana	65-68
24/02/13	A	Sassari	76-87
18/02/13	H	Siena	78-73
03/02/13	A	Venezia	68-71
27/01/13	H	Biella	89-76
20/01/13	A	Virtus Roma	64-65
13/01/13	A	Avellino	78-71
06/01/13	H	Varese	69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	43%
Home	WLLLW	55%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	43%	55%	33%
Points / game	71.3	71.6	71.0
Allowed / game	76.9	71.2	82.1
Point differential	-5.6	+0.5	-11.1
Avg total	148.2	142.8	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	17%	27%	8%

Pesaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	26%
Home	LWWLW	33%
Away	WLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	33%	18%
Points / game	72.0	76.8	66.8
Allowed / game	77.3	79.8	74.6
Point differential	-5.3	-3.0	-7.8
Avg total	149.3	156.5	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	40% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Sassari	23	18	5	78%	88.2	81.0	+7.2
3	Varese	23	18	5	78%	83.8	77.0	+6.8
4	Virtus Roma	23	16	7	70%	78.1	74.4	+3.7
5	Cantu	23	15	8	65%	74.6	67.4	+7.2
6	Siena	23	14	9	61%	76.4	70.4	+6.0
7	Olimpia Milano	23	14	9	61%	80.6	76.3	+4.3
8	Reggiana	23	13	10	57%	76.6	73.1	+3.5
9	Venezia	23	11	12	48%	77.2	79.6	-2.4
10	Brindisi	23	10	13	43%	81.7	81.6	+0.1
11	Caserta	23	10	13	43%	71.3	76.9	-5.6
12	Cremona	23	9	14	39%	77.9	80.2	-2.3
13	Virtus Bologna	22	8	14	36%	72.8	76.8	-4.0
14	Avellino	22	8	14	36%	75.3	81.6	-6.4
15	Sutor Montegranaro	23	8	15	35%	83.3	85.5	-2.2
16	Pesaro	23	6	17	26%	72.0	77.3	-5.3
17	Biella	23	5	18	22%	71.5	82.3	-10.9
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	19	16	17	14	66
Pesaro	20	26	18	13	77

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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