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Tortona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-73
24-14 23-15 17-26 17-18
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game64.5
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game81.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Pesaro
20 Apr 2024
TOR94
PES76
15 Oct 2022
TOR81
PES73
02 Apr 2022
TOR70
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 69
H15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
70-58
70
58
+12
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 69
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
68avg 69
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 69
A27/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
54avg 69
A29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 69
H31/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 69
H02/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
63-59
63
59
+4
57avg 69
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-17
16-24
13-18
14-14
16-11
27-17
13-16
20-12
16-18
21-18
16-15
18-12
16-19
20-15
18-14
16-21
22-14
17-16
18-26
26-20
9-21
20-31
15-19
13-18
20-29
18-15
18-15
23-19
21-25
19-17
20-23
14-25
15-19
24-22
23-4
25-10
12-20
16-19
10-10
143.1Avg total
71.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.564.5134.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)63.059.0122.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.571.6143.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)72.276.2148.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.181.4151.5-11.212%
vs Similar (15)79.071.7150.7+7.380%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.084.4167.4-1.460%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 72
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 72
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 72
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 72
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-23
24-21
23-19
24-23
13-20
13-27
27-26
19-12
25-23
15-26
24-21
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
160.4Avg total
78.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.081.5176.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)90.089.0179.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.082.4160.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.184.5158.6-10.531%
vs Similar (17)85.683.5169.1+2.165%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
TortonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A27/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H31/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H02/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
Lega A
71.5Avg total
35.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.377.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.378.9-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.275.9+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.271.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.276.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.540.877.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (15)38.835.574.3+3.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.042.084.0+0.040%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
78.5Avg total
38.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.6-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.983.1-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.680.1-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.678.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.841.079.8-2.231%-
vs Similar (17)41.541.582.9+0.047%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.8
46.1%
51.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
36.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
76.1%12.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.3
50.1%
51.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.211.2
73.7%
76.1%11.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLLLLWWWL
Pesaro
WWLLLWLWLW
#3
League position
#10
+1.3
Net rating
-5.4
101.7
Offensive rating
105.6
100.4
Defensive rating
111.0
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.2%
3-point %
35.2%
60.3%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 105.6Defence100.4 · 111.0Shooting47.0% · 51.1%3-point %32.2% · 35.2%Ball care16.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
02/04/22Tortona v Pesaro70-86
17/10/21Pesaro v Tortona81-90
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/22AReggiana63-59
02/10/22HTrento76-70
28/09/22HSassari83-84
31/05/22HVirtus Bologna69-77
29/05/22AVirtus Bologna70-91
27/05/22AVirtus Bologna73-77
21/05/22AVenezia72-60
19/05/22AVenezia73-63
17/05/22HVenezia70-58
15/05/22HVenezia66-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
23/04/22ATrento83-82
16/04/22HVirtus Bologna77-96
13/04/22HFortitudo Bologna88-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game69.576.063.0
Allowed / game64.570.059.0
Point differential+5.0+6.0+4.0
Avg total134.0146.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.090.0100.0
Allowed / game81.589.074.0
Point differential+13.5+1.0+26.0
Avg total176.5179.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro220100%95.081.5+13.5
2 Virtus Bologna220100%87.078.5+8.5
3 Olimpia Milano220100%76.571.5+5.0
4 Tortona220100%69.564.5+5.0
5 Reggiana21150%68.560.5+8.0
6 Sassari21150%91.083.0+8.0
7 Venezia21150%84.579.5+5.0
8 Brescia21150%82.580.5+2.0
9 Brindisi21150%87.085.0+2.0
10 Trento21150%68.066.5+1.5
11 Varese21150%85.084.5+0.5
12 Verona21150%89.599.0-9.5
13 Basket Napoli2020%73.583.0-9.5
14 Scafati2020%67.577.5-10.0
15 Treviso2020%57.572.0-14.5
16 Trieste2020%77.092.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2423171781
Pesaro1415261873
← all games of the day
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