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Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-84
23-17 23-17 18-21 25-29
Position#12
Record8-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game96.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record12-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.2
ItalyLega ARound 27· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 80
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 80
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 80
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
64avg 80
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
49avg 80
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 80
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 80
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
78avg 80
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
87avg 80
A12/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
14-18
19-23
20-13
22-21
14-20
15-13
16-20
18-25
19-19
23-26
23-22
21-21
23-21
23-17
29-20
20-24
16-6
14-16
23-18
15-28
26-20
24-21
25-21
22-25
179.5Avg total
84.9Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.896.0183.8-8.131%
Season at home (13)88.693.4182.0-4.846%
Season away (13)87.198.5185.6-11.515%
Last 10 (10)84.994.6179.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)85.284.4169.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)87.598.6186.1-11.122%
vs Similar (12)91.890.7182.5+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 76
A02/02
Lega A
Cholet
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
70avg 76
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 76
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
58-84
58
84
-26
44avg 76
A01/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
96-97
96
97
-1
84avg 76
H09/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 76
A16/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 76
H23/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 76
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 76
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 76
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-24
25-22
17-26
19-24
18-19
19-20
19-15
22-21
18-21
11-19
21-17
25-19
12-24
12-22
9-19
20-20
22-25
29-24
25-28
17-23
23-13
17-12
19-22
23-22
17-20
28-23
25-24
21-25
25-16
26-16
20-23
18-15
17-17
22-11
29-20
20-16
16-20
21-21
30-25
163.6Avg total
81.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.583.2164.8-1.746%
Season at home (14)85.883.6169.4+2.157%
Season away (12)76.682.8159.3-6.233%
Last 10 (10)81.781.9163.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)86.876.8163.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.483.0161.4-4.627%
vs Similar (8)82.080.1162.1+1.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.678.0160.6+4.657%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A12/04
Lega A
85.4Avg total
41.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.046.093.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.145.191.1+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)47.846.894.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.285.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.875.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)46.248.394.6-2.144%-
vs Similar (12)48.142.590.6+5.667%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/02
Lega A
Cholet
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/04
Lega A
80.3Avg total
39.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.282.3-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.143.285.4-1.131%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.8-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.080.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.542.983.3-2.433%-
vs Similar (8)38.141.179.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.741.983.6-0.143%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.0
48.6%
52.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.1
38.2%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
76.8%13.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.8
55.6%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
76.8%14.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLLLLLLL
Sassari
WWWWWLLLLL
#12
League position
#10
-12.5
Net rating
+0.0
106.2
Offensive rating
110.5
118.7
Defensive rating
110.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
34.0%
60.1%
Assist %
57.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 110.5Defence118.7 · 110.5Shooting52.7% · 53.6%3-point %38.2% · 34.0%Ball care16.7% · 13.4%Off. rebounds21.7% · 19.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Sassari v Varese81-86
21/04/24Sassari v Varese88-112
05/11/23Varese v Sassari90-79
18/03/23Sassari v Varese102-73
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
08/09/21Varese v Sassari82-92
06/03/21Varese v Sassari89-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ABasket Napoli97-87
06/04/25HCremona85-87 OT
30/03/25HScafati95-82
23/03/25ATreviso86-88
16/03/25HReggiana63-78
09/03/25ATortona82-89 OT
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HTortona87-82
06/04/25APistoia86-63
29/03/25HTrapani92-80
23/03/25HCremona93-89
16/03/25ATreviso76-70
09/03/25HVenezia96-97
01/03/25AReggiana58-84
08/02/25HOlimpia Milano72-78
05/02/25HCholet75-78
02/02/25AScafati82-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeLLLWL46%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%46%15%
Points / game87.888.687.1
Allowed / game96.093.498.5
Point differential-8.1-4.8-11.5
Avg total183.8182.0185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Sassari
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW46%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game81.585.876.6
Allowed / game83.283.682.8
Point differential-1.7+2.1-6.2
Avg total164.8169.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)57% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2619773%94.284.5+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2619773%84.177.3+6.8
3 Trento2618869%87.281.8+5.3
4 Brescia2618869%90.386.0+4.3
5 Olimpia Milano2718967%89.584.5+5.0
6 Reggiana27171063%80.677.5+3.0
7 Trieste26161062%86.785.1+1.7
8 Venezia26151158%82.779.0+3.7
9 Tortona26141254%86.485.4+1.0
10 Sassari26121446%81.583.2-1.7
11 Treviso2691735%83.887.7-3.9
12 Varese2681831%87.896.0-8.1
13 Basket Napoli2781930%83.588.0-4.5
14 Cremona2781930%78.984.2-5.3
15 Scafati2662023%85.292.5-7.3
16 Pistoia2652119%79.689.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2323182589
Sassari1717212984
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