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Saudi Arabia vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-95 (OT)
15-25 22-15 22-20 20-19 9-16
Position#10
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeAsia Cup· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Saudi Arabia v Philippines
11 Aug 2025
SAUD88
PHIL95
13 Nov 2022
SAUD63
PHIL76
01 Aug 2013
SAUD66
PHIL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 72
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
62avg 72
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
50avg 72
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 72
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 72
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 72
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 72
A09/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
23-22
10-31
16-16
17-13
10-16
17-16
20-13
18-16
20-23
11-20
15-20
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
146.4Avg total
73.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.270.6145.8+4.767%
Season at home (4)75.070.2145.2+4.875%
Season away (5)75.470.8146.2+4.660%
Last 10 (10)73.772.7146.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)82.074.8156.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.482.8146.2-19.58%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.076.0148.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (13)77.664.6142.2+13.092%
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Jordan
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
106-53
106
53
+53
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 77
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
93-54
93
54
+39
90avg 77
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 77
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 77
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 77
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 77
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 77
A09/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
14-19
20-10
19-19
23-15
18-22
30-9
23-18
26-13
26-14
30-14
24-12
20-22
25-23
27-18
21-26
25-16
20-19
22-8
26-11
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
159.3Avg total
84.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.676.0162.6+10.656%
Season at home (4)94.572.5167.0+22.075%
Season away (5)80.278.8159.0+1.440%
Last 10 (10)84.974.4159.3+10.560%
Last 5 (5)78.684.8163.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.984.2163.1-5.345%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.079.6167.6+8.450%
vs Weaker (11)84.759.5144.2+25.391%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
Saudi ArabiaPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
76.5Avg total
38.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.474.0-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.036.873.8+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)33.940.374.1-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.976.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.043.373.3-13.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (13)39.133.472.5+5.769%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
80.6Avg total
40.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.180.1+1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.083.9+3.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.538.376.8+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.680.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.246.283.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.043.681.6-5.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.643.984.5-3.212%-
vs Weaker (11)44.431.175.5+13.382%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.0
51.0%
49.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.7
28.9%
32.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws21.414.3
66.8%
70.1%14.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.323.9
50.5%
49.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
70.1%12.0
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 11 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
WWLWLWWLWL
Philippines
WLLLLWWWWW
#10
League position
#11
+5.9
Net rating
+13.7
101.7
Offensive rating
113.7
95.7
Defensive rating
100.0
47.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.9%
3-point %
33.2%
62.3%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 113.7Defence95.7 · 100.0Shooting47.4% · 50.3%3-point %28.9% · 33.2%Ball care18.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 37.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saudi Arabia wins
3
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Saudi Arabia v Philippines63-76
29/08/22Philippines v Saudi Arabia84-46
01/08/13Saudi Arabia v Philippines66-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58
22/11/24APalestine73-66
26/02/24HJordan64-79
23/02/24AIraq64-58
06/10/23AIran60-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
24/11/24HHong Kong93-54
21/11/24HNew Zealand93-89
25/02/24HChinese Taipei106-53
22/02/24AHong Kong94-64
06/10/23AJordan70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game75.275.075.4
Allowed / game70.670.270.8
Point differential+4.7+4.8+4.6
Avg total145.8145.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game86.694.580.2
Allowed / game76.072.578.8
Point differential+10.6+22.0+1.4
Avg total162.6167.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia990100%101.465.6+35.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 Iran98189%76.752.2+24.4
4 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
5 Japan97278%83.074.4+8.6
6 Lebanon97278%88.279.8+8.4
7 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
8 Chinese Taipei128467%86.280.0+6.2
9 Saudi Arabia96367%75.270.6+4.7
10 South Korea96367%84.982.4+2.4
11 Philippines95456%86.676.0+10.6
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam168850%71.479.2-7.8
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Saudi Arabia15222220988
Philippines251520191695
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