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Scafati vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-91
22-32 16-24 12-24 22-11
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record7-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.7
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Scafati v Tortona
07 Feb 2027
SKA v TOR
upcoming
16 Mar 2025
SKA79
TOR102
17 Mar 2024
SKA94
TOR91
18 Dec 2022
SKA72
TOR91
09 May 2021
SKA89
TOR69
30 Jan 2019
SKA88
TOR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 69
A02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
60avg 69
H09/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
no box
A16/10
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
92-87
92
87
+5
84avg 69
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
55avg 69
A30/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 69
H06/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 69
A20/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
55avg 69
H27/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
97avg 69
H04/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 69
A11/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
12-24
13-22
19-13
25-33
15-22
12-14
14-6
16-16
20-21
19-18
18-18
19-24
23-18
24-15
26-30
18-18
21-23
16-15
13-19
33-31
15-28
20-17
25-25
13-22
23-24
15-23
25-17
16-11
16-18
15-20
14-10
23-16
25-28
15-10
26-18
18-22
23-8
23-26
20-21
157.3Avg total
77.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.979.4157.3-1.540%
Season at home (5)80.278.8159.0+1.460%
Season away (5)75.680.0155.6-4.420%
Last 10 (10)77.979.4157.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.679.0159.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.082.2157.2-7.212%
vs Weaker (20)78.569.2147.8+9.380%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 70
H02/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
63-59
63
59
+4
57avg 70
A09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 70
H15/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
87avg 70
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
77-61
77
61
+16
80avg 70
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 70
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 70
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 70
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
102-80
102
80
+22
95avg 70
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
15-19
24-22
23-4
25-10
12-20
16-19
10-10
24-14
23-15
17-26
17-18
23-16
19-15
17-17
29-12
15-12
27-17
15-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
22-20
20-17
16-22
17-21
19-18
16-22
20-23
10-12
23-18
21-20
25-14
13-30
30-17
34-19
16-21
22-19
21-20
20-22
151.9Avg total
79.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.272.7151.9+6.570%
Season at home (5)77.471.8149.2+5.680%
Season away (5)81.073.6154.6+7.460%
Last 10 (10)79.272.7151.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.682.7154.3-11.114%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.972.3148.1+3.667%
vs Weaker (7)84.777.7162.4+7.086%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
ScafatiTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H09/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/10
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A30/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H06/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/12
Lega A
82.7Avg total
39.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.634.875.4+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)38.537.475.9+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.882.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.583.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.140.881.9+0.438%-
vs Weaker (20)39.033.372.3+5.875%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H02/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/10
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/12
Lega A
75.2Avg total
37.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.676.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.638.776.3-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.577.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.342.079.3-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.536.674.1+0.960%-
vs Weaker (7)39.438.678.0+0.943%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.4
45.9%
51.3%30.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.115.4
80.8%
76.1%15.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.9%
51.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
36.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.5
80.1%
76.1%14.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
WWWLLLWLLL
Tortona
LWWLLWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-1.5
Net rating
+8.6
104.6
Offensive rating
109.8
106.1
Defensive rating
101.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
33.9%
72.2%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 109.8Defence106.1 · 101.2Shooting48.8% · 51.5%3-point %34.7% · 33.9%Ball care18.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 24.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Scafati   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Scafati wins
2
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
09/05/21Scafati v Tortona89-69
25/04/21Tortona v Scafati69-67
30/01/19Scafati v Tortona88-82
24/10/18Tortona v Scafati85-64
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AVirtus Bologna84-77
04/12/22HTreviso89-72
27/11/22HReggiana61-59
20/11/22ASassari76-86
06/11/22HVarese93-101
30/10/22ATrento68-75
23/10/22HVerona92-87
16/10/22ABrescia81-82 OT
09/10/22HOlimpia Milano66-75
02/10/22AVenezia69-80
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HSassari79-82
03/12/22AVerona102-80
27/11/22HBasket Napoli74-73
20/11/22ABrescia68-83
06/11/22ABrindisi84-86
30/10/22HVenezia77-61
22/10/22ATrieste88-60
15/10/22HPesaro81-73
09/10/22AReggiana63-59
02/10/22HTrento76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game77.980.275.6
Allowed / game79.478.880.0
Point differential-1.5+1.4-4.4
Avg total157.3159.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game79.277.481.0
Allowed / game72.771.873.6
Point differential+6.5+5.6+7.4
Avg total151.9149.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1110191%86.574.1+12.5
2 Olimpia Milano119282%82.571.9+10.5
3 Tortona107370%79.272.7+6.5
4 Pesaro117464%89.385.1+4.2
5 Varese117464%93.191.9+1.2
6 Trento117464%74.974.6+0.3
7 Venezia116555%82.479.5+2.8
8 Brescia115645%85.683.8+1.8
9 Sassari115645%78.578.8-0.3
10 Brindisi115645%79.183.1-4.0
11 Scafati104640%77.979.4-1.5
12 Basket Napoli114736%77.282.0-4.8
13 Treviso113827%75.982.2-6.3
14 Trieste113827%80.289.5-9.3
15 Verona113827%79.689.2-9.5
16 Reggiana112918%73.577.2-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati2216122272
Tortona3224241191
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