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Sassari vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 77-96
28-20 14-28 19-24 16-24
Position#10
Record12-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.9
Sassari
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record20-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game84.8
ItalyLega ARound 29· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Sassari v Brescia
04 Jan 2026
SAS93
BRE86
04 May 2025
SAS77
BRE96
17 Mar 2024
SAS106
BRE101
02 Jan 2023
SAS92
BRE94
22 May 2022
SAS98
BRE95
20 May 2022
SAS98
BRE68
24 Oct 2021
SAS65
BRE76
27 Dec 2020
SAS100
BRE87
01 Dec 2019
SAS76
BRE70
28 Apr 2019
SAS95
BRE87
08 Apr 2018
SAS76
BRE80
18 Feb 2017
SAS77
BRE70
15 Oct 2016
SAS96
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 74
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
58-84
58
84
-26
44avg 74
A01/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
96-97
96
97
-1
84avg 74
H09/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 74
A16/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 74
H23/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 74
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 74
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 74
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
59avg 74
A27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
18-21
11-19
21-17
25-19
12-24
12-22
9-19
20-20
22-25
29-24
25-28
17-23
23-13
17-12
19-22
23-22
17-20
28-23
25-24
21-25
25-16
26-16
20-23
18-15
17-17
22-11
29-20
20-16
16-20
21-21
30-25
17-23
17-23
21-18
29-25
15-19
24-23
15-27
23-26
164.8Avg total
82.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.583.9165.3-2.443%
Season at home (14)85.883.6169.4+2.157%
Season away (14)77.184.1161.2-6.929%
Last 10 (10)82.182.7164.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.281.8167.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.183.7161.9-5.627%
vs Similar (8)82.080.1162.1+1.975%
vs Weaker (7)82.080.6162.6+1.443%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 84
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 84
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 84
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 84
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 84
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 84
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 84
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 84
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 84
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
80avg 84
H27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-18
19-17
17-23
22-19
18-24
29-19
30-25
26-12
20-26
28-24
23-22
19-14
23-24
17-22
14-19
26-34
26-10
21-26
15-24
18-19
25-18
12-18
23-20
16-26
32-23
20-20
29-20
29-18
24-27
9-28
17-18
26-17
23-14
21-19
16-22
19-12
18-20
19-18
23-16
165.6Avg total
84.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.784.8174.5+5.071%
Season at home (14)91.486.1177.5+5.279%
Season away (14)88.183.4171.4+4.764%
Last 10 (10)84.581.1165.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)83.878.6162.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (14)82.182.1164.2+0.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.585.1179.5+9.473%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
SassariBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/04
Lega A
79.4Avg total
38.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.281.5-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.243.184.4-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.741.379.0-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.579.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.542.683.1-2.133%-
vs Similar (8)38.141.179.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (7)38.142.480.6-4.329%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/04
Lega A
83.4Avg total
44.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.6+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.685.7+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.181.8-0.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.183.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.884.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (14)42.941.083.9+1.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.941.889.7+6.173%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.0
56.2%
52.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.6
33.0%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.115.7
82.2%
76.8%15.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.018.7
81.3%
76.8%18.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLWWWWWLLL
Brescia
WWLWWLLWWL
#10
League position
#2
-0.8
Net rating
+5.8
110.9
Offensive rating
111.9
111.7
Defensive rating
106.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.0%
3-point %
34.7%
54.9%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 111.9Defence111.7 · 106.1Shooting53.3% · 52.5%3-point %33.0% · 34.7%Ball care13.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds20.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sassari wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Brescia v Sassari94-87
17/03/24Sassari v Brescia106-101 OT
10/12/23Brescia v Sassari110-65
12/02/23Brescia v Sassari80-93
02/01/23Sassari v Brescia92-94 OT
22/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-95
20/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-68
18/05/22Brescia v Sassari85-91
16/05/22Brescia v Sassari104-97
23/01/22Brescia v Sassari97-86
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ATrento77-95
19/04/25AVarese84-89
13/04/25HTortona87-82
06/04/25APistoia86-63
29/03/25HTrapani92-80
23/03/25HCremona93-89
16/03/25ATreviso76-70
09/03/25HVenezia96-97
01/03/25AReggiana58-84
08/02/25HOlimpia Milano72-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HReggiana79-66
19/04/25HScafati86-72
14/04/25AVirtus Bologna79-91
06/04/25HVenezia97-89
30/03/25ATrento78-75
23/03/25ATrapani88-94
15/03/25HOlimpia Milano73-79
09/03/25APistoia97-84
02/03/25HCremona99-87
15/02/25HOlimpia Milano69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game81.585.877.1
Allowed / game83.983.684.1
Point differential-2.4+2.1-6.9
Avg total165.3169.4161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%79%64%
Points / game89.791.488.1
Allowed / game84.886.183.4
Point differential+5.0+5.2+4.7
Avg total174.5177.5171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2821775%94.884.8+10.0
2 Virtus Bologna2821775%84.976.4+8.5
3 Trento2921872%87.681.2+6.3
4 Brescia2820871%89.784.8+5.0
5 Olimpia Milano2819968%89.483.9+5.5
6 Trieste28171161%87.385.2+2.0
7 Reggiana29171259%79.477.8+1.7
8 Venezia28151354%83.580.6+2.9
9 Tortona28141450%85.985.6+0.3
10 Sassari28121643%81.583.9-2.4
11 Treviso28111739%84.487.8-3.4
12 Varese2891932%87.195.8-8.7
13 Basket Napoli2882029%83.288.2-5.0
14 Cremona2882029%79.084.8-5.9
15 Scafati2862221%84.892.2-7.5
16 Pistoia2862221%79.589.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2814191677
Brescia2028242496
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